Fiorentina vs Bologna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
26/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 8
  • Referee: La Penna F. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
angolaAngolaZ Sports 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
franceFranceDAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sport 3
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3, M Plus Live
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelONE Sport 2, Sport 2
italyItalyDAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
kosovoKosovoART Sport 3
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalSport TV7
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 3
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, DAZN UK
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.380.55
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
196
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
78% (256/327)77% (252/329)
Yellow Cards
35
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
3.380.55
xG on target (xGOT)
2.451.86
Total shots
196
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
154
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
2017
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
53
Free Kicks
2013
Passes
78% (256/327)77% (252/329)
Long passes
37% (19/52)31% (16/52)
Passes in final third
62% (52/84)59% (48/81)
Crosses
23% (5/22)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.95
Throw-ins
1721
Fouls
1320
Tackles
78% (7/9)82% (9/11)
Duels won
4139
Clearances
1831
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
1.862.45
Goals prevented
-0.140.45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', 0 - 1, Castro S. ,
  • 36', Gosens R. 🟨,
  • 39', Freuler R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 52', 0 - 2, Cambiaghi N. , Holm E. (A),
  • 54', Gosens R. , Fortini N. ,
  • 54', Mandragora R. , Ndour C. ,
  • 54', Fagioli N. , Dzeko E. ,
  • 58', Gudmundsson A. 🟨,
  • 65', Castro S. , Dallinga T. ,
  • 65', Cambiaghi N. , Rowe J. ,
  • 65', Nicolussi Caviglia H. , Sabiri A. ,
  • 71', Holm E. 🟨,
  • 73', 1 - 2, Gudmundsson A. (Pen),
  • 77', Orsolini R. , Bernardeschi F. ,
  • 77', Fabbian G. , Pobega T. ,
  • 83', Holm E. 🟨,
  • 85', Ranieri L. , Piccoli R. ,
  • 86', Rowe J. , Casale N. ,
  • 88', Rowe J. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 2 - 2, Kean M. (Pen),
  • 90+6', Dzeko E. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Lucumi J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Fiorentina
14.2%
Draw
37.4%
Bologna
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.2% 29.5% 35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8% 30% 34.7%

Fiorentina - Bologna Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
10.16
(2.71)
3.41
(3.23)
2.47
(2.7)
-20.3%
(4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Bologna?
  • Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 13 - 34.2%). Bologna will win (votes: 15 - 39.5%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 26.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bologna: 24%55%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Bologna (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 3.
    • Fiorentina has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Bologna is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Kouame C. (Knee Injury) Lamptey T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Bologna: Bonifazi K. (Inactive) De Silvestri L. (Inactive) Immobile C. (Thigh Injury) Odgaard J. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:19. (average 1.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentina won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 1.5:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Bologna were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Fiorentina - Bologna 3:2
    15.12.2024 Bologna - Fiorentina 1:0
    14.02.2024 Bologna - Fiorentina 2:0
    09.01.2024 Fiorentina - Bologna 1:0
    12.11.2023 Fiorentina - Bologna 2:1
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    23.10.2025 Rapid Wien - Fiorentina 0:3
    19.10.2025 Milan - Fiorentina 2:1
    05.10.2025 Fiorentina - Roma 1:2
    02.10.2025 Fiorentina - Sigma Olomouc 2:0
    28.09.2025 Pisa - Fiorentina 0:0
    Latest results of Bologna
    23.10.2025 FCSB - Bologna 1:2
    19.10.2025 Cagliari - Bologna 0:2
    05.10.2025 Bologna - Pisa 4:0
    02.10.2025 Bologna - Freiburg 1:1
    28.09.2025 Lecce - Bologna 2:2
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AS Roma1290315:6927
    2AC Milan1274118:9925
    3Napoli1281319:11825
    4Inter1280426:131324
    5Bologna1273221:81324
    6Como1366119:71224
    7Juventus1365217:12523
    8Lazio1253415:9618
    9Udinese1353514:20-618
    10Sassuolo1352616:16017
    11Cremonese1235413:16-314
    12Torino1235411:21-1014
    13Atalanta1227314:14013
    14Cagliari1325613:19-611
    15Genoa1325613:20-711
    16Parma132569:17-811
    17Pisa1217410:16-610
    18Lecce122468:16-810
    19Fiorentina1206610:19-96
    20Verona130678:20-126

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B