Result
1:1
29/04/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 3
- Referee: Tejera G. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 3 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Bolivia | ESPN 2 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+, ESPN Premium |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Ecuador | ESPN 2 |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Paraguay | ESPN 2 |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 2.96 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (196/287) | 84% (482/575) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 2.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 2.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (196/287) | 84% (482/575) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (21/55) | 55% (21/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 44% (34/77) | 62% (72/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/12) | 45% (5/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 2.31 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (18/27) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.04 | 0.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', Allan Elias 🟨,
- 33', 0 - 1, Arias J. ⚽, Allan Elias (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Viera W. ↓, Klimowicz M. ↑,
- 68', Gomez R. ↓, Iturbe J. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 1, Carlos Miguel (Own goal),
- 77', Torres J. ↓, Peralta F. ↑,
- 79', Sosa R. ↓, Mauricio ↑,
- 84', Arias J. ↓, Lucas Evangelista ↑,
- 84', Giay A. ↓, Khellven ↑,
- 88', Arthur Gabriel ↓, Jefte ↑,
- 88', Allan Elias ↓, Felipe Anderson ↑,
- 90+2', Dominguez F. ↓, Bobadilla C. ↑,
- 90+2', Quintana Rodriguez L. A. ↓, Melgarejo R. ↑,
- 90+4', Iturbe J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cerro Porteño
19.3% | Draw
29.8% | Palmeiras
50.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Cerro Porteño - Palmeiras Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.9 ↑
(4.11) |
3.15 ↓
(3.28) |
1.85 ↓
(1.96) |
6.2%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Cerro Porteño - Palmeiras?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Palmeiras will win
(11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 0.
- Cerro Porteño has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Palmeiras is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Cerro Porteño may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Palmeiras is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Cerro Porteño: Aliseda I.
(Inactive)
Dominguez F.
(Inactive)
Gimenez G.
(Inactive)
Mosquera H.
(Inactive)
Riveros B.
(Inactive)
Sonora A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Palmeiras: Piquerez J.
(Injury)
Vitor Roque
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Palmeiras: Paulinho
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 2:18. (average 0.3:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerro Porteño won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 0:10. (average 0:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against Palmeiras?
Cerro Porteño has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Cerro Porteño?
Palmeiras has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Porteño - Palmeiras were as follows:
07.05.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
Palmeiras
0:2
09.04.2025
Palmeiras
-
Cerro Porteño
1:0
24.05.2023
Cerro Porteño
-
Palmeiras
0:3
20.04.2023
Palmeiras
-
Cerro Porteño
2:1
Latest results of Cerro Porteño
Latest results of Palmeiras
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Ind. Medellin | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Cusco | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportes Tolima | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Nacional | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | U. de Deportes | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Coquimbo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Bolivar | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | La Guaira | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Boca Juniors | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Corinthians | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Platense | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Santa Fe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Penarol | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Junior | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | LDU Quito | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Lanus | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Mirassol | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Always Ready | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Rosario Central | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Ind. del Valle | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Universidad Central | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
