Result
2:1
08/02/2026 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 4
- Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, TNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Mexico | Disney+, Fanatiz |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 5 Norte |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.21 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (392/471) | 81% (376/467) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (392/471) | 81% (376/467) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (32/64) | 42% (23/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (91/129) | 67% (72/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (8/19) | 5% (1/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.33 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.63 | -0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Gelini G. ↓, Zufiaurre I. ↑,
- 47', Paredes L. 🟨,
- 61', Miguel Merentiel ↓, Angel Romero ↑,
- 63', 1 - 0, Pellegrini M. ⚽, Valdes D. (A),
- 66', 2 - 0, Pellegrini M. ⚽,
- 73', Zenon K. ↓, Aranda T. ↑,
- 73', Barinaga J. ↓, Weigandt M. ↑,
- 78', Pellegrini M. ↓, Robertone L. ↑,
- 79', Monzon F. ↓, Godoy D. ↑,
- 84', Baeza C. ↓, Aliendro R. ↑,
- 84', Lanzini M. ↓, Veron A. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 1, Zufiaurre I. ⚽, Paredes L. (A),
- 90+2', Valdes D. ↓, Quiros A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Vélez Sársfield
29.4% | Draw
34.4% | Boca Juniors
36.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Vélez Sársfield - Boca Juniors Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.2 ↑
(3.05) |
2.71 ↓
(2.89) |
2.62 ↑
(2.5) |
6.2%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield - Boca Juniors?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Vélez (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Vélez Sársfield will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Vélez Sársfield will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Vélez (votes: 9 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 1.
- Boca Juniors is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Vélez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Boca Juniors has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Vélez: Romero B.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Boca Juniors: Battaglia R.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Carlos Palacios
(Knee Injury)
Cavani E.
(Back Injury)
Gimenez M.
(Thigh Injury)
Janson L.
(Muscle Injury)
Miguel Merentiel
(Calf Injury)
Velasco A.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 15:33. (average 0.8:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vélez won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:17. (average 0.7:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against Boca Juniors?
Vélez Sársfield has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Boca Juniors won against Vélez Sársfield?
Boca Juniors has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield - Boca Juniors were as follows:
27.11.2024
Boca Juniors
-
Vélez Sársfield
3:4
14.06.2024
Boca Juniors
-
Vélez Sársfield
1:0
25.02.2023
Vélez Sársfield
-
Boca Juniors
1:2
02.10.2022
Boca Juniors
-
Vélez Sársfield
1:0
Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
Latest results of Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 18 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Union de Santa Fe | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Independiente | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Platense | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | San Lorenzo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Defensa y Justicia | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 7:5 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Talleres Cordoba | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Lanus | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Instituto | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Central Cordoba | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3:6 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Dep. Riestra | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Newells Old Boys | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:16 | -11 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 17 |
| 2 | Tigre | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Belgrano | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Huracan | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 12 |
| 6 | Racing Club | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | River Plate | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Gimnasia L.P | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Banfield | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Argentinos Jrs | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Barracas Central | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 6:9 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 5 |
| 14 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3:12 | -9 | 4 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
