Result
0:2
26/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 22
- Referee: Celik D. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.63 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (236/336) | 82% (346/423) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (236/336) | 82% (346/423) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (26/66) | 58% (35/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 45% (47/105) | 69% (75/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 7% (1/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 1.53 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.12 | 0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 36', Kakuta G. ↓, Sen K. ↑,
- 44', 0 - 1, Tarim I. ⚽, Aytemur A. (A),
- 45', Kolovetsios D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Dursun S. ↓, Bostan M. ↑,
- 46', Zwolinski L. ↓, Demir M. ↑,
- 67', Turk A. ↓, Habesoglu A. ↑,
- 67', Sertkaya Y. ↓, Bilsel E. ↑,
- 69', 0 - 2, Dimitrov Z. ⚽,
- 71', Erkin C. ↓, Erdogan E. ↑,
- 74', Kolovetsios D. ↓, Akuazaoku U. ↑,
- 87', Dimitrov Z. ↓, Ogruce E. ↑,
- 88', Sen K. 🟨,
- 90+1', Ogruce E. 🟨,
- 90+3', Sen C. ↓, Apaydin F. ↑,
- 90+3', Seferi T. ↓, Arkutcu E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sakaryaspor
23.7% | Draw
25.8% | Bodrumspor
50.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sakaryaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Bodrumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Sakaryaspor - Bodrumspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.93 ↑
(3.73) |
3.56 ↓
(3.57) |
1.83 ↓
(1.89) |
8.3%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sakaryaspor - Bodrumspor?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Sakaryaspor will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Bodrumspor will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bodrumspor: 25.1% – 83.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Sakaryaspor (1.29) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Sakaryaspor (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DC - Sakaryaspor (1.60) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 - Bodrumspor (3.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bodrumspor will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Sakaryaspor (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Bodrumspor (votes: 5 - 45.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sakaryaspor won 1.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Bodrumspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Bodrumspor will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Sakaryaspor: Bayram A.
(Suspended)
Tekogul Y.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in Bodrumspor: Ajeti Ar.
(Red Card)
Yavuzay B.
(Suspended)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Sakaryaspor won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:25. (average 1.2:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sakaryaspor won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1.3:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Sakaryaspor won against Bodrumspor?
Sakaryaspor has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bodrumspor won against Sakaryaspor?
Bodrumspor has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sakaryaspor - Bodrumspor were as follows:
23.08.2025
Bodrumspor
-
Sakaryaspor
3:1
30.05.2024
Sakaryaspor
-
Bodrumspor
1:3
10.02.2024
Bodrumspor
-
Sakaryaspor
0:0
18.09.2023
Sakaryaspor
-
Bodrumspor
0:2
20.03.2023
Sakaryaspor
-
Bodrumspor
2:1
Latest results of Sakaryaspor
Latest results of Bodrumspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 28 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 60:19 | 41 | 60 |
| 2 | Erokspor | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 67:22 | 45 | 59 |
| 3 | Amedspor | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 58:32 | 26 | 55 |
| 4 | Corum | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 44:31 | 13 | 50 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 58:29 | 29 | 48 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 43:22 | 21 | 48 |
| 7 | Igdir FK | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 38:37 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 40:32 | 8 | 42 |
| 9 | Keciorengucu | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 53:36 | 17 | 40 |
| 10 | Manisa FK | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 42:41 | 1 | 40 |
| 11 | Boluspor | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 47:40 | 7 | 38 |
| 12 | Vanspor FK | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 39:32 | 7 | 38 |
| 13 | Sivasspor | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 38 |
| 14 | Istanbulspor AS | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37:41 | -4 | 38 |
| 15 | Sariyer | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 30:35 | -5 | 35 |
| 16 | Umraniyespor | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 33:38 | -5 | 32 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 29:54 | -25 | 29 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 34:52 | -18 | 25 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 28 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 20:77 | -57 | 7 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 28 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 16:125 | -109 | -39 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
