Result
1:3
01/04/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 27
- Referee: Macedo C. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 8 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 5 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5 |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (197/264) | 84% (390/465) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 3.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (197/264) | 84% (390/465) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (31/65) | 44% (25/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (53/87) | 62% (58/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.49 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (8/20) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 52 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 24 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.46 | 1.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 52', Reisinho M. ↓, Diaby A. ↑,
- 55', 0 - 1, Pablo ⚽, Toure T. (A),
- 56', 0 - 2, Pablo ⚽, Fujimoto K. (A),
- 58', Ze Carlos 🟨,
- 60', Perez S. ↓, Ariyibi G. ↑,
- 60', Kone M. ↓, Lystsov V. ↑,
- 65', 0 - 3, Pablo ⚽,
- 69', Cruz S. ↓, Mutombo J. ↑,
- 69', van Ginkel M. ↓, Camara I. ↑,
- 69', Kurzawa L. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
- 71', Camara I. 🟨,
- 73', Pablo ↓, Aguirre J. ↑,
- 73', Bermejo ↓, Mboula J. ↑,
- 78', Caseres F. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
- 79', Toure T. 🟨,
- 80', Toure T. 🟨,
- 81', Vitoria S. 🟥,
- 90+6', 1 - 3, Bozenik R. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Boavista
26% | Draw
30.1% | Gil Vicente
43.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boavista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Boavista's form might have worsened.Gil Vicente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gil Vicente's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boavista, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gil Vicente, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Boavista - Gil Vicente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.57 ↑
(2.67) |
3.1
(3.1) |
2.15 ↓
(2.58) |
6.7%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Boavista - Gil Vicente?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Boavista will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Gil Vicente will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boavista: 15.2% – 64.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 14).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Boavista won 2.
- Boavista is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Gil Vicente has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Gil Vicente could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Gil Vicente will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Boavista: Agra S.
(Red Card)
Ferreira F.
(Knee Injury)
Joao Goncalves
(Knee Injury)
Moraes Pires L. H.
(Knee Injury)
Ribeiro M.
(Knee Injury)
Silva T.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Gil Vicente: Sithole S.
(Leg Injury)
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Boavista won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:13 (average 1:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Boavista won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Boavista won against Gil Vicente?
Boavista has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gil Vicente won against Boavista?
Gil Vicente has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Boavista - Gil Vicente were as follows:
02.11.2024
Gil Vicente
-
Boavista
1:2
04.05.2024
Boavista
-
Gil Vicente
1:1
30.12.2023
Gil Vicente
-
Boavista
1:0
12.05.2023
Gil Vicente
-
Boavista
3:1
08.01.2023
Boavista
-
Gil Vicente
1:0
Latest results of Boavista
Latest results of Gil Vicente
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 31 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 63:15 | 48 | 82 |
| 2 | Benfica | 31 | 22 | 9 | 0 | 67:20 | 47 | 75 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 77:22 | 55 | 73 |
| 4 | Braga | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 59:31 | 28 | 56 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 39:27 | 12 | 51 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 49 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 38:43 | -5 | 42 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 34:45 | -11 | 39 |
| 9 | Alverca | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 34:49 | -15 | 38 |
| 10 | Estoril | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 51:52 | -1 | 37 |
| 11 | Arouca | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 39:60 | -21 | 35 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 33:52 | -19 | 34 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 28:38 | -10 | 32 |
| 14 | Nacional | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 34:41 | -7 | 31 |
| 15 | Estrela | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 34:51 | -17 | 28 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 29:55 | -26 | 26 |
| 17 | Tondela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 23:52 | -29 | 22 |
| 18 | AFS ✔ | 31 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 22:65 | -43 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
AFS is Relegated to Liga Portugal 2
