Bologna vs Cagliari – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/05/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Bologna
52.4%
Draw
27.4%
Cagliari
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.2% 25% 17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 19.3% 23.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bologna that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Bologna - Cagliari Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.65)
    3.49
    (3.78)
    4.68
    (5.3)
    4.8%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Bologna - Cagliari?
  • Users Predictions: Bologna will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 4.
    • Bologna is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Cagliari has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Cagliari may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Bologna is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:18. (average 1.5:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bologna won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 1.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bologna - Cagliari were as follows:
    19.10.2025 Cagliari - Bologna 0:2
    02.03.2025 Bologna - Cagliari 2:1
    29.10.2024 Cagliari - Bologna 0:2
    14.01.2024 Cagliari - Bologna 2:1
    02.09.2023 Bologna - Cagliari 2:1
    Latest results of Bologna
    25.04.2026 Bologna - Roma 0:2
    19.04.2026 Juventus - Bologna 2:0
    16.04.2026 Aston Villa - Bologna 4:0
    12.04.2026 Bologna - Lecce 2:0
    09.04.2026 Bologna - Aston Villa 1:3
    Latest results of Cagliari
    27.04.2026 Cagliari - Atalanta 3:2
    17.04.2026 Inter Milan - Cagliari 3:0
    11.04.2026 Cagliari - Cremonese 1:0
    04.04.2026 Sassuolo - Cagliari 2:1
    20.03.2026 Cagliari - Napoli 0:1
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter ✔ 34254580:314979
    2Napoli34216752:331969
    3AC Milan341910548:272167
    4Juventus341810657:292864
    5Como341710759:283161
    6AS Roma341941148:291961
    7Atalanta341412847:321554
    8Lazio3412121037:33448
    9Bologna341461442:41148
    10Sassuolo341371441:44-346
    11Udinese341281441:46-544
    12Parma3410121225:40-1542
    13Torino341181539:56-1741
    14Genoa341091540:48-839
    15Fiorentina348131338:45-737
    16Cagliari34991636:49-1336
    17Lecce34781922:46-2429
    18Cremonese346101826:51-2528
    19Verona343102123:56-3319
    20Pisa342122024:61-3718

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Inter is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )