Result
2:1
07/02/2026 at 10:01 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 31
- Referee: Busby J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.37 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 73% | 27% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (500/577) | 63% (141/224) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (500/577) | 63% (141/224) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (25/58) | 31% (20/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (160/193) | 41% (24/58) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (11/38) | 33% (1/3) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.48 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.50 | -0.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', 1 - 0, Osman I. ⚽,
- 5', Aribo J. 🟨,
- 21', 1 - 1, Fatawu I. ⚽,
- 32', De Cordova-Reid B. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Mavididi S. ↓, Winks H. ↑,
- 63', Neumann P. ↓, Osayi-Samuel B. ↑,
- 63', Vicente C. ↓, Roberts P. ↑,
- 63', Iwata T. ↓, Doyle T. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 1, Stansfield J. ⚽, Ducksch M. (A),
- 71', Lascelles J. ↓, Aluko O. ↑,
- 75', Stansfield J. ↓, Priske A. ↑,
- 77', Daka P. ↓, Ayew J. ↑,
- 77', Fatawu I. ↓, Richards D. ↑,
- 77', Aribo J. ↓, Mukasa D. ↑,
- 84', Begovic A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Birmingham City
55.1% | Draw
24.6% | Leicester City
20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Birmingham City - Leicester City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↑
(1.72) |
3.88 ↓
(3.93) |
4.69 ↑
(4.52) |
4.8%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Birmingham City - Leicester City?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Birmingham City will win
(23 of 28 users predict this - 82.14%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.95% – 96.33%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Birmingham City will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 20).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 0.
- Birmingham is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Leicester's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Birmingham has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Birmingham is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L.
(Knee Injury)
Cochrane A.
(Ankle Injury)
Gray D.
(Injury)
Laird E.
(Hamstring Injury)
Robinson J.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Leicester: James J.
(Injury)
Okoli C.
(Red Card)
Ramsey A.
(Injury)
Skipp O.
(Injury)
Souttar H.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Leicester: Kristiansen V.
(Knock)
- We predict that Birmingham will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 12:25. (average 1.1:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.5:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham City won against Leicester City?
Birmingham City has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leicester City won against Birmingham City?
Leicester City has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham City - Leicester City were as follows:
29.08.2025
Leicester City
-
Birmingham City
2:0
06.04.2024
Leicester City
-
Birmingham City
2:1
27.01.2024
Leicester City
-
Birmingham City
3:0
18.12.2023
Birmingham City
-
Leicester City
2:3
Latest results of Birmingham City
Latest results of Leicester City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 39 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 81:40 | 41 | 80 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 39 | 20 | 11 | 8 | 59:37 | 22 | 71 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 67:39 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | Millwall | 39 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 53:44 | 9 | 69 |
| 5 | Hull | 39 | 20 | 6 | 13 | 62:57 | 5 | 66 |
| 6 | Southampton | 39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 63:48 | 15 | 63 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 60:51 | 9 | 63 |
| 8 | Derby | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 56:48 | 8 | 60 |
| 9 | Watford | 39 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 50:46 | 4 | 56 |
| 10 | Norwich | 39 | 16 | 6 | 17 | 52:46 | 6 | 54 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 39 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 48:49 | -1 | 53 |
| 12 | QPR | 39 | 15 | 8 | 16 | 55:61 | -6 | 53 |
| 13 | Preston | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 45:49 | -4 | 52 |
| 14 | Swansea | 39 | 15 | 7 | 17 | 44:49 | -5 | 52 |
| 15 | Stoke | 39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 46:43 | 3 | 51 |
| 16 | Bristol City | 39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 49:50 | -1 | 51 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 39 | 15 | 5 | 19 | 54:54 | 0 | 50 |
| 18 | Charlton | 39 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 36:46 | -10 | 48 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 36:49 | -13 | 43 |
| 20 | West Brom | 39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 40:54 | -14 | 43 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 37:54 | -17 | 40 |
| 22 | Leicester | 39 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 51:60 | -9 | 39 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 39 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 36:51 | -15 | 39 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 39 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 24:79 | -55 | -6 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
