Result
3:0
01/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 25
- Referee: Smith L. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | CBS Sports Network, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (318/403) | 81% (395/485) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 0.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (318/403) | 81% (395/485) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (29/69) | 41% (19/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (60/92) | 68% (110/161) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 14% (3/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.19 | 2.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.19 | -0.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Ince T. ⚽, Chakvetadze G. (A),
- 38', 2 - 0, Ince T. ⚽,
- 43', Pollock M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Sampsted A. ↓, Leonard M. ↑,
- 46', Willumsson W. T. ↓, Dykes L. ↑,
- 46', Chakvetadze G. ↓, Irankunda N. ↑,
- 60', 3 - 0, Ince T. ⚽, Irankunda N. (A),
- 62', Cochrane A. ↓, Cashin E. ↑,
- 63', Dykes L. 🟨,
- 64', Kjerrumgaard L. ↓, Semedo V. ↑,
- 68', Furuhashi K. ↓, Ducksch M. ↑,
- 69', Louza I. ↓, Mendy N. ↑,
- 70', Maamma O. ↓, Sissoko M. ↑,
- 77', Ince T. ↓, Baah K. ↑,
- 77', Anderson K. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
- 78', Paik Seung-Ho 🟨,
Chances of winning
Watford
42.2% | Draw
28% | Birmingham City
29.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Birmingham City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Watford than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Birmingham City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Watford - Birmingham City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↓
(2.52) |
3.38 ↓
(3.42) |
3.15 ↑
(2.71) |
5.9%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Watford - Birmingham City?
Users Predictions:
39 users predict this event. Watford will win (votes: 31 - 79.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 20.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Watford: 66.8% – 92.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Watford will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%) 🥇 Gold Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Watford won 3.
- Watford is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Birmingham is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Watford: Baah K.
(Hamstring Injury)
Doumbia M.
(International duty)
Grieves J.
(Ankle Injury)
Kayembe E.
(International duty)
Vata R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Wiley C.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L.
(Knee Injury)
Cochrane A.
(Inactive)
Doyle T.
(Red Card)
Gray D.
(Injury)
Laird E.
(Hamstring Injury)
Osayi-Samuel B.
(International duty)
Wright S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Watford: Akomeah T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Watford won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:5. (average 1.6:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Watford won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:0. (average 2:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Watford won against Birmingham City?
Watford has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham City won against Watford?
Birmingham City has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Watford - Birmingham City were as follows:
01.12.2025
Birmingham City
-
Watford
2:1
16.03.2024
Birmingham City
-
Watford
0:1
16.09.2023
Watford
-
Birmingham City
2:0
14.03.2023
Watford
-
Birmingham City
3:0
Latest results of Watford
Latest results of Birmingham City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 72:38 | 34 | 71 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 54:35 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | Millwall | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 47:40 | 7 | 62 |
| 4 | Ipswich | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 59:34 | 25 | 60 |
| 5 | Hull | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 56:48 | 8 | 60 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 54:45 | 9 | 57 |
| 7 | Southampton | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 57:46 | 11 | 53 |
| 8 | Derby | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 52:46 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Watford | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 51 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 48:44 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Preston | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 41:40 | 1 | 49 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 49 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 35 | 15 | 3 | 17 | 50:48 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Stoke | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 39:34 | 5 | 47 |
| 15 | QPR | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 46:54 | -8 | 47 |
| 16 | Swansea | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 40:43 | -3 | 46 |
| 17 | Norwich | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 47:44 | 3 | 45 |
| 18 | Charlton | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 41 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:44 | -10 | 39 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 33:46 | -13 | 38 |
| 21 | West Brom | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 35 |
| 22 | Leicester | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 47:56 | -9 | 34 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 31:47 | -16 | 32 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 35 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 21:71 | -50 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
