Result
0:2
31/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 7
- Referee: Zunino S. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | ESPN Premium |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | K-Ball |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
Israel | Sport 4 |
Italy | Como TV, Sportitalia |
Mexico | Disney+, Fanatiz |
Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
South-america | ESPN South |
Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (238/335) | 76% (348/455) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 1.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (238/335) | 76% (348/455) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (16/49) | 35% (25/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (77/124) | 48% (40/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.69 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.98 | 0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 38', Gino F. 🟨,
- 42', Costa A. 🟨,
- 45+2', 0 - 1, Di Lollo L. ⚽, Carlos Palacios (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Garcia M. ↓, Leiva T. ↑,
- 46', Garcia M. ↓, Preciado E. ↑,
- 65', Gino F. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
- 67', Aguirre B. ↓, Zeballos E. ↑,
- 67', Miguel Merentiel ↓, Velasco A. ↑,
- 74', Cervera T. ↓, De La Vega F. ↑,
- 74', Bochi R. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
- 74', Leiva T. 🟨,
- 77', Cabral Y. 🟨,
- 77', Cavani E. 🟨,
- 80', 0 - 2, Battaglia R. ⚽, Paredes L. (A),
- 82', Carlos Palacios ↓, Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ↑,
- 90+3', Marchesin A. ↓, Brey L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Aldosivi 17.5% | Draw 29.1% | Boca Juniors 53.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aldosivi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aldosivi's form might have worsened.Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Boca Juniors's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (+9.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aldosivi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (-9.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Boca Juniors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Aldosivi - Boca Juniors Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.29 ↑ (3.4) |
3.22 ↓ (3.23) |
1.79 ↓ (2.18) |
5.9% (6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Aldosivi - Boca Juniors?
Users Predictions:
Boca Juniors will win
(18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.7% – 97.94%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Boca Juniors will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aldosivi won 0.
- Aldosivi is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Boca Juniors has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Boca Juniors may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Boca Juniors is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Aldosivi: Breitenbruch N.
(Knee Injury)
Chavez L.
(Muscle Injury)
Godoy F.
(Foot Injury)
Mottes G.
(Muscle Injury)
Roman F.
(Knee Injury)
Villarreal A.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Boca Juniors: Belmonte T.
(Muscle Injury)
Blondel L.
(Inactive)
Herrera A.
(Muscle Injury)
Romero S.
(Knee Injury)
Zenon K.
(Inactive)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Aldosivi won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:24. (average 1.1:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aldosivi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.5:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Aldosivi won against Boca Juniors?
Aldosivi has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Boca Juniors won against Aldosivi?
Boca Juniors has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aldosivi - Boca Juniors were as follows:
22.02.2025
Boca Juniors
-
Aldosivi
2:1
09.10.2022
Boca Juniors
-
Aldosivi
2:1
Latest results of Aldosivi
Latest results of Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Central Cordoba | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 21 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 21 |
| 3 | Union de Santa Fe | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19:13 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Defensa y Justicia | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 19 |
| 5 | Argentinos Jrs | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Belgrano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 15:13 | 2 | 18 |
| 8 | Tigre | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 13:11 | 2 | 18 |
| 9 | Racing Club | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 18 |
| 10 | Boca Juniors | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19:10 | 9 | 17 |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 |
| 12 | Huracan | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 6:11 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 | Ind. Rivadavia | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:21 | -10 | 11 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 5:15 | -10 | 9 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Riestra | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 18:9 | 9 | 27 |
| 2 | Rosario Central | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 27 |
| 3 | Lanus | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 26 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:9 | 10 | 25 |
| 5 | River Plate | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20:12 | 8 | 21 |
| 6 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 11:10 | 1 | 19 |
| 7 | San Martin S.J | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 17 |
| 8 | Atl. Tucuman | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Junin | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 9:14 | -5 | 15 |
| 10 | Instituto | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 15 |
| 11 | Talleres Cordoba | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Gimnasia L.P | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 8:16 | -8 | 13 |
| 13 | Platense | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 11 |
| 14 | Godoy Cruz | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 10 |
| 15 | Independiente | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 9:13 | -4 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)