Result
03/05/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Bologna 52.4% | Draw 27.4% | Cagliari 20.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bologna that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Bologna - Cagliari Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.83 ↑ (1.65) |
3.49 ↓ (3.78) |
4.68 ↓ (5.3) |
4.8% (5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Bologna - Cagliari?
Users Predictions:
Bologna will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 4.
- Bologna is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cagliari has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Cagliari may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Bologna is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:18. (average 1.5:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bologna won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Bologna won against Cagliari?
Bologna has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cagliari won against Bologna?
Cagliari has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bologna - Cagliari were as follows:
19.10.2025
Cagliari
-
Bologna
0:2
02.03.2025
Bologna
-
Cagliari
2:1
29.10.2024
Cagliari
-
Bologna
0:2
14.01.2024
Cagliari
-
Bologna
2:1
02.09.2023
Bologna
-
Cagliari
2:1
Latest results of Bologna
Latest results of Cagliari
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter ✔ | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 80:31 | 49 | 79 |
| 2 | Napoli | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 52:33 | 19 | 69 |
| 3 | AC Milan | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 48:27 | 21 | 67 |
| 4 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 57:29 | 28 | 64 |
| 5 | Como | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 59:28 | 31 | 61 |
| 6 | AS Roma | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 48:29 | 19 | 61 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 47:32 | 15 | 54 |
| 8 | Lazio | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 37:33 | 4 | 48 |
| 9 | Bologna | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 42:41 | 1 | 48 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 41:44 | -3 | 46 |
| 11 | Udinese | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 41:46 | -5 | 44 |
| 12 | Parma | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 25:40 | -15 | 42 |
| 13 | Torino | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 39:56 | -17 | 41 |
| 14 | Genoa | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 40:48 | -8 | 39 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 38:45 | -7 | 37 |
| 16 | Cagliari | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 36:49 | -13 | 36 |
| 17 | Lecce | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 22:46 | -24 | 29 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 26:51 | -25 | 28 |
| 19 | Verona | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 23:56 | -33 | 19 |
| 20 | Pisa | 34 | 2 | 12 | 20 | 24:61 | -37 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
Clinched Spots for Teams
Inter is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )