Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes La Plata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Boca Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata
Result
2:0
19/04/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 14
  • Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldDisney+, TyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.070.75
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
83% (302/365)81% (304/374)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
1.070.75
xG on target (xGOT)
1.740.39
Total shots
811
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
37
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
1114
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1918
Passes
83% (302/365)81% (304/374)
Long passes
56% (25/45)63% (32/51)
Passes in final third
61% (57/93)61% (46/75)
Crosses
21% (3/14)39% (7/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.260.59
Fouls
1819
Tackles
93% (14/15)69% (9/13)
Duels won
4745
Clearances Total
3016
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.391.74
Goals prevented
0.39-0.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Advincula L. 🟨,
  • 27', Arzamendia S. 🟨,
  • 40', Cavani E. (Pen),
  • 42', Carlos Palacios 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 48', 1 - 0, Carlos Palacios , Miguel Merentiel (A),
  • 51', Blanco L. 🟨,
  • 52', Mansilla M. 🟨,
  • 62', Rojo M. , Costa A. ,
  • 63', 2 - 0, Miguel Merentiel ,
  • 72', Miguel Merentiel , Miramon I. ,
  • 72', Blanco L. , Saracchi M. ,
  • 73', Palacios T. , Burgos T. ,
  • 73', Cetre E. , Farias F. ,
  • 81', Ascacibar S. 🟨,
  • 82', Medina C. , Gimenez L. ,
  • 84', Zenon K. , Zeballos E. ,
  • 84', Delgado M. , Di Lollo L. ,
  • 90+5', Marchesin A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Boca Juniors
44.4%
Draw
30.5%
Estudiantes La Plata
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.8% 29.3% 19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4% 28.4% 19.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Boca Juniors's form might have worsened.
  • Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Estudiantes La Plata's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boca Juniors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Estudiantes La Plata, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Boca Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (1.86)
    3.12
    (3.21)
    3.72
    (4.73)
    5.8%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Boca Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Estudiantes will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Boca Juniors is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Boca Juniors won 0.
    • Boca Juniors is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Estudiantes is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Boca Juniors will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Boca Juniors: Alarcon Cepeda W. H. (Knee Injury) Figal J. (Ankle Injury) Herrera A. (Hamstring Injury) Lema C. (Muscle Injury) Rey Domenech C. (Muscle Injury) Romero S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Estudiantes: Ascacibar S. (Yellow Cards) Burgos J. (Thigh Injury) Castro A. (Muscle Injury) Nunez S. (Yellow Cards)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Boca Juniors won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 20:20 (average 1:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Boca Juniors won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:5 (average 1.4:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Boca Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata were as follows:
    26.08.2024 Estudiantes La Plata - Boca Juniors 1:1
    30.04.2024 Estudiantes La Plata - Boca Juniors 2:1
    12.04.2024 Estudiantes La Plata - Boca Juniors 0:0
    22.11.2023 Boca Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata 2:3
    28.10.2023 Boca Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata 0:0
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    Latest results of Estudiantes La Plata
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union de Santa Fe31202:115
    2Ind. Rivadavia31114:224
    3Belgrano31113:124
    4Defensa y Justicia21102:024
    5Banfield21102:114
    6Tigre31113:304
    7Newells Old Boys21013:303
    8Estudiantes L.P21012:203
    9Racing Club21011:103
    10Barracas Central21011:3-23
    11Boca Juniors20201:102
    12Central Cordoba20201:102
    13Argentinos Jrs20111:2-11
    14Aldosivi20110:2-21
    15Huracan20021:5-40


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate22007:166
    2Atl. Tucuman21103:214
    3Rosario Central21102:114
    4Velez Sarsfield21102:114
    5San Lorenzo21102:114
    6San Martin S.J21014:403
    7Talleres Cordoba21013:303
    8Dep. Riestra21013:303
    9Lanus31022:203
    10Instituto21011:4-33
    11Godoy Cruz20201:102
    12Sarmiento Junin30212:4-22
    13Independiente20113:4-11
    14Gimnasia L.P20110:1-11
    15Platense20111:3-21

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)