Birmingham City vs Sheffield Wednesday – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Birmingham City - Sheffield Wednesday
Result
2:2
30/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 8
  • Referee: Donohue M. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.440.41
Ball Possession
71%29%
Total shots
205
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
104
Passes
82% (413/501)52% (107/204)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.440.41
xG on target (xGOT)
1.910.84
Total shots
205
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
92
Blocked Shots
60
Shots inside the Box
125
Shots outside the Box
80
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
104
Touches in opposition box
259
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1115
Passes
82% (413/501)52% (107/204)
Long passes
43% (24/56)24% (20/85)
Passes in final third
63% (90/143)39% (33/85)
Crosses
28% (10/36)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.280.49
Throw-ins
2415
Fouls
1511
Tackles
60% (6/10)64% (9/14)
Duels won
5245
Clearances
3648
Interceptions
85
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.841.91
Goals prevented
-1.16-0.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Stansfield J. ,
  • 20', Palmer L. 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 1, Lowe J. ,
  • 45+2', Stansfield J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 52', Roberts P. 🟨,
  • 58', Doyle T. , Paik Seung-Ho ,
  • 58', Osayi-Samuel B. , Leonard M. ,
  • 59', Roberts P. , Koumas L. ,
  • 68', Lowe J. , Brown G. ,
  • 73', Stansfield J. , Dykes L. ,
  • 75', Cochrane A. 🟨,
  • 77', 1 - 2, Brown G. , Bannan B. (A),
  • 86', Bannan B. , Fusire S. ,
  • 89', Cashin E. , Fujimoto K. ,
  • 90+6', Cadamarteri B. , Otegbayo G. ,
  • 90+9', 2 - 2, Gray D. ,
  • 90+11', Iorfa D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Birmingham City
65.5%
Draw
21.6%
Sheffield Wednesday
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
72.5% 17.5% 10%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.7% 16.8% 9.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Birmingham City's form might have worsened.
  • Sheffield Wednesday has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Birmingham City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheffield Wednesday than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Birmingham City - Sheffield Wednesday Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.3)
    4.54
    (5.4)
    7.48
    (9.4)
    4.4%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Birmingham City - Sheffield Wednesday?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 20 - 76.9%). Sheff Wed will win (votes: 4 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 60.7%93.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Birmingham City will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 2.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Sheff Wed may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Sheff Wed has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Birmingham is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Birmingham: Anderson K. (Injury) Buchanan L. (Injury) Ducksch M. (Injury) Robinson J. (Red Card) Willumsson W. T. (Injury) Wright S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Sheff Wed: Bernard D. (Knee Injury) Charles P. (Shoulder Injury) Guilherme Siqueira (Achilles Tendon Injury) Kobacki O. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sheff Wed: Chalobah N. (Hamstring Injury) Johnson R. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:30. (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham City - Sheffield Wednesday were as follows:
    09.02.2024 Sheffield Wednesday - Birmingham City 2:0
    25.11.2023 Birmingham City - Sheffield Wednesday 2:1
    Latest results of Birmingham City
    Latest results of Sheffield Wednesday
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry1174031:82325
    2Middlesbrough1173115:7824
    3Millwall1162313:13020
    4Bristol City1154219:11819
    5Charlton1153313:9418
    6Stoke1153312:8418
    7Hull1153319:19018
    8QPR1153315:16-118
    9Leicester1145215:11417
    10West Brom1152412:13-117
    11Preston1144312:10216
    12Watford1143413:13015
    13Birmingham1143411:14-315
    14Ipswich1034316:13313
    15Wrexham1134415:16-113
    16Swansea1134410:11-113
    17Portsmouth1134410:12-213
    18Southampton1126312:15-312
    19Derby1125412:16-411
    20Oxford Utd1123611:14-39
    21Sheffield Utd113087:17-109
    22Norwich1122711:16-58
    23Blackburn102178:16-87
    24Sheffield Wed111379:23-146

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One