Result
2:0
19/03/2023 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 25
- Referee: Nobre A. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | Arena Sport |
 Portugal | Sport TV |
Chances of winning
Casa Pia
45.4% | Draw
29.9% | Marítimo
24.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Casa Pia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Casa Pia's form might have worsened.Marítimo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Casa Pia - Marítimo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↑
(1.79) |
3.19 ↓
(3.49) |
3.79 ↓
(4.16) |
5.9%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Casa Pia - Marítimo?
Users Predictions:
Casa Pia will win
(21 of 26 users predict this - 80.77%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.62% – 95.92%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation)).
- Casa Pia has the most likely position - 7 (14.77%), project points - 46, currently - 35, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), not chance of win league.
- Marítimo has the most likely position - 16 (41.88%), project points - 27, currently - 16, a good chance of relegated (54%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- This event has quality 43, small importance 22, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Recent matches Casa Pia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Marítimo is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Casa Pia will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Casa Pia: Leo Natel
(Broken Leg)
- There will not play in Marítimo: Mendes D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Casa Pia: Rafael Martins
(Injury)
Tchamba D.
(Injury)
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Casa Pia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Casa Pia won against Marítimo?
Casa Pia has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marítimo won against Casa Pia?
Marítimo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Casa Pia - Marítimo were as follows:
03.10.2022
Marítimo
-
Casa Pia
1:2
Latest results of Casa Pia
Latest results of Marítimo
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto ✔ | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 64:15 | 49 | 85 |
| 2 | Benfica | 32 | 22 | 10 | 0 | 69:22 | 47 | 76 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 32 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 82:23 | 59 | 76 |
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 60:32 | 28 | 57 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 42 |
| 8 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 39:48 | -9 | 42 |
| 9 | Estoril | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 52:53 | -1 | 38 |
| 10 | Alverca | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 | Arouca | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 41:62 | -21 | 36 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 33:52 | -19 | 35 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 30:40 | -10 | 33 |
| 14 | Nacional | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 35:43 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | Estrela | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 36:54 | -18 | 28 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 29:56 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Tondela | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 24:52 | -28 | 25 |
| 18 | AFS ✔ | 32 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 24:66 | -42 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
FC Porto is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
AFS is Relegated to Liga Portugal 2
