Result
2:2
30/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 8
- Referee: Donohue M. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 71% | 29% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (413/501) | 52% (107/204) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (413/501) | 52% (107/204) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (24/56) | 24% (20/85) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (90/143) | 39% (33/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (10/36) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 48 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.16 | -0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', 1 - 0, Stansfield J. ⚽,
- 20', Palmer L. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 1, Lowe J. ⚽,
- 45+2', Stansfield J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', Roberts P. 🟨,
- 58', Doyle T. ↓, Paik Seung-Ho ↑,
- 58', Osayi-Samuel B. ↓, Leonard M. ↑,
- 59', Roberts P. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
- 68', Lowe J. ↓, Brown G. ↑,
- 73', Stansfield J. ↓, Dykes L. ↑,
- 75', Cochrane A. 🟨,
- 77', 1 - 2, Brown G. ⚽, Bannan B. (A),
- 86', Bannan B. ↓, Fusire S. ↑,
- 89', Cashin E. ↓, Fujimoto K. ↑,
- 90+6', Cadamarteri B. ↓, Otegbayo G. ↑,
- 90+9', 2 - 2, Gray D. ⚽,
- 90+11', Iorfa D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Birmingham City
65.5% | Draw
21.6% | Sheffield Wednesday
12.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Birmingham City's form might have worsened.Sheffield Wednesday has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+10.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Birmingham City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheffield Wednesday than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Birmingham City - Sheffield Wednesday Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.45 ↑
(1.3) |
4.54 ↓
(5.4) |
7.48 ↓
(9.4) |
4.4%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Birmingham City - Sheffield Wednesday?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 20 - 76.9%). Sheff Wed will win (votes: 4 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 60.7% – 93.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Birmingham City will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 2.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Sheff Wed may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Sheff Wed has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Birmingham is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Birmingham: Anderson K.
(Injury)
Buchanan L.
(Injury)
Ducksch M.
(Injury)
Robinson J.
(Red Card)
Willumsson W. T.
(Injury)
Wright S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Sheff Wed: Bernard D.
(Knee Injury)
Charles P.
(Shoulder Injury)
Guilherme Siqueira
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Kobacki O.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Sheff Wed: Chalobah N.
(Hamstring Injury)
Johnson R.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:30. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham City won against Sheffield Wednesday?
Birmingham City has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sheffield Wednesday won against Birmingham City?
Sheffield Wednesday has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham City - Sheffield Wednesday were as follows:
09.02.2024
Sheffield Wednesday
-
Birmingham City
2:0
25.11.2023
Birmingham City
-
Sheffield Wednesday
2:1
Latest results of Birmingham City
Latest results of Sheffield Wednesday
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Coventry | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 22:7 | 15 | 16 |
| 3 | Stoke | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Bristol City | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Leicester | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Preston | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Swansea | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 12 |
| 10 | QPR | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Ipswich | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Southampton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 16 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 9 |
| 18 | Hull | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:16 | -3 | 9 |
| 19 | Norwich | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 7 |
| 21 | Oxford Utd | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
| 22 | Blackburn | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 23 | Sheffield Wed | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 24 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3:15 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
