Sheffield Wednesday vs Birmingham City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
20/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 28
  • Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.352.77
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
722
Shots on target
17
Big chances
04
Corner kicks
311
Passes
78% (331/424)75% (308/413)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
0.352.77
xG on target (xGOT)
0.012.13
Total shots
722
Shots on target
17
Shots off target
47
Blocked shots
28
Shots inside the box
417
Shots outside the box
35
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
04
Corner kicks
311
Touches in opposition box
1035
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free kicks
109
Passes
78% (331/424)75% (308/413)
Long passes
37% (19/51)37% (19/51)
Passes in final third
62% (61/99)68% (103/151)
Crosses
17% (3/18)17% (4/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.611.48
Throw ins
2728
Fouls
910
Tackles
82% (9/11)56% (10/18)
Duels won
4247
Clearances
5134
Interceptions
1110
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
61
xGOT faced
2.130.01
Goals prevented
0.130.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 41', Johnson R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 56', Lowe J. 🟨,
  • 67', Koumas L. , Furuhashi K. ,
  • 67', Doyle T. , Solis Romero J. E. ,
  • 71', Ingelsson S. , McNeill C. ,
  • 83', 0 - 1, Ducksch M. , Stansfield J. (A),
  • 87', Stansfield J. 🟨,
  • 88', Stansfield J. , Wright S. ,
  • 88', Lowe J. , Redmond N. ,
  • 89', Bannan B. , Thornton J. ,
  • 90+1', Ducksch M. , Willumsson W. T. ,
  • 90+2', 0 - 2, Furuhashi K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sheffield Wednesday
13.2%
Draw
21%
Birmingham City
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.3% 23.4% 60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16% 22.9% 61.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sheffield Wednesday has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Birmingham City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sheffield Wednesday than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Sheffield Wednesday - Birmingham City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.12
    (5.79)
    4.47
    (4.05)
    1.43
    (1.57)
    6.2%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Sheffield Wednesday - Birmingham City?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Sheff Wed will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Birmingham will win (votes: 9 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 26.9%73.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Sheff Wed (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Birmingham (1.70) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • AH 0 - Sheff Wed (5.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Sheff Wed (3.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Sheff Wed (2.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Sheff Wed (2.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.25 - Sheff Wed (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Birmingham City will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Sheff Wed (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Birmingham (votes: 8 - 47.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sheff Wed won 2.
    • Sheff Wed is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Birmingham has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Birmingham is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Sheff Wed: Bernard D. (Knee Injury) Brown G. (Inactive) Chalobah N. (Leg Injury) Charles P. (Injury) Cooper L. (Injury) Ugbo I. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury) Gray D. (Injury) Laird E. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sheff Wed: Kobacki O. (Groin Injury) Lowe M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Birmingham: Osayi-Samuel B. (Injury) Robinson J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sheff Wed won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:25. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sheff Wed won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 1.7:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sheffield Wednesday - Birmingham City were as follows:
    30.09.2025 Birmingham City - Sheffield Wednesday 2:2
    09.02.2024 Sheffield Wednesday - Birmingham City 2:0
    25.11.2023 Birmingham City - Sheffield Wednesday 2:1
    Latest results of Sheffield Wednesday
    Latest results of Birmingham City
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry422510784:424285
    2Ipswich402112771:403175
    3Millwall4221101156:47973
    4Middlesbrough4220121062:422072
    5Southampton4119121070:502069
    6Hull422081464:60468
    7Wrexham4217131263:60364
    8Derby421891561:53863
    9Norwich421771855:50558
    10Bristol City4216101652:51158
    11QPR4216101658:63-558
    12Watford4214151352:51157
    13Preston4214151350:53-357
    14Swansea421691750:54-457
    15Birmingham4215111651:52-156
    16Stoke4215101749:46355
    17Sheffield Utd421662059:59054
    18Charlton4212131739:51-1249
    19Blackburn4212121838:50-1248
    20West Brom4211131842:56-1446
    21Portsmouth4111121841:57-1645
    22Oxford Utd4210141841:54-1344
    23Leicester4211141754:64-1041
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 421113025:82-57-4

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One