Independiente vs Estudiantes La Plata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
23/01/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 1
  • Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.951.40
Ball possession
40%60%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
32
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
105
Passes
73% (201/277)81% (357/443)
Yellow cards
24
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.951.40
xG on target (xGOT)
1.100.59
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
66
Blocked shots
43
Shots inside the box
79
Shots outside the box
62
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
105
Touches in opposition box
2221
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free kicks
109
Passes
73% (201/277)81% (357/443)
Long passes
52% (26/50)46% (26/57)
Passes in final third
64% (74/116)64% (66/103)
Crosses
4% (1/23)35% (6/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.461.04
Throw ins
3217
Fouls
910
Tackles
64% (7/11)78% (21/27)
Duels won
3859
Clearances
1940
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
12
xGOT faced
0.591.10
Goals prevented
-0.410.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', Benedetti G. 🟨,
  • 39', Perez Fabricio 🟨,
  • 44', Meza E. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 0, Cabral L. , Avalos G. (A),
  • 45+2', Cabral L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Muslera F. , Iacovich F. ,
  • 46', 1 - 1, Perez Fabricio , Medina C. (A),
  • 50', Montiel S. 🟥,
  • 51', Gonzalez Pirez L. 🟨,
  • 59', Cabral L. , Millan L. ,
  • 59', Perez Curci M. , Malcorra I. ,
  • 64', Farias F. , Cetre E. ,
  • 68', Gabriel Neves , Castro A. ,
  • 68', Meza E. , Mancuso E. ,
  • 71', Lomonaco K. , Fedorco J. ,
  • 71', Abaldo M. , Mazzantti W. ,
  • 79', Perez Fabricio , Dominguez F. ,
  • 81', Avalos G. , Pussetto I. ,
  • 85', Godoy L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente
38.4%
Draw
34.2%
Estudiantes La Plata
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.3% 34.4% 27.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Independiente - Estudiantes La Plata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.45
    (2.44)
    2.76
    (2.72)
    3.42
    (3.42)
    6.3%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Independiente - Estudiantes La Plata?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Estudiantes will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Estudiantes (2.26) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Estudiantes (1.36) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.5 - Estudiantes (1.53) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.25 - Estudiantes (1.74) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Independiente will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Independiente (votes: 2 - 20%). Estudiantes (votes: 8 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 2.
    • Estudiantes is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Independiente may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Independiente could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Independiente: Marquez De Meneses R. L. (Inactive) Paredes F. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Independiente: Quinonez Ruiz J. R. (Injury) Ruiz J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Estudiantes: Arzamendia S. (Injury) Palacios T. (Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:24. (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - Estudiantes La Plata were as follows:
    11.08.2024 Estudiantes La Plata - Independiente 0:2
    09.09.2023 Independiente - Estudiantes La Plata 1:2
    09.04.2023 Independiente - Estudiantes La Plata 1:2
    Latest results of Independiente
    Latest results of Estudiantes La Plata
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1584317:71028
    2Boca Juniors ✔ 1576220:81227
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1576217:11627
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1574416:12425
    5Lanus ✔ 1565418:15323
    6San Lorenzo1557313:12122
    7Independiente1556422:19321
    8Union de Santa Fe1555523:19420
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1537510:13-316
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1544710:19-916
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra151775:12-710


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 15103228:141433
    2River Plate ✔ 1592422:111129
    3Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1585217:11629
    4Rosario Central ✔ 1583419:15427
    5Belgrano1565413:13023
    6Gimnasia L.P1572617:19-223
    7Huracan1556417:13421
    8Barracas Central1556414:13121
    9Racing Club1555517:15220
    10Tigre1547417:14319
    11Sarmiento Junin1561813:16-319
    12Banfield1543815:18-315
    13Atl. Tucuman1525814:20-611
    14Aldosivi150785:18-137
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)