Result
1:2
11/05/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 33
- Referee: Pereira C. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | RTP Africa, RTP Africa, RTP Africa, ZAP |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8 |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
Italy | DAZN Italia |
Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
Lithuania | Sport 1 |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
Portugal | RTPi, RTP International, Sport TV1 |
Romania | AntenaPLAY |
Russia | TV Start |
Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP |
Serbia | Arena Sport 2, SportKlub 1 |
Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
Slovenia | SportKlub 1 |
South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | S Sport+ |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Inter |
World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.75 | 1.27 |
Ball Possession |
---|
41% | 59% |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
0 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
80% (297/372) | 85% (461/543) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 2 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.75 | 1.27 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.57 | 1.41 |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 14 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
0 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
19 | 32 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
11 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
19 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
80% (297/372) | 85% (461/543) |
Long passes |
---|
59% (29/49) | 53% (30/57) |
Passes in final third |
---|
61% (49/80) | 69% (92/134) |
Crosses |
---|
6% (1/16) | 25% (3/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.57 | 0.68 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 14 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 19 |
Tackles |
---|
57% (8/14) | 88% (7/8) |
Duels won |
---|
46 | 43 |
Clearances |
---|
22 | 26 |
Interceptions |
---|
11 | 12 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
3 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.41 | 1.57 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.59 | 0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 4', Kakay O. 🟨,
- 9', Perez N. 🟨,
- 20', 0 - 1, Mora R. ⚽, Moura F. (A),
- 25', 0 - 2, Marcano I. ⚽, Perez N. (A),
- 34', 1 - 2, Reisinho M. (Pen),
- 45+7', Anselmi M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 67', Mora R. ↓, Pepê ↑,
- 79', Joao Mario ↓, Fernandes M. ↑,
- 79', Eustaquio S. ↓, Perez T. ↑,
- 79', Agra S. ↓, Ariyibi G. ↑,
- 81', Perez N. 🟨,
- 84', Samu ↓, Otavio ↑,
- 84', Vieira F. ↓, Danny Namaso ↑,
- 86', Ferreira F. ↓, van Ginkel M. ↑,
- 90+1', Reisinho M. 🟨,
- 90+4', Fogning S. 🟨,
- 90+5', Kakay O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Boavista 12.8% | Draw 19.6% | Porto 67.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boavista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Porto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Boavista - Porto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
7.37 ↓ (9.25) |
4.86 ↓ (5.25) |
1.4 ↑ (1.33) |
5.7% (5.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Boavista - Porto?
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Boavista will win (votes: 5 - 18.5%). Porto will win (votes: 21 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 62.1% – 93.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Boavista (votes: 2 - 40%). Porto (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boavista won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Porto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Porto is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Boavista: Joao Goncalves
(Knee Injury)
Kurzawa L.
(Inactive)
Llorente D.
(Inactive)
Machado T.
(Inactive)
Ribeiro M.
(Knee Injury)
Vukotic I.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Porto: Costa D.
(Buttock Injury)
Grujic M.
(Heel Injury)
Sousa V.
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Boavista: Silva T.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Boavista won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:19. (average 0.8:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Boavista won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Boavista won against Porto?
Boavista has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Porto won against Boavista?
Porto has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Boavista - Porto were as follows:
28.12.2024
Porto
-
Boavista
4:0
12.05.2024
Porto
-
Boavista
2:1
05.01.2024
Boavista
-
Porto
1:1
12.11.2022
Boavista
-
Porto
1:4
Latest results of Boavista
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Estrela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Estoril | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Rio Ave | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Santa Clara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Moreirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | FC Porto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Sporting CP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Nacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Arouca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Casa Pia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Tondela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Alverca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Famalicao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | AFS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2