Result
2:0
15/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5
- Referee: Ramirez M. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 3 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 1 |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-america | ESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (358/421) | 84% (329/394) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (358/421) | 84% (329/394) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (22/42) | 49% (29/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (92/129) | 63% (47/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.31 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.75 | -0.82 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Murilo ⚽, Piquerez J. (A),
- 12', 2 - 0, Torres F. ⚽, Mauricio (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 64', Velasquez J. ↓, Bruno Savio ↑,
- 64', Torres F. ↓, Luighi ↑,
- 65', Mauricio ↓, Raphael Veiga ↑,
- 72', Ramirez R. ↓, Quinteros J. ↑,
- 72', Melgar C. A. ↓, Romero D. ↑,
- 73', Vitor Roque ↓, Flaco Lopez ↑,
- 73', Piquerez J. ↓, Vanderlan ↑,
- 84', Felipe Anderson ↓, Mayke ↑,
Chances of winning
Palmeiras
77.7% | Draw
14.5% | Bolívar
7.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Palmeiras - Bolívar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.22 ↑
(1.2) |
6.52 ↓
(6.68) |
12.13 ↓
(12.73) |
5.8%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Palmeiras - Bolívar?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Palmeiras will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Bolívar will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 1 - 25%). Bolívar (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Palmeiras is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Bolívar's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Bolívar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Bolívar has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Palmeiras is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues
(Knee Injury)
Micael
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:0. (average 4.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Bolívar?
Palmeiras has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bolívar won against Palmeiras?
Bolívar has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palmeiras - Bolívar were as follows:
24.04.2025
Bolívar
-
Palmeiras
2:3
29.06.2023
Palmeiras
-
Bolívar
4:0
05.04.2023
Bolívar
-
Palmeiras
3:1
Latest results of Palmeiras
Latest results of Bolívar
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Atl. Nacional | Sao Paulo | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | LDU Quito | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Libertad Asuncion | River Plate | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | Palmeiras | 0 : 0, 0 : 4 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | Velez Sarsfield | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Penarol | Racing Club | 1 : 3, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | Estudiantes L.P. | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Flamengo RJ | Internacional | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sao Paulo | LDU Quito | |
| 2 | River Plate | Palmeiras | |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | Racing Club | |
| 4 | Estudiantes L.P. | Flamengo RJ | |
