Watford vs Birmingham City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Vicarage Road (Watford).

Championship - Round 25
Referee: Smith L. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.56	0.40
Ball Possession
45%	55%
Total shots
13	6
Shots on target
6	2
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
4	4
Passes
79% (318/403)	81% (395/485)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56	0.40
xG on target (xGOT)
2.29	0.19
Total shots
13	6
Shots on target
6	2
Shots off target
5	3
Blocked Shots
2	1
Shots inside the Box
10	5
Shots outside the Box
3	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
18	10
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	3
Free Kicks
14	5
Passes
79% (318/403)	81% (395/485)
Long passes
42% (29/69)	41% (19/46)
Passes in final third
65% (60/92)	68% (110/161)
Crosses
19% (3/16)	14% (3/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.80	0.46
Throw-ins
17	19
Fouls
5	14
Tackles
50% (7/14)	62% (8/13)
Duels won
46	36
Clearances
42	25
Interceptions
6	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.19	2.29
Goals prevented
0.19	-0.71

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Ince T. ⚽, Chakvetadze G. (A),
38', 2 - 0, Ince T. ⚽,
43', Pollock M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sampsted A. ↓, Leonard M. ↑,
46', Willumsson W. T. ↓, Dykes L. ↑,
46', Chakvetadze G. ↓, Irankunda N. ↑,
60', 3 - 0, Ince T. ⚽, Irankunda N. (A),
62', Cochrane A. ↓, Cashin E. ↑,
63', Dykes L. 🟨,
64', Kjerrumgaard L. ↓, Semedo V. ↑,
68', Furuhashi K. ↓, Ducksch M. ↑,
69', Louza I. ↓, Mendy N. ↑,
70', Maamma O. ↓, Sissoko M. ↑,
77', Ince T. ↓, Baah K. ↑,
77', Anderson K. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
78', Paik Seung-Ho 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Watford
42.2%

Draw
28%

Birmingham City
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

27.6%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

27.8%

35.2%

Watford - Birmingham City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.52)	3.38 ↓ (3.42)	3.15 ↑ (2.71)	5.9% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Watford - Birmingham City?

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Watford will win (votes: 31 - 79.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 20.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Watford: 66.8% – 92.2%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Watford (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Watford won 3.
Watford is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Birmingham is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Watford: Baah K. (Hamstring Injury) Doumbia M. (International duty) Grieves J. (Ankle Injury) Kayembe E. (International duty) Vata R. (Hamstring Injury) Wiley C. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury) Cochrane A. (Inactive) Doyle T. (Red Card) Gray D. (Injury) Laird E. (Hamstring Injury) Osayi-Samuel B. (International duty) Wright S. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Watford: Akomeah T. (Inactive)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Watford won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:5. (average 1.6:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Watford won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:0. (average 2:0).

How many head-to-head matches has Watford won against Birmingham City?

Watford has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham City won against Watford?

Birmingham City has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Watford - Birmingham City were as follows:

01.12.2025 Birmingham City - Watford 2:1

16.03.2024 Birmingham City - Watford 0:1

16.09.2023 Watford - Birmingham City 2:0

14.03.2023 Watford - Birmingham City 3:0

Latest results of Watford

29.12.2025 Norwich City - Watford 0:1 ✺

26.12.2025 Leicester City - Watford 1:2 ✺

20.12.2025 Watford - Stoke City 1:0 ✺

13.12.2025 Wrexham - Watford 2:2 ✺

09.12.2025 Watford - Sheffield Wednesday 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Birmingham City

29.12.2025 Birmingham City - Southampton 1:1 ✺

26.12.2025 Birmingham City - Derby County 1:1 ✺

20.12.2025 Sheffield United - Birmingham City 3:0 ✺

13.12.2025 Birmingham City - Charlton Athletic 1:1 ✺

09.12.2025 Queens Park Rangers - Birmingham City 2:1 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	28	17	7	4	61:31	30	58
2	Middlesbrough	28	15	7	6	42:29	13	52
3	Ipswich	27	14	8	5	47:24	23	50
4	Hull	27	14	5	8	45:39	6	47
5	Millwall	28	13	7	8	32:35	-3	46
6	Preston	28	11	10	7	36:29	7	43
7	Watford	27	11	9	7	38:32	6	42
8	Stoke	28	12	5	11	33:25	8	41
9	Wrexham	28	10	11	7	40:35	5	41
10	Derby	28	11	8	9	38:36	2	41
11	Bristol City	28	11	7	10	38:31	7	40
12	QPR	28	11	7	10	38:39	-1	40
13	Birmingham	28	10	8	10	38:37	1	38
14	Leicester	28	10	8	10	39:41	-2	38
15	Southampton	28	9	9	10	40:40	0	36
16	Swansea	28	10	6	12	31:35	-4	36
17	Sheffield Utd	27	10	2	15	36:40	-4	32
18	Charlton	27	8	8	11	27:34	-7	32
19	West Brom	28	9	4	15	31:43	-12	31
20	Norwich	28	8	6	14	35:40	-5	30
21	Portsmouth	26	7	8	11	23:36	-13	29
22	Blackburn	27	7	7	13	25:36	-11	28
23	Oxford Utd	27	5	9	13	25:35	-10	24
24	Sheffield Wed	27	1	8	18	18:54	-36	-7

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One