Bochum vs Mainz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Football German Bundesliga Bochum - Mainz
Result
1:4
10/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 33
  • Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkSee, Viaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 1
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
hungaryHungaryNet4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaiNews, RCTI+, Vidio
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaFlowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandViaplay
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 7
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.861.58
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1122
Shots on target
68
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
71% (248/349)79% (344/438)
Yellow Cards
30
Expected Goals (xG)
0.861.58
xG on target (xGOT)
1.243.18
Total shots
1122
Shots on target
68
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
27
Shots inside the Box
517
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
1741
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
69
Passes
71% (248/349)79% (344/438)
Long passes
41% (24/58)40% (25/63)
Passes in final third
64% (82/128)71% (116/163)
Crosses
21% (4/19)37% (7/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.871.60
Throw-ins
1520
Fouls
96
Tackles
58% (11/19)39% (9/23)
Duels won
5159
Clearances
3436
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
3.181.24
Goals prevented
-0.820.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 45+1', Krauss T. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 0 - 1, Amiri N. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Passlack F. ↓, Holtmann G. ↑,
  • 46', Krauss T. ↓, Pannewig M. ↑,
  • 46', Bero M. ↓, de Wit D. ↑,
  • 54', 0 - 2, Mwene P. ⚽, Lee Jae-Sung (A),
  • 63', Mwene P. ↓, Widmer S. ↑,
  • 63', Lee Jae-Sung ↓, Hong Hyun-Seok ↑,
  • 65', Sissoko I. 🟨,
  • 72', Oermann T. ↓, Gamboa C. ↑,
  • 72', Sissoko I. ↓, Losilla A. ↑,
  • 73', 0 - 3, Burkardt J. ⚽, Nebel P. (A),
  • 83', Ordets I. 🟨,
  • 84', 1 - 3, Holtmann G. ⚽, de Wit D. (A),
  • 84', Bell S. ↓, Veratschnig N. ↑,
  • 90+1', Burkardt J. ↓, Maloney L. ↑,
  • 90+1', Amiri N. ↓, Weiper N. ↑,
  • 90+3', 1 - 4, Nebel P. ⚽, Weiper N. (A),

Chances of winning


Bochum
31.2%		Draw
24.9%		Mainz
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.8% 26% 43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2% 24.9% 41.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bochum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
    •

    Bochum - Mainz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.08 ↓
    (3.12)    		 3.85 ↑
    (3.7)    		 2.19 ↓
    (2.23)    		 4.1%
    (4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Bochum - Mainz?
  • Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Bochum will win (votes: 8 - 23.5%). Mainz will win (votes: 23 - 67.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mainz: 51.9% – 83.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mainz (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bochum won 0.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Mainz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Bochum: Hofmann P. (Broken rib)
    • There will not play in Mainz: Dal M. (Knee Injury) Jenz M. (Broken nose) Kohr D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mainz: Leitsch M. (Lacking Match Fitness) Zentner R. (Muscle Injury) da Costa D. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Bochum won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.4:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bochum won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bochum - Mainz were as follows:
    11.01.2025 Mainz - Bochum 2:0
    16.03.2024 Mainz - Bochum 2:0
    27.10.2023 Bochum - Mainz 2:2
    28.01.2023 Mainz - Bochum 5:2
    Latest results of Bochum
    02.05.2025 Heidenheim - Bochum 0:0 ✺
    27.04.2025 Bochum - Union Berlin 1:1 ✺
    19.04.2025 Werder Bremen - Bochum 1:0 ✺
    12.04.2025 Bochum - Augsburg 1:2 ✺
    05.04.2025 Bochum - Stuttgart 0:4 ✺
    Latest results of Mainz
    04.05.2025 Mainz - Eintracht Frankfurt 1:1 ✺
    26.04.2025 Bayern Munich - Mainz 3:0 ✺
    19.04.2025 Mainz - Wolfsburg 2:2 ✺
    12.04.2025 Hoffenheim - Mainz 2:0 ✺
    05.04.2025 Mainz - Holstein Kiel 1:1 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Berlin00000:000
    2Eintracht Frankfurt00000:000
    3Bayern Munich00000:000
    4Bayer Leverkusen00000:000
    5Werder Bremen00000:000
    6Hamburger SV00000:000
    7Wolfsburg00000:000
    8Dortmund00000:000
    9B. Monchengladbach00000:000
    10Hoffenheim00000:000
    11FC Koln00000:000
    12Mainz00000:000
    13Freiburg00000:000
    14St. Pauli00000:000
    15Augsburg00000:000
    16Stuttgart00000:000
    17Heidenheim00000:000
    18RB Leipzig00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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