Birmingham City vs Bristol City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
25/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 45
  • Referee: Jones R. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
icelandIcelandViaplay
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.631.20
Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
119
Shots on target
62
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
65
Passes
72% (263/366)77% (373/482)
Yellow cards
31
Expected goals (xG)
1.631.20
xG on target (xGOT)
2.170.85
Total shots
119
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
43
Blocked shots
14
Shots inside the box
85
Shots outside the box
34
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2315
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free kicks
810
Passes
72% (263/366)77% (373/482)
Long passes
32% (19/59)33% (24/73)
Passes in final third
61% (95/156)59% (65/111)
Crosses
12% (3/25)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.910.96
Throw ins
2216
Fouls
108
Tackles
77% (10/13)60% (6/10)
Duels won
4447
Clearances
2129
Interceptions
84
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
14
xGOT faced
0.852.17
Goals prevented
-0.150.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Neumann P. , Gray D. (A),
  • 14', Solis Romero J. E. 🟨,
  • 29', 2 - 0, Solis Romero J. E. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Pring C. , Dickie R. ,
  • 59', Solis Romero J. E. , Iwata T. ,
  • 63', Bell S. , Riis E. ,
  • 63', Morsy S. , Randell A. ,
  • 70', Gray D. , Doyle T. ,
  • 70', Osayi-Samuel B. , Laird E. ,
  • 75', Burgzorg D. 🟨,
  • 77', Burgzorg D. , Armstrong S. ,
  • 81', 2 - 1, Horvat T. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 81', Stansfield J. 🟨,
  • 85', Stansfield J. , Cochrane A. ,
  • 90+4', Klarer C. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Birmingham City
50.9%
Draw
25.5%
Bristol City
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.3% 26.2% 24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7% 26.4% 24.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Bristol City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Birmingham City - Bristol City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (1.89)
    3.73
    (3.55)
    4.05
    (3.8)
    5.3%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Birmingham City - Bristol City?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Bristol City will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 29.6%90.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Birmingham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Birmingham is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury) Furuhashi K. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Bristol City: Atkinson R. (Ankle Injury) Bird M. (Injury) McNally L. (Knee Injury) Williams J. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Birmingham: Osman I. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:19. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.6:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham City - Bristol City were as follows:
    25.10.2025 Bristol City - Birmingham City 1:0
    29.12.2023 Birmingham City - Bristol City 0:0
    19.08.2023 Bristol City - Birmingham City 0:2
    14.01.2023 Bristol City - Birmingham City 4:2
    08.10.2022 Birmingham City - Bristol City 3:0
    Latest results of Birmingham City
    Latest results of Bristol City
    English League Championship Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry462811797:455295
    2Ipswich462315880:473384
    3Millwall4624111164:491583
    4Southampton4622141082:562680
    5Middlesbrough4622141072:472580
    6Hull4621101570:66473
    7Wrexham4619141369:65471
    8Derby462091767:59869
    9Norwich461981963:56765
    10Birmingham4617131657:56164
    11Swansea4618101857:59-264
    12Bristol City4617111859:59062
    13Sheffield Utd461862266:66060
    14Preston4615151655:62-760
    15QPR4616102061:73-1258
    16Watford4614151753:65-1257
    17Stoke4615102151:56-555
    18Portsmouth4614131949:64-1555
    19Charlton4613141944:58-1453
    20Blackburn4613132042:56-1452
    21West Brom4613141948:58-1051
    22Oxford Utd4611142145:59-1447
    23Leicester4612161858:68-1046
    24Sheffield Wed462123229:89-600

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          Relegation ~ League One