Result
4:2
02/04/2023 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 26
- Referee: Godinho L. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV |
Chances of winning
Marítimo
42% | Draw
29.3% | Boavista
28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marítimo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marítimo's performance.Boavista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Boavista might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marítimo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (+5%)
Marítimo - Boavista Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↓
(2.59) |
3.21 ↑
(3.15) |
3.3 ↑
(2.74) |
5.9%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Marítimo - Boavista?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Marítimo will win (votes: 10 - 45.5%). Boavista will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marítimo: 24.7% – 66.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 12).
- Marítimo has the most likely position - 16 (44.06%), project points - 26, currently - 16, a good chance of relegated (65%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- Boavista has the most likely position - 13 (21.75%), project points - 40, currently - 30, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), not chance of win league.
- This event has quality 43, small importance 23, match rating 33. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Both teams are in bad shape now.
- Marítimo will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Marítimo: Catamo G.
(Injury)
Mendes D.
(Injury)
Rene
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Boavista: Penaranda A.
(Injury)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Marítimo won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.
- Including matches at home between the teams Marítimo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Marítimo won against Boavista?
Marítimo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Boavista won against Marítimo?
Boavista has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marítimo - Boavista were as follows:
09.10.2022
Boavista
-
Marítimo
1:1
Latest results of Marítimo
Latest results of Boavista
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 54:11 | 43 | 72 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 68:15 | 53 | 65 |
| 3 | Benfica | 27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 58:17 | 41 | 65 |
| 4 | Braga | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 53:27 | 26 | 46 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 33:22 | 11 | 45 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 39:28 | 11 | 42 |
| 7 | Estoril | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 48:44 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 31:39 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 29:42 | -13 | 32 |
| 10 | Rio Ave | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28:46 | -18 | 30 |
| 11 | Alverca | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Arouca | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 34:55 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 24:31 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 | Estrela | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26:48 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 | Nacional | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 29:39 | -10 | 22 |
| 17 | Tondela | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 19:39 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 | AFS | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 18:58 | -40 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
