Result
2:1
28/01/2026 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 2
- Referee: Echavarria P. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Mexico | Disney+, Fanatiz |
 North-central-america | ESPN 5 Norte |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.25 | 1.03 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (172/233) | 85% (394/461) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.25 | 1.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.95 | 0.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (172/233) | 85% (394/461) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (22/48) | 67% (42/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (45/67) | 71% (95/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 13% (4/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.01 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (9/19) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.52 | 2.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.48 | 0.95 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, Nunez S. ⚽, Benedetti G. (A),
- 39', 2 - 0, Gonzalez Pirez L. ⚽, Burgos J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ↓, Herrera A. ↑,
- 54', Perez Fabricio 🟨,
- 54', Paredes L. 🟨,
- 71', Benedetti G. 🟨,
- 74', Belmonte T. ↓, Gelini G. ↑,
- 75', Burgos J. ↓, Dominguez F. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 1, Zeballos E. ⚽, Gelini G. (A),
- 82', Piovi L. ↓, Castro A. ↑,
- 82', Perez Fabricio ↓, Farias F. ↑,
- 87', Zenon K. ↓, Aranda T. ↑,
- 90', Medina C. ↓, Gabriel Neves ↑,
Chances of winning
Estudiantes La Plata
31.8% | Draw
34.4% | Boca Juniors
33.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estudiantes La Plata's form might have worsened.Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Boca Juniors's recent form is better than expected.
Estudiantes La Plata - Boca Juniors Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.95 ↑
(2.38) |
2.72 ↓
(2.92) |
2.8 ↓
(3.3) |
6.4%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Estudiantes La Plata - Boca Juniors?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Estudiantes will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Boca Juniors will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Boca Juniors (1.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH 0 - Estudiantes (1.96) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Estudiantes (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Boca Juniors (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 1.
- Estudiantes has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Boca Juniors is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Boca Juniors may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Boca Juniors has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Estudiantes: Alario L.
(Illness)
Arzamendia S.
(Injury)
Palacios T.
(Injury)
Palacios T.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Boca Juniors: Battaglia R.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Carlos Palacios
(Injury)
Cavani E.
(Back Injury)
Gimenez M.
(Thigh Injury)
Miguel Merentiel
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Estudiantes: Muslera F.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:22. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Estudiantes won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Estudiantes La Plata won against Boca Juniors?
Estudiantes La Plata has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Boca Juniors won against Estudiantes La Plata?
Boca Juniors has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes La Plata - Boca Juniors were as follows:
02.11.2025
Estudiantes La Plata
-
Boca Juniors
1:2
19.04.2025
Boca Juniors
-
Estudiantes La Plata
2:0
26.08.2024
Estudiantes La Plata
-
Boca Juniors
1:1
30.04.2024
Estudiantes La Plata
-
Boca Juniors
2:1
12.04.2024
Estudiantes La Plata
-
Boca Juniors
0:0
Latest results of Estudiantes La Plata
Latest results of Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16:7 | 9 | 24 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 22 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 21 |
| 4 | Union de Santa Fe | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 19 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | Lanus | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 19 |
| 7 | Independiente | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19:16 | 3 | 18 |
| 8 | Talleres Cordoba | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 18 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Instituto | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Platense | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | 12 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 12 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10:23 | -13 | 9 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 13 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 3:10 | -7 | 7 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia ✔ | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 29 |
| 2 | River Plate | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17:9 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 23 |
| 4 | Belgrano | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 22 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 21 |
| 6 | Barracas Central | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 19 |
| 7 | Racing Club | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:11 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 | Tigre | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 17 |
| 9 | Huracan | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 17 |
| 10 | Sarmiento Junin | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 10:12 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Gimnasia L.P | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Banfield | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 9 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 13 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 3:14 | -11 | 6 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 4:19 | -15 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
