Birmingham City vs Derby County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship
Result
1:1
26/12/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 23
  • Referee: Toner B. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SupeSport ESPN 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 1
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 2
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 1
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV2
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporemio Sports 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event
turkeyTurkeyExxen
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC iPlayer app, BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport, BBC Two, NOW TV, Premier Sports Player, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Showcase, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.230.78
Ball Possession
73%27%
Total shots
255
Shots on target
91
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
121
Passes
85% (477/564)54% (117/215)
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
3.230.78
xG on target (xGOT)
2.520.84
Total shots
255
Shots on target
91
Shots off target
51
Blocked Shots
113
Shots inside the Box
183
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
121
Touches in opposition box
4712
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1317
Passes
85% (477/564)54% (117/215)
Long passes
60% (29/48)34% (26/77)
Passes in final third
79% (188/238)37% (22/60)
Crosses
13% (6/47)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.700.83
Throw-ins
2617
Fouls
1713
Tackles
100% (12/12)74% (14/19)
Duels won
5157
Clearances
1151
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
08
xGOT faced
0.842.52
Goals prevented
-0.161.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', Gray D. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
  • 27', 0 - 1, Agyemang P. ⚽, Brewster R. (A),
  • 29', Ward J. 🟨,
  • 39', Ward J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, Adams E. ↑,
  • 46', Brewster R. ↓, Nelson C. ↑,
  • 49', Klarer C. 🟨,
  • 58', Cashin E. ↓, Sampsted A. ↑,
  • 58', Ducksch M. ↓, Furuhashi K. ↑,
  • 64', 1 - 1, Robinson J. ⚽,
  • 71', Stansfield J. 🟨,
  • 71', Langas S. 🟨,
  • 74', Paik Seung-Ho 🟨,
  • 78', Koumas L. ↓, Dykes L. ↑,
  • 78', Leonard M. ↓, Willumsson W. T. ↑,
  • 85', Agyemang P. ↓, Jackson K. ↑,
  • 90+2', Klarer C. 🟥,
  • 90+6', Langas S. ↓, Forsyth C. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Birmingham City
51.3%		Draw
27.6%		Derby County
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.5% 26.9% 19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2% 27.7% 19.1%

Birmingham City - Derby County Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.85 ↑
(1.77)		 3.41 ↓
(3.52)		 4.45 ↓
(4.81)		 6%
(5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Birmingham City - Derby County?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 17 - 60.7%). Derby will win (votes: 5 - 17.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 42.6% – 78.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Derby (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 2.
    • Recent form of Birmingham has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Derby has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Birmingham is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury) Doyle T. (Red Card) Laird E. (Hamstring Injury) Osayi-Samuel B. (International duty) Wright S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Derby: Beck O. (Hamstring Injury) Johnston M. (Hamstring Injury) Morris C. (Ankle Injury) Ozoh D. (Thigh Injury) Travis L. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 29:40. (average 1.5:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:23. (average 1.3:2.3).
    Latest results of Birmingham City
    20.12.2025 Sheffield United - Birmingham City 3:0 ✺
    13.12.2025 Birmingham City - Charlton Athletic 1:1 ✺
    09.12.2025 Queens Park Rangers - Birmingham City 2:1 ✺
    06.12.2025 Southampton - Birmingham City 3:1 ✺
    01.12.2025 Birmingham City - Watford 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Derby County
    20.12.2025 Derby County - Portsmouth 1:1 ✺
    15.12.2025 Sheffield Wednesday - Derby County 0:3 ✺
    10.12.2025 Derby County - Millwall 1:1 ✺
    06.12.2025 Derby County - Leicester City 1:3 ✺
    29.11.2025 Middlesbrough - Derby County 2:1 ✺
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Middlesbrough31187649:301961
    2Coventry31178663:352859
    3Ipswich30159651:292254
    4Hull31166950:43754
    5Millwall31158839:36353
    6Wrexham311211844:39547
    7Preston311211838:34447
    8Bristol City311371143:38546
    9Southampton3212101048:44446
    10Birmingham3212101043:39446
    11Derby311291045:39645
    12Watford311111939:36344
    13QPR311281142:43-144
    14Stoke311271234:28643
    15Swansea311261338:37142
    16Norwich321161542:42039
    17Sheffield Utd311231644:45-139
    18Charlton30991229:38-936
    19West Brom32971632:47-1534
    20Portsmouth29891227:38-1133
    21Leicester321081444:51-732
    22Blackburn31881527:40-1332
    23Oxford Utd326101628:44-1628
    24Sheffield Wed31182218:62-44-7

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

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