Result
1:4
10/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 33
- Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | Azam Sports 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
Australia | beIN Connect |
Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
Belgium | DAZN 1 |
Brazil | Canal GOAT |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Denmark | See, Viaplay |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW |
Greece | Nova Sports Extra 1 |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, Now Player |
Hungary | Net4+ |
Iceland | Viaplay |
India | Vision+ |
Indonesia | iNews, RCTI+, Vidio |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
Norway | Viaplay |
Pakistan | Tapmad |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect |
Poland | Viaplay |
Serbia | Arena Sport 7 |
Slovakia | Sport TV2 |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
Turkey | beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 3 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | ON Plus |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.86 | 1.58 |
Ball Possession |
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44% | 56% |
Total shots |
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11 | 22 |
Shots on target |
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6 | 8 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 6 |
Passes |
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71% (248/349) | 79% (344/438) |
Yellow Cards |
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3 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.86 | 1.58 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.24 | 3.18 |
Total shots |
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11 | 22 |
Shots on target |
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6 | 8 |
Shots off target |
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3 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
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2 | 7 |
Shots inside the Box |
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5 | 17 |
Shots outside the Box |
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6 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
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17 | 41 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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2 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
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6 | 9 |
Passes |
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71% (248/349) | 79% (344/438) |
Long passes |
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41% (24/58) | 40% (25/63) |
Passes in final third |
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64% (82/128) | 71% (116/163) |
Crosses |
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21% (4/19) | 37% (7/19) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.87 | 1.60 |
Throw-ins |
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15 | 20 |
Fouls |
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9 | 6 |
Tackles |
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58% (11/19) | 39% (9/23) |
Duels won |
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51 | 59 |
Clearances |
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34 | 36 |
Interceptions |
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9 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
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1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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4 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
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3.18 | 1.24 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.82 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45+1', Krauss T. 🟨,
- 45+3', 0 - 1, Amiri N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Passlack F. ↓, Holtmann G. ↑,
- 46', Krauss T. ↓, Pannewig M. ↑,
- 46', Bero M. ↓, de Wit D. ↑,
- 54', 0 - 2, Mwene P. ⚽, Lee Jae-Sung (A),
- 63', Mwene P. ↓, Widmer S. ↑,
- 63', Lee Jae-Sung ↓, Hong Hyun-Seok ↑,
- 65', Sissoko I. 🟨,
- 72', Oermann T. ↓, Gamboa C. ↑,
- 72', Sissoko I. ↓, Losilla A. ↑,
- 73', 0 - 3, Burkardt J. ⚽, Nebel P. (A),
- 83', Ordets I. 🟨,
- 84', 1 - 3, Holtmann G. ⚽, de Wit D. (A),
- 84', Bell S. ↓, Veratschnig N. ↑,
- 90+1', Burkardt J. ↓, Maloney L. ↑,
- 90+1', Amiri N. ↓, Weiper N. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 4, Nebel P. ⚽, Weiper N. (A),
Chances of winning
Bochum 31.2% | Draw 24.9% | Mainz 43.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bochum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Bochum - Mainz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.08 ↓ (3.12) |
3.85 ↑ (3.7) |
2.19 ↓ (2.23) |
4.1% (4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Bochum - Mainz?
Users Predictions:
34 users predict this event. Bochum will win (votes: 8 - 23.5%). Mainz will win (votes: 23 - 67.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mainz: 51.9% – 83.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mainz (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bochum won 0.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Mainz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Bochum: Hofmann P.
(Broken rib)
- There will not play in Mainz: Dal M.
(Knee Injury)
Jenz M.
(Broken nose)
Kohr D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Mainz: Leitsch M.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Zentner R.
(Muscle Injury)
da Costa D.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Bochum won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.4:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bochum won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Bochum won against Mainz?
Bochum has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mainz won against Bochum?
Mainz has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bochum - Mainz were as follows:
11.01.2025
Mainz
-
Bochum
2:0
16.03.2024
Mainz
-
Bochum
2:0
27.10.2023
Bochum
-
Mainz
2:2
28.01.2023
Mainz
-
Bochum
5:2
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Union Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Bayern Munich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Dortmund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | B. Monchengladbach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | FC Koln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Mainz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Freiburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | St. Pauli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Augsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Stuttgart | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Heidenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga