Bologna vs Fiorentina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna).

Serie A - Round 21
Referee: Doveri D. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, SuperSport Football, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2, Sport 4
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	ESPN Norte
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tanzania	ZBC 2 Tanzania
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Fubo Sports Network, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.31	1.73
Ball possession
61%	39%
Total shots
18	11
Shots on target
3	4
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
7	1
Passes
88% (450/512)	83% (288/349)
Yellow cards
3	0
Expected goals (xG)
1.31	1.73
xG on target (xGOT)
1.07	2.13
Total shots
18	11
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
8	4
Blocked shots
7	3
Shots inside the box
13	9
Shots outside the box
5	2
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
7	1
Touches in opposition box
37	20
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free kicks
13	14
Passes
88% (450/512)	83% (288/349)
Long passes
54% (20/37)	40% (21/52)
Passes in final third
80% (118/148)	67% (45/67)
Crosses
39% (16/41)	40% (2/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.82	0.54
Throw ins
13	14
Fouls
14	13
Tackles
80% (12/15)	50% (5/10)
Duels won
48	40
Clearances
9	29
Interceptions
2	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	1
Goalkeeper saves
2	2
xGOT faced
2.13	1.07
Goals prevented
0.13	0.07

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Mandragora R. ⚽, Gudmundsson A. (A),
38', Holm E. 🟨,
45', 0 - 2, Piccoli R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Odgaard J. ↓, Fabbian G. ↑,
46', Orsolini R. ↓, Rowe J. ↑,
46', Holm E. ↓, Zortea N. ↑,
46', Freuler R. ↓, Moro N. ↑,
72', Mandragora R. ↓, Brescianini M. ↑,
72', Gudmundsson A. ↓, Solomon M. ↑,
72', Ndour C. ↓, Sohm S. ↑,
72', Pobega T. ↓, Ferguson L. ↑,
77', Miranda J. 🟨,
80', Parisi F. ↓, Fortini N. ↑,
88', 1 - 2, Fabbian G. ⚽, Rowe J. (A),
90', Ferguson L. 🟨,
90+4', Fagioli N. ↓, Ranieri L. ↑,

Chances of winning

Bologna
40.4%

Draw
28.8%

Fiorentina
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

29.9%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

29.4%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Bologna - Fiorentina Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.21)	3.31 ↑ (3.13)	3.08 ↓ (3.38)	5.2% (6.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Bologna - Fiorentina?

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Bologna will win (votes: 23 - 50%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 6 - 13%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 37%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bologna: 35.6% – 64.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Bologna (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Fiorentina (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.5 - Fiorentina (1.57) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH +0.5 - Fiorentina (2.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Fiorentina (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DNB - Bologna (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Bologna (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Fiorentina (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Bologna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Bologna might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Bologna: Bernardeschi F. (Collarbone injury) Bonifazi K. (Inactive) Lucumi J. (Injury)
There will not play in Fiorentina: Lamptey T. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Fiorentina: Dzeko E. (Foot Injury) Kean M. (Ankle Injury) Richardson A. (Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 20:28. (average 1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Bologna won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.3:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Bologna won against Fiorentina?

Bologna has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Bologna?

Fiorentina has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bologna - Fiorentina were as follows:

26.10.2025 Fiorentina - Bologna 2:2

18.05.2025 Fiorentina - Bologna 3:2

15.12.2024 Bologna - Fiorentina 1:0

14.02.2024 Bologna - Fiorentina 2:0

09.01.2024 Fiorentina - Bologna 1:0

Latest results of Bologna

15.01.2026 Verona - Bologna 2:3 ✺

10.01.2026 Como - Bologna 1:1 ✺

07.01.2026 Bologna - Atalanta 0:2 ✺

04.01.2026 Inter Milan - Bologna 3:1 ✺

28.12.2025 Bologna - Sassuolo 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Fiorentina

11.01.2026 Fiorentina - Milan 1:1 ✺

07.01.2026 Lazio - Fiorentina 2:2 ✺

04.01.2026 Fiorentina - Cremonese 1:0 ✺

27.12.2025 Parma - Fiorentina 1:0 ✺

21.12.2025 Fiorentina - Udinese 5:1 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Inter	26	21	1	4	62:21	41	64
2	AC Milan	26	15	9	2	41:20	21	54
3	Napoli	26	15	5	6	39:27	12	50
4	AS Roma	26	16	2	8	34:16	18	50
5	Juventus	26	13	7	6	43:25	18	46
6	Como	26	12	9	5	41:19	22	45
7	Atalanta	26	12	9	5	36:22	14	45
8	Bologna	26	10	6	10	35:32	3	36
9	Sassuolo	26	10	5	11	32:35	-3	35
10	Lazio	26	8	10	8	26:25	1	34
11	Udinese	26	9	5	12	28:39	-11	32
12	Parma	26	8	8	10	19:31	-12	32
13	Cagliari	26	7	8	11	28:35	-7	29
14	Genoa	26	6	9	11	32:37	-5	27
15	Torino	26	7	6	13	25:47	-22	27
16	Fiorentina	26	5	9	12	30:39	-9	24
17	Cremonese	26	5	9	12	21:36	-15	24
18	Lecce	26	6	6	14	17:33	-16	24
19	Pisa	26	1	12	13	20:43	-23	15
20	Verona	26	2	9	15	19:46	-27	15

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B