Result
 
                    2:0
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        15/05/2025 at  18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5
 
                                                - Referee: Ramirez M. (Arg)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes World Football | 
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 3 | 
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD | 
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 | 
 Brazil | Paramount+ | 
 Canada | beIN Connect | 
 Chile | Disney+ | 
 Colombia | Disney+ | 
 Georgia | Silk Sport 1 | 
 Indonesia | Mola TV | 
 Israel | Sport 2 | 
 Italy | Como TV | 
 Mexico | Disney+ | 
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean | 
 Peru | Disney+ | 
 Portugal | Sport TV1 | 
 Russia | Okko Sport | 
 South-america | ESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South | 
 Uruguay | Disney+ | 
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV | 
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.17 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 51% | 49% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 19 | 5 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 9 | 3 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 8 | 4 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 85% (358/421) | 84% (329/394) | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.17 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.75 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 19 | 5 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 9 | 3 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 6 | 1 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 4 | 1 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 11 | 2 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 8 | 3 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Headed Goals | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 8 | 4 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 28 | 9 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 7 | 8 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 85% (358/421) | 84% (329/394) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 52% (22/42) | 49% (29/59) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 71% (92/129) | 63% (47/75) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 23% (3/13) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.31 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 19 | 18 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 8 | 7 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 75% (9/12) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 47 | 32 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 18 | 26 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 5 | 5 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 3 | 7 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.18 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.75 | -0.82 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
 - 6', 1 - 0, Murilo ⚽, Piquerez J. (A), 
 - 12', 2 - 0, Torres F. ⚽, Mauricio (A), 
 - 2nd Half (0 - 0)
 - 64', Velasquez J. ↓, Bruno Savio ↑, 
 - 64', Torres F. ↓, Luighi ↑, 
 - 65', Mauricio ↓, Raphael Veiga ↑, 
 - 72', Ramirez R. ↓, Quinteros J. ↑, 
 - 72', Melgar C. A. ↓, Romero D. ↑, 
 - 73', Vitor Roque ↓, Flaco Lopez ↑, 
 - 73', Piquerez J. ↓, Vanderlan ↑, 
 - 84', Felipe Anderson ↓, Mayke ↑, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Palmeiras  77.7% | Draw  14.5% | Bolívar  7.8% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Palmeiras - Bolívar Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   1.22 ↑ (1.2) | 
			   6.52 ↓ (6.68) | 
			   12.13 ↓ (12.73) | 
			   5.8% (6.3%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Palmeiras - Bolívar?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            8 users predict this event. Palmeiras will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Bolívar will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 1 - 25%). Bolívar (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                              - Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
 - Palmeiras is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
 - Bolívar's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
 - Bolívar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
 - Recently, Bolívar has had a series of away games.
  - In this match, Palmeiras is the undisputed favorite.
 - There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues
(Knee Injury)
Micael
(Ankle Injury)
 - In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 3:1.2).
 - Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:0. (average 4.5:0).                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Bolívar?
                    
                    
                        
                            Palmeiras has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Bolívar won against Palmeiras?
                    
                    
                        
                             Bolívar has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Palmeiras - Bolívar were as follows:
                                                        
                                24.04.2025 
                                Bolívar 
                                - 
                                Palmeiras 
                                2:3
                            
        
                                                        
                                29.06.2023 
                                Palmeiras 
                                - 
                                Bolívar 
                                4:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                05.04.2023 
                                Bolívar 
                                - 
                                Palmeiras 
                                3:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Palmeiras                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Bolívar