Boca Juniors vs Vélez Sársfield – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Argentina Boca Juniors - Vélez Sársfield
Result
3:4
27/11/2024 at 19:10 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ARGENTINA: Copa Argentina - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Echavarria P. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
portugalPortugalSport TV1
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldFanatiz, TyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Ball Possession
40%60%
Goal Attempts
1012
Shots on Goal
58
Shots off Goal
54
Free Kicks
1118
Corner Kicks
42
Offsides
24
Throw-ins
2822
Goalkeeper Saves
42
Fouls
1811
Red Cards
10
Yellow Cards
51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Pizzini F. , Gomez E. (A),
  • 20', 0 - 2, Figal J. (Own goal),
  • 31', Miramon I. , Gimenez M. ,
  • 44', 1 - 2, Cavani E. , Saracchi M. (A),
  • 45+1', Advincula L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 49', Advincula L. 🟨,
  • 50', Zenon K. , Barinaga J. ,
  • 59', Pizzini F. , Fernandez T. ,
  • 59', Ordonez C. , Bouzat A. ,
  • 70', 2 - 2, Zeballos E. , Cavani E. (A),
  • 72', Pellegrini M. , Carrizo M. ,
  • 78', Aquino C. , Santos M. ,
  • 80', 3 - 2, Belmonte T. , Barinaga J. (A),
  • 82', Cavani E. , Di Lollo L. ,
  • 82', Zeballos E. , Delgado M. ,
  • 84', Gimenez M. 🟨,
  • 85', 3 - 3, Bouzat A. , Santos M. (A),
  • 86', Di Lollo L. 🟨,
  • 90', 3 - 4, Bouzat A. , Garcia J. (A),
  • 90+1', Rojo M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Braian Romero 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Boca Juniors
30.9%
Draw
33.4%
Vélez Sársfield
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.9% 28.9% 34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9% 28.9% 34.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Boca Juniors's form might have worsened.
  • Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boca Juniors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Boca Juniors - Vélez Sársfield Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.02
    (2.5)
    2.79
    (3.2)
    2.62
    (2.7)
    7.1%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

  • Watch this match and Copa Argentina with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : TyC Sports
  • What is the prediction for Boca Juniors - Vélez Sársfield?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Vélez will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 11.9%76.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes. Neutral location.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Boca Juniors won 3.
    • Boca Juniors is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Vélez is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Vélez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Boca Juniors won 12 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 30:11 (average 1.5:0.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Boca Juniors won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13:3 (average 1.4:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Boca Juniors - Vélez Sársfield were as follows:
    14.06.2024 Boca Juniors - Vélez Sársfield 1:0
    25.02.2023 Vélez Sársfield - Boca Juniors 1:2
    02.10.2022 Boca Juniors - Vélez Sársfield 1:0
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
    Draw
    2025

    1/32-finals
    1San LorenzoSportivo Las Parejas1 : 0
    2Central CordobaQuilmes0 : 1
    3TigreBerazategui3 : 0
    4BanfieldVilla Mitre1 : 0
    5PlatenseArgentino de Quilmes2 : 0
    6Ind. RivadaviaCA Estudiantes1 : 0
    7Sarmiento JuninCentral Cordoba0 : 1
    8Gimnasia L.P.Deportivo Espanol1 : 0
    9Racing ClubSantamarina2 : 0
    10San Martin S.J.Gimnasia Jujuy1 : 0
    11Dep. RiestraSan Telmo3 : 2
    12Talleres CordobaDeportivo Armenio3 : 4
    13Rosario CentralLos Andes1 : 0
    14Union de Santa FeColegiales3 : 1
    15San Martin T.Colon Santa Fe1 : 0
    16River PlateCiudad Bolivar2 : 0
    17Boca JuniorsArgentino MM5 : 0
    18Atl. TucumanAll Boys2 : 1
    19Defensa y JusticiaRacing Cordoba3 : 1
    20Newells Old BoysKimberley1 : 0
    21BelgranoReal Pilar3 : 1
    22Barracas CentralDef. de Belgrano0 : 2
    23Gimnasia MendozaNueva Chicago2 : 0
    24IndependienteSportivo Belgrano2 : 0
    25Estudiantes L.P.Sarmiento de La Banda2 : 1
    26AldosiviGimnasia y Tiro2 : 1
    27Godoy CruzExcursionistas0 : 1
    28Argentinos JrsCentral Norte3 : 0
    29LanusGeneral Lamadrid4 : 0
    30Velez SarsfieldMidland1 : 0
    31InstitutoDeportivo Madryn3 : 0
    32HuracanSan Martin Formosa2 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1San LorenzoQuilmes1 : 0
    2TigreBanfield2 : 0
    3PlatenseInd. Rivadavia2 : 3
    4Central CordobaGimnasia L.P.2 : 1
    5Racing ClubSan Martin S.J.3 : 1
    6Dep. RiestraDeportivo Armenio3 : 2
    7Rosario CentralUnion de Santa Fe0 : 1
    8San Martin T.River Plate0 : 3
    9Boca JuniorsAtl. Tucuman1 : 2
    10Defensa y JusticiaNewells Old Boys0 : 2
    11BelgranoDef. de Belgrano3 : 2
    12Gimnasia MendozaIndependiente1 : 2
    13Estudiantes L.P.Aldosivi1 : 2
    14ExcursionistasArgentinos Jrs0 : 3
    15LanusVelez Sarsfield2 : 0
    16InstitutoHuracan0 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1San LorenzoTigre0 : 1
    2Ind. RivadaviaCentral Cordoba2 : 1
    3Racing ClubDep. Riestra
    4Union de Santa FeRiver Plate
    5Atl. TucumanNewells Old Boys
    6BelgranoIndependiente2 : 0
    7AldosiviArgentinos Jrs1 : 2
    8LanusHuracan2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1TigreInd. Rivadavia
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5Belgrano
    4Argentinos JrsLanus

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2