Result
1:2
19/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 21
- Referee: Metoglu M. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.84 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (336/403) | 74% (219/295) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (336/403) | 74% (219/295) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (31/54) | 47% (30/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (85/123) | 67% (72/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (7/32) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.07 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.09 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', Erdogan O. ↓, Celik M. ↑,
- 23', Celik M. 🟨,
- 40', Ciftci U. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 0, Seferi T. ⚽, Yilmaz M. (A),
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Ciftci U. ⚽, Celik C. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 66', 1 - 2, Boke T. ⚽,
- 70', Mohammed M. ↓, Bilsel E. ↑,
- 73', Malle A. ↓, Kimpioka B. ↑,
- 75', Habesoglu A. ↓, Imeri O. ↑,
- 82', Yilmaz M. ↓, Turk A. ↑,
- 85', Fidan K. ↓, Yildirim M. ↑,
- 90+3', Ajeti Ar. 🟥,
- 90+4', Basyigit E. ↓, Kefkir Y. ↑,
- 90+8', Paluli M. 🟨,
- 90+10', Kimpioka B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bodrumspor
54.3% | Draw
26.1% | Sivasspor
19.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bodrumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Sivasspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Bodrumspor - Sivasspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↓
(1.72) |
3.55 ↓
(3.72) |
4.68 ↑
(4.4) |
8.3%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bodrumspor - Sivasspor?
Users Predictions:
Bodrumspor will win
(13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bodrumspor will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16).
- Bodrumspor is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Sivasspor has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Bodrumspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Bodrumspor is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Bodrumspor: Bayrakdar G.
(Suspended)
Obekpa G.
(Inactive)
Sertkaya Y.
(Suspended)
Yavuzay B.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in Sivasspor: Charisis C.
(Yellow Cards)
Yigiter O.
(Red Card)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bodrumspor won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.2:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bodrumspor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Bodrumspor won against Sivasspor?
Bodrumspor has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sivasspor won against Bodrumspor?
Sivasspor has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bodrumspor - Sivasspor were as follows:
17.08.2025
Sivasspor
-
Bodrumspor
1:1
11.05.2025
Sivasspor
-
Bodrumspor
0:0
25.02.2025
Sivasspor
-
Bodrumspor
0:1
13.12.2024
Bodrumspor
-
Sivasspor
2:0
Latest results of Bodrumspor
Latest results of Sivasspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 74:23 | 51 | 69 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 68:32 | 36 | 67 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 73:30 | 43 | 63 |
| 4 | Corum | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 53:34 | 19 | 62 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 67:35 | 32 | 57 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 32 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 54 |
| 7 | Bandirmaspor | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 42:33 | 9 | 48 |
| 8 | Keciorengucu | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 63:40 | 23 | 47 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 47 |
| 10 | Igdir FK | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 40:44 | -4 | 45 |
| 11 | Vanspor FK | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:35 | 7 | 43 |
| 12 | Manisa FK | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 46:52 | -6 | 43 |
| 13 | Boluspor | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 50:44 | 6 | 42 |
| 14 | Umraniyespor | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 38:41 | -3 | 39 |
| 15 | Sariyer | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 34:41 | -7 | 39 |
| 16 | Istanbulspor AS | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 38:48 | -10 | 39 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 38:60 | -22 | 35 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 41:56 | -15 | 32 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 32 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 22:88 | -66 | 7 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 32 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 17:141 | -124 | -57 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
