Bristol City vs Birmingham City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Ashton Gate Stadium (Bristol).

Championship - Round 12
Referee: Linington J. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.28	0.60
Ball Possession
28%	72%
Total shots
5	13
Shots on target
1	1
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
0	6
Passes
78% (211/272)	87% (597/689)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.28	0.60
xG on target (xGOT)
0.24	0.00
Total shots
5	13
Shots on target
1	1
Shots off target
3	7
Blocked Shots
1	5
Shots inside the Box
3	5
Shots outside the Box
2	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
0	6
Touches in opposition box
11	15
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
6	9
Passes
78% (211/272)	87% (597/689)
Long passes
30% (14/47)	41% (22/54)
Passes in final third
58% (41/71)	70% (105/150)
Crosses
13% (1/8)	18% (5/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.32	0.84
Throw-ins
14	28
Fouls
9	6
Tackles
81% (13/16)	75% (6/8)
Duels won
40	26
Clearances
46	7
Interceptions
12	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	0
xGOT faced
0.00	0.24
Goals prevented
0.00	-0.76

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', Twine S. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Armstrong S. ⚽, Atkinson R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', McCrorie R. ↓, Sykes M. ↑,
61', Roberts P. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
61', Anderson K. ↓, Gray D. ↑,
62', Stansfield J. ↓, Furuhashi K. ↑,
66', Iwata T. 🟨,
66', Mehmeti A. 🟨,
74', Armstrong S. ↓, Mayulu F. ↑,
75', Doyle T. ↓, Dykes L. ↑,
84', Neumann P. ↓, Ducksch M. ↑,
85', Mehmeti A. ↓, Hirakawa Y. ↑,
85', Neto Borges ↓, Roberts H. ↑,
90+6', Twine S. ↓, Thomas O. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Bristol City
42.5%

Draw
28.7%

Birmingham City
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

28.7%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

28.2%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Bristol City - Birmingham City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.48)	3.31 ↑ (3.27)	3.28 ↑ (2.79)	4.9% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Bristol City - Birmingham City?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Bristol City will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bristol City will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Bristol City might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Bristol City: Bird M. (Calf Injury) Knight J. (Injury) McNally L. (Knee Injury) Pring C. (Ankle Injury) Stokes J. (Foot Injury) Williams J. (Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury) Ducksch M. (Calf Injury) Laird E. (Hamstring Injury) Osayi-Samuel B. (Yellow Cards) Willumsson W. T. (Injury) Wright S. (Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 18:31. (average 0.9:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Bristol City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Bristol City won against Birmingham City?

Bristol City has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham City won against Bristol City?

Birmingham City has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol City - Birmingham City were as follows:

29.12.2023 Birmingham City - Bristol City 0:0

19.08.2023 Bristol City - Birmingham City 0:2

14.01.2023 Bristol City - Birmingham City 4:2

08.10.2022 Birmingham City - Bristol City 3:0

Latest results of Bristol City

21.10.2025 Bristol City - Southampton 3:1 ✺

18.10.2025 Norwich City - Bristol City 0:1 ✺

04.10.2025 Bristol City - Queens Park Rangers 1:2 ✺

30.09.2025 Bristol City - Ipswich Town 1:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Preston North End - Bristol City 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Birmingham City

21.10.2025 Preston North End - Birmingham City 0:1 ✺

18.10.2025 Birmingham City - Hull City 2:3 ✺

03.10.2025 Wrexham - Birmingham City 1:1 ✺

30.09.2025 Birmingham City - Sheffield Wednesday 2:2 ✺

27.09.2025 Coventry City - Birmingham City 3:0 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	42	25	10	7	84:42	42	85
2	Ipswich	40	21	12	7	71:40	31	75
3	Millwall	42	21	10	11	56:47	9	73
4	Middlesbrough	42	20	12	10	62:42	20	72
5	Southampton	41	19	12	10	70:50	20	69
6	Hull	42	20	8	14	64:60	4	68
7	Wrexham	42	17	13	12	63:60	3	64
8	Derby	42	18	9	15	61:53	8	63
9	Norwich	42	17	7	18	55:50	5	58
10	Bristol City	42	16	10	16	52:51	1	58
11	QPR	42	16	10	16	58:63	-5	58
12	Watford	42	14	15	13	52:51	1	57
13	Preston	42	14	15	13	50:53	-3	57
14	Swansea	42	16	9	17	50:54	-4	57
15	Birmingham	42	15	11	16	51:52	-1	56
16	Stoke	42	15	10	17	49:46	3	55
17	Sheffield Utd	42	16	6	20	59:59	0	54
18	Charlton	42	12	13	17	39:51	-12	49
19	Blackburn	42	12	12	18	38:50	-12	48
20	West Brom	42	11	13	18	42:56	-14	46
21	Portsmouth	41	11	12	18	41:57	-16	45
22	Oxford Utd	42	10	14	18	41:54	-13	44
23	Leicester	42	11	14	17	54:64	-10	41
24	Sheffield Wed ✔	42	1	11	30	25:82	-57	-4

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One

Clinched Spots for Teams

Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One