Bochum vs Holstein Kiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
22/03/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 27
  • Referee: Alt P. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, ESPN
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 5
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 3, Sport TV2, Voyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.951.58
Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
104
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
23
Passes
75% (258/345)83% (338/408)
Yellow cards
45
Red cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
0.951.58
xG on target (xGOT)
1.662.41
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
104
Shots off target
54
Blocked shots
52
Shots inside the box
136
Shots outside the box
53
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
12
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
4020
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
2211
Passes
75% (258/345)83% (338/408)
Long passes
44% (31/71)43% (22/51)
Passes in final third
57% (66/115)71% (49/69)
Crosses
13% (2/16)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.521.39
Throw ins
1916
Fouls
1122
Tackles
47% (7/15)60% (6/10)
Duels won
6551
Clearances
1544
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
16
xGOT faced
2.411.66
Goals prevented
-0.59-0.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Davidsen K. , Skrzybski S. (A),
  • 14', 1 - 1, Hofmann P. ,
  • 20', Komenda M. , Roslyng F. ,
  • 35', Roslyng F. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 2, Harres P. , Kapralik A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', Bero M. 🟨,
  • 58', Bero M. 🟨,
  • 59', Holtmann G. , Kwarteng M. ,
  • 59', Marshall C. , Onyeka F. ,
  • 59', Skrzybski S. , Tohumcu U. ,
  • 65', Tohumcu U. 🟨,
  • 65', 2 - 2, Hofmann P. , Wittek M. (A),
  • 70', 2 - 3, Therkelsen J. , Meffert J. (A),
  • 71', Masovic E. , Morgalla L. ,
  • 71', Pannewig M. , Lenz C. ,
  • 73', Davidsen K. 🟨,
  • 74', Wittek M. 🟨,
  • 77', Miyoshi K. , Watjen K. ,
  • 82', Rosenboom L. , Niehoff N. ,
  • 85', Thiede N. 🟨,
  • 89', Weiner T. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Tohumcu U. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Bochum
51.1%
Draw
24.6%
Holstein Kiel
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.2% 25.7% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4% 25.1% 26.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bochum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Bochum - Holstein Kiel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (1.98)
    3.86
    (3.63)
    3.8
    (3.45)
    5.7%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Bochum - Holstein Kiel?
  • Users Predictions: Bochum will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.93%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bochum will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bochum won 1.
    • In recent matches, Bochum has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Holstein Kiel has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Bochum is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Bochum: Holtmann G. (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Erras P. (Concussion) Johansson C. (Knee Injury) Kelati A. (Inactive) Schwab S. (Yellow Cards) Zec D. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Holstein Kiel: Bernhardsson A. (Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Bochum won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:21. (average 1.4:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bochum won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:8. (average 1.6:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bochum - Holstein Kiel were as follows:
    25.10.2025 Holstein Kiel - Bochum 1:1
    09.02.2025 Holstein Kiel - Bochum 2:2
    21.09.2024 Bochum - Holstein Kiel 2:2
    Latest results of Bochum
    14.03.2026 Hertha Berlin - Bochum 1:1
    07.03.2026 Bochum - Kaiserslautern 3:2
    20.02.2026 Bochum - Nürnberg 1:1
    15.02.2026 Bochum - Paderborn 0:0
    Latest results of Holstein Kiel
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke27157538:241452
    2Elversberg27156647:291851
    3Paderborn27156645:311451
    4Darmstadt271311349:301950
    5Hannover27147646:341249
    6Hertha Berlin27128742:33944
    7Kaiserslautern271241145:41440
    8Karlsruher SC271071043:51-837
    9Nurnberg271061137:37036
    10Bochum27891038:36233
    11Dusseldorf27941426:40-1431
    12SG Dynamo Dresden27781245:46-129
    13Braunschweig27851429:44-1529
    14Greuther Furth27851440:59-1929
    15Arminia Bielefeld27771339:39028
    16Holstein Kiel27771334:42-828
    17Magdeburg27831639:50-1127
    18Preussen Munster27681331:47-1626

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