Leicester City vs Birmingham City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Leicester City - Birmingham City
Result
2:0
29/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 4
  • Referee: Smith J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 6
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 7
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 2
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kenyaKenyaGotv
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 4
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 2
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV7
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
singaporeSingaporemio Sports 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Premier League, SuperSport Variety 3
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Extra
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.550.83
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
511
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
17
Passes
78% (292/373)83% (371/448)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.550.83
xG on target (xGOT)
1.610.17
Total shots
511
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
06
Shots inside the Box
47
Shots outside the Box
14
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
17
Touches in opposition box
1224
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1610
Passes
78% (292/373)83% (371/448)
Long passes
27% (13/48)48% (24/50)
Passes in final third
63% (33/52)63% (75/119)
Crosses
100% (3/3)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.850.99
Throw-ins
2930
Fouls
1116
Tackles
55% (12/22)64% (14/22)
Duels won
5051
Clearances
3125
Interceptions
913
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
0.171.61
Goals prevented
0.17-0.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Fatawu I. , Page L. (A),
  • 45', Choudhury H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', Page L. , Daka P. ,
  • 57', Fatawu I. 🟨,
  • 62', Furuhashi K. 🟨,
  • 64', Klarer C. 🟨,
  • 66', Willumsson W. T. , Anderson K. ,
  • 71', Mavididi S. , Monga J. ,
  • 72', Choudhury H. , Pereira R. ,
  • 74', Gray D. 🟨,
  • 76', Pereira R. 🟨,
  • 77', Koumas L. , Doyle T. ,
  • 77', Furuhashi K. , Ducksch M. ,
  • 85', Neumann P. , Dykes L. ,
  • 87', Fatawu I. , Faes W. ,
  • 88', 2 - 0, Pereira R. , Monga J. (A),

Chances of winning


Leicester City
42.2%
Draw
30.2%
Birmingham City
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.7% 28.6% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2% 29% 30.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leicester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • Leicester City - Birmingham City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.34
    (2.33)
    3.3
    (3.32)
    3.75
    (3.09)
    -0.2%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Leicester City - Birmingham City?
  • Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Leicester will win (votes: 12 - 41.4%). Birmingham will win (votes: 12 - 41.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Leicester: 23.5%59.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Leicester (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Birmingham (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leicester won 5.
    • Leicester has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Birmingham is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Leicester may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Birmingham has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Leicester: De Cordova-Reid B. (Injury) Kristiansen V. (Knock) Souttar H. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Birmingham: Wright S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Leicester: El Khannouss B. (Inactive) Justin J. (Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Leicester won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:12. (average 2.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leicester won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 2.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leicester City - Birmingham City were as follows:
    06.04.2024 Leicester City - Birmingham City 2:1
    27.01.2024 Leicester City - Birmingham City 3:0
    18.12.2023 Birmingham City - Leicester City 2:3
    Latest results of Leicester City
    Latest results of Birmingham City
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Middlesbrough54109:3613
    2Leicester53118:5310
    3West Brom43106:3310
    4Stoke43018:359
    5Coventry422014:688
    6Bristol City42209:458
    7Preston52216:518
    8Swansea42114:227
    9Portsmouth42114:317
    10Birmingham42114:407
    11Millwall52124:7-37
    12Ipswich51319:546
    13Norwich42026:516
    14Southampton41216:605
    15Watford41215:505
    16Charlton51223:5-25
    17Wrexham41127:704
    18Hull41125:9-44
    19QPR41126:11-54
    20Blackburn41034:5-13
    21Oxford Utd50236:9-32
    22Derby40227:11-42
    23Sheffield Wed40133:9-61
    24Sheffield Utd50051:12-110

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One