Result
1:4
10/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 33
- Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Denmark | See, Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports Extra 1 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, Now Player |
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | Vision+ |
 Indonesia | iNews, RCTI+, Vidio |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 7 |
 Slovakia | Sport TV2 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 3 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.58 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (248/349) | 79% (344/438) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 3.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 17 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 41 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (248/349) | 79% (344/438) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (24/58) | 40% (25/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (82/128) | 71% (116/163) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 37% (7/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 39% (9/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.18 | 1.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.82 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45+1', Krauss T. 🟨,
- 45+3', 0 - 1, Amiri N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Passlack F. ↓, Holtmann G. ↑,
- 46', Krauss T. ↓, Pannewig M. ↑,
- 46', Bero M. ↓, de Wit D. ↑,
- 54', 0 - 2, Mwene P. ⚽, Lee Jae-Sung (A),
- 63', Mwene P. ↓, Widmer S. ↑,
- 63', Lee Jae-Sung ↓, Hong Hyun-Seok ↑,
- 65', Sissoko I. 🟨,
- 72', Oermann T. ↓, Gamboa C. ↑,
- 72', Sissoko I. ↓, Losilla A. ↑,
- 73', 0 - 3, Burkardt J. ⚽, Nebel P. (A),
- 83', Ordets I. 🟨,
- 84', 1 - 3, Holtmann G. ⚽, de Wit D. (A),
- 84', Bell S. ↓, Veratschnig N. ↑,
- 90+1', Burkardt J. ↓, Maloney L. ↑,
- 90+1', Amiri N. ↓, Weiper N. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 4, Nebel P. ⚽, Weiper N. (A),
Chances of winning
Bochum
31.2% | Draw
24.9% | Mainz
43.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bochum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Bochum - Mainz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.08 ↓
(3.12) |
3.85 ↑
(3.7) |
2.19 ↓
(2.23) |
4.1%
(4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Bochum - Mainz?
Users Predictions:
34 users predict this event. Bochum will win (votes: 8 - 23.5%). Mainz will win (votes: 23 - 67.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mainz: 51.9% – 83.3%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Mainz (1.66) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DNB - Bochum (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Mainz (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mainz will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Bochum (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Mainz (votes: 11 - 84.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bochum won 0.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Mainz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Bochum: Hofmann P.
(Broken rib)
- There will not play in Mainz: Dal M.
(Knee Injury)
Jenz M.
(Broken nose)
Kohr D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Mainz: Leitsch M.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Zentner R.
(Muscle Injury)
da Costa D.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Bochum won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.4:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bochum won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Bochum won against Mainz?
Bochum has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mainz won against Bochum?
Mainz has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bochum - Mainz were as follows:
11.01.2025
Mainz
-
Bochum
2:0
16.03.2024
Mainz
-
Bochum
2:0
27.10.2023
Bochum
-
Mainz
2:2
28.01.2023
Mainz
-
Bochum
5:2
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 85:21 | 64 | 60 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 49:22 | 27 | 52 |
| 3 | Hoffenheim | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 49:30 | 19 | 46 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 44:32 | 12 | 43 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 44:32 | 12 | 41 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 43:28 | 15 | 39 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 34:37 | -3 | 33 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 46:49 | -3 | 31 |
| 9 | Union Berlin | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 29:37 | -8 | 28 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 28:41 | -13 | 28 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 25:32 | -7 | 26 |
| 12 | FC Koln | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 33:39 | -6 | 24 |
| 13 | Mainz | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 26:38 | -12 | 22 |
| 14 | B. Monchengladbach | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 26:39 | -13 | 22 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 33:49 | -16 | 20 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 22:40 | -18 | 20 |
| 17 | Werder Bremen | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23:44 | -21 | 19 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 22:51 | -29 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
