Result
2:0
19/04/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 14
- Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | K-Ball |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | Como TV, Sportitalia |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 World | Disney+, TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (302/365) | 81% (304/374) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (302/365) | 81% (304/374) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (25/45) | 63% (32/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (57/93) | 61% (46/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 39% (7/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.59 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 93% (14/15) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 45 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 30 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.39 | -0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Advincula L. 🟨,
- 27', Arzamendia S. 🟨,
- 40', Cavani E. (Pen),
- 42', Carlos Palacios 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 48', 1 - 0, Carlos Palacios ⚽, Miguel Merentiel (A),
- 51', Blanco L. 🟨,
- 52', Mansilla M. 🟨,
- 62', Rojo M. ↓, Costa A. ↑,
- 63', 2 - 0, Miguel Merentiel ⚽,
- 72', Miguel Merentiel ↓, Miramon I. ↑,
- 72', Blanco L. ↓, Saracchi M. ↑,
- 73', Palacios T. ↓, Burgos T. ↑,
- 73', Cetre E. ↓, Farias F. ↑,
- 81', Ascacibar S. 🟨,
- 82', Medina C. ↓, Gimenez L. ↑,
- 84', Zenon K. ↓, Zeballos E. ↑,
- 84', Delgado M. ↓, Di Lollo L. ↑,
- 90+5', Marchesin A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Boca Juniors
44.4% | Draw
30.5% | Estudiantes La Plata
25.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Boca Juniors's form might have worsened.Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Estudiantes La Plata's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boca Juniors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Estudiantes La Plata, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Boca Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↑
(1.86) |
3.12 ↓
(3.21) |
3.72 ↓
(4.73) |
5.8%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Boca Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Estudiantes will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Boca Juniors is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Boca Juniors won 0.
- Boca Juniors is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Estudiantes is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Boca Juniors will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Boca Juniors: Alarcon Cepeda W. H.
(Knee Injury)
Figal J.
(Ankle Injury)
Herrera A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Lema C.
(Muscle Injury)
Rey Domenech C.
(Muscle Injury)
Romero S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Estudiantes: Ascacibar S.
(Yellow Cards)
Burgos J.
(Thigh Injury)
Castro A.
(Muscle Injury)
Nunez S.
(Yellow Cards)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Boca Juniors won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 20:20 (average 1:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Boca Juniors won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:5 (average 1.4:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Boca Juniors won against Estudiantes La Plata?
Boca Juniors has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estudiantes La Plata won against Boca Juniors?
Estudiantes La Plata has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Boca Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata were as follows:
26.08.2024
Estudiantes La Plata
-
Boca Juniors
1:1
30.04.2024
Estudiantes La Plata
-
Boca Juniors
2:1
12.04.2024
Estudiantes La Plata
-
Boca Juniors
0:0
22.11.2023
Boca Juniors
-
Estudiantes La Plata
2:3
28.10.2023
Boca Juniors
-
Estudiantes La Plata
0:0
Latest results of Boca Juniors
Latest results of Estudiantes La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barracas Central | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Huracan | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 9 |
| 4 | Union de Santa Fe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 8 |
| 5 | Belgrano | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Defensa y Justicia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Tigre | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Central Cordoba | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Newells Old Boys | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Argentinos Jrs | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | Ind. Rivadavia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 12 | Banfield | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | Racing Club | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Boca Juniors | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 8 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 8 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 8 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Gimnasia L.P | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Dep. Riestra | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Lanus | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Platense | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 9 | Atl. Tucuman | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Sarmiento Junin | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | Instituto | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:9 | -7 | 5 |
| 12 | San Martin S.J | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Talleres Cordoba | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Godoy Cruz | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | Independiente | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
