Result
1:2
11/05/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 33
- Referee: Pereira C. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | RTP Africa, RTP Africa, RTP Africa, ZAP |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Lithuania | Sport 1 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | RTPi, RTP International, Sport TV1 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2, SportKlub 1 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 1 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 1.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (297/372) | 85% (461/543) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 1.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (297/372) | 85% (461/543) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (29/49) | 53% (30/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (49/80) | 69% (92/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/16) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.68 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 88% (7/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.59 | 0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 4', Kakay O. 🟨,
- 9', Perez N. 🟨,
- 20', 0 - 1, Mora R. ⚽, Moura F. (A),
- 25', 0 - 2, Marcano I. ⚽, Perez N. (A),
- 34', 1 - 2, Reisinho M. (Pen),
- 45+7', Anselmi M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 67', Mora R. ↓, Pepê ↑,
- 79', Joao Mario ↓, Fernandes M. ↑,
- 79', Eustaquio S. ↓, Perez T. ↑,
- 79', Agra S. ↓, Ariyibi G. ↑,
- 81', Perez N. 🟨,
- 84', Samu ↓, Otavio ↑,
- 84', Vieira F. ↓, Danny Namaso ↑,
- 86', Ferreira F. ↓, van Ginkel M. ↑,
- 90+1', Reisinho M. 🟨,
- 90+4', Fogning S. 🟨,
- 90+5', Kakay O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Boavista
12.8% | Draw
19.6% | Porto
67.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boavista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Porto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Boavista - Porto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.37 ↓
(9.25) |
4.86 ↓
(5.25) |
1.4 ↑
(1.33) |
5.7%
(5.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Boavista - Porto?
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Boavista will win (votes: 5 - 18.5%). Porto will win (votes: 21 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 62.1% – 93.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Boavista (votes: 2 - 40%). Porto (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boavista won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Porto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Porto is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Boavista: Joao Goncalves
(Knee Injury)
Kurzawa L.
(Inactive)
Llorente D.
(Inactive)
Machado T.
(Inactive)
Ribeiro M.
(Knee Injury)
Vukotic I.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Porto: Costa D.
(Buttock Injury)
Grujic M.
(Heel Injury)
Sousa V.
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Boavista: Silva T.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Boavista won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:19. (average 0.8:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Boavista won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Boavista won against Porto?
Boavista has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Porto won against Boavista?
Porto has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Boavista - Porto were as follows:
28.12.2024
Porto
-
Boavista
4:0
12.05.2024
Porto
-
Boavista
2:1
05.01.2024
Boavista
-
Porto
1:1
12.11.2022
Boavista
-
Porto
1:4
Latest results of Boavista
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting CP | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 11 | 9 |
| 2 | Moreirense | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Braga | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 6 |
| 4 | FC Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Benfica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Arouca | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:10 | -4 | 4 |
| 8 | Gil Vicente | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Casa Pia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Nacional | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
| 15 | Santa Clara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Alverca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | AFS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Tondela | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
