Birmingham City vs Derby County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship
Result
1:1
26/12/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 23
  • Referee: Toner B. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 1
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 2
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 1
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV2
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporemio Sports 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event
turkeyTurkeyExxen
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC iPlayer app, BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport, BBC Two, NOW TV, Premier Sports Player, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Showcase, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.230.78
Ball Possession
73%27%
Total shots
255
Shots on target
91
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
121
Passes
85% (477/564)54% (117/215)
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
3.230.78
xG on target (xGOT)
2.520.84
Total shots
255
Shots on target
91
Shots off target
51
Blocked Shots
113
Shots inside the Box
183
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
121
Touches in opposition box
4712
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1317
Passes
85% (477/564)54% (117/215)
Long passes
60% (29/48)34% (26/77)
Passes in final third
79% (188/238)37% (22/60)
Crosses
13% (6/47)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.700.83
Throw-ins
2617
Fouls
1713
Tackles
100% (12/12)74% (14/19)
Duels won
5157
Clearances
1151
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
08
xGOT faced
0.842.52
Goals prevented
-0.161.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', Gray D. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
  • 27', 0 - 1, Agyemang P. ⚽, Brewster R. (A),
  • 29', Ward J. 🟨,
  • 39', Ward J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, Adams E. ↑,
  • 46', Brewster R. ↓, Nelson C. ↑,
  • 49', Klarer C. 🟨,
  • 58', Cashin E. ↓, Sampsted A. ↑,
  • 58', Ducksch M. ↓, Furuhashi K. ↑,
  • 64', 1 - 1, Robinson J. ⚽,
  • 71', Stansfield J. 🟨,
  • 71', Langas S. 🟨,
  • 74', Paik Seung-Ho 🟨,
  • 78', Koumas L. ↓, Dykes L. ↑,
  • 78', Leonard M. ↓, Willumsson W. T. ↑,
  • 85', Agyemang P. ↓, Jackson K. ↑,
  • 90+2', Klarer C. 🟥,
  • 90+6', Langas S. ↓, Forsyth C. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Birmingham City
51.3%		Draw
27.6%		Derby County
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.5% 26.9% 19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2% 27.7% 19.1%

Birmingham City - Derby County Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.85 ↑
(1.77)		 3.41 ↓
(3.52)		 4.45 ↓
(4.81)		 6%
(5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Birmingham City - Derby County?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 17 - 60.7%). Derby will win (votes: 5 - 17.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 42.6% – 78.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Derby County will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 2.
    • Recent form of Birmingham has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Derby has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Birmingham is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury) Doyle T. (Red Card) Laird E. (Hamstring Injury) Osayi-Samuel B. (International duty) Wright S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Derby: Beck O. (Hamstring Injury) Johnston M. (Hamstring Injury) Morris C. (Ankle Injury) Ozoh D. (Thigh Injury) Travis L. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 29:40. (average 1.5:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:23. (average 1.3:2.3).
    Latest results of Birmingham City
    20.12.2025 Sheffield United - Birmingham City 3:0 ✺
    13.12.2025 Birmingham City - Charlton Athletic 1:1 ✺
    09.12.2025 Queens Park Rangers - Birmingham City 2:1 ✺
    06.12.2025 Southampton - Birmingham City 3:1 ✺
    01.12.2025 Birmingham City - Watford 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Derby County
    20.12.2025 Derby County - Portsmouth 1:1 ✺
    15.12.2025 Sheffield Wednesday - Derby County 0:3 ✺
    10.12.2025 Derby County - Millwall 1:1 ✺
    06.12.2025 Derby County - Leicester City 1:3 ✺
    29.11.2025 Middlesbrough - Derby County 2:1 ✺
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry24156354:252951
    2Middlesbrough24127533:25843
    3Ipswich24118540:231741
    4Hull24125740:37341
    5Millwall24116727:32-539
    6Watford24108634:29538
    7Preston24910531:25637
    8Bristol City24106833:27636
    9QPR24105934:37-335
    10Stoke241041029:23634
    11Wrexham24810634:31334
    12Leicester2497834:34034
    13Southampton2488838:34432
    14Derby2488833:33032
    15Birmingham2487932:31131
    16West Brom24941128:32-431
    17Sheffield Utd24921333:37-429
    18Swansea24851125:31-629
    19Blackburn23761022:26-427
    20Charlton23761022:29-727
    21Portsmouth23671021:30-925
    22Oxford Utd24571224:33-922
    23Norwich24561326:36-1021
    24Sheffield Wed23181418:45-27-7

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

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