Result
3:2
18/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A - Round 37
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | New World Sport 2, New World Sport App |
 Albania | Tring Sport 5 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
 Australia | Optus Sport |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3 |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 9 |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 India | GXR World |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 5 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+ |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Sport |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 2.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (248/328) | 86% (411/477) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 2.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.47 | 1.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (248/328) | 86% (411/477) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (33/71) | 53% (25/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 44% (31/70) | 68% (78/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/4) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.43 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.38 | 2.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.62 | -0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Parisi F. ⚽, Ranieri L. (A),
- 20', Ranieri L. 🟨,
- 39', Comuzzo P. ↓, Pongracic M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Castro S. ↓, Dallinga T. ↑,
- 56', Fabbian G. ↓, Dominguez B. ↑,
- 56', Cambiaghi N. ↓, Orsolini R. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 1, Dallinga T. ⚽, Orsolini R. (A),
- 65', Gosens R. 🟨,
- 67', 2 - 1, Richardson A. ⚽,
- 77', Ndoye D. 🟨,
- 77', Parisi F. 🟨,
- 79', 2 - 2, Orsolini R. ⚽, Ndoye D. (A),
- 80', Freuler R. ↓, Moro N. ↑,
- 80', Calabria D. ↓, Holm E. ↑,
- 84', 3 - 2, Kean M. ⚽,
- 87', Pongracic M. ↓, Colpani A. ↑,
- 88', Miranda J. 🟥,
- 90', Mandragora R. 🟨,
- 90+2', Fagioli N. ↓, Ndour C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fiorentina
31.4% | Draw
31.3% | Bologna
37.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Fiorentina - Bologna Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.05 ↓
(3.11) |
3.07 ↓
(3.3) |
2.56 ↑
(2.41) |
4.3%
(4.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Bologna?
Users Predictions:
47 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 26 - 55.3%). Bologna will win (votes: 12 - 25.5%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 19.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 41.1% – 69.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Bologna (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 9 and 7)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 2.
- Fiorentina is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Bologna has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Fiorentina: Beltran L.
(Yellow Cards)
Bove E.
(Heart Problems)
Folorunsho M.
(Yellow Cards)
Zaniolo N.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Bologna: Erlic M.
(Calf Injury)
Odgaard J.
(Injury)
Pedrola E.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Fiorentina: Cataldi D.
(Thigh Injury)
Gudmundsson A.
(Thigh Injury)
Kean M.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:17. (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentina won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:4. (average 1.4:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Bologna?
Fiorentina has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bologna won against Fiorentina?
Bologna has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Bologna were as follows:
15.12.2024
Bologna
-
Fiorentina
1:0
14.02.2024
Bologna
-
Fiorentina
2:0
09.01.2024
Fiorentina
-
Bologna
1:0
12.11.2023
Fiorentina
-
Bologna
2:1
05.02.2023
Fiorentina
-
Bologna
1:2
Latest results of Fiorentina
Latest results of Bologna
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Napoli | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Juventus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Cremonese | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | AS Roma | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Udinese | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Inter | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 3 |
| 7 | Lazio | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | AC Milan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Como | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Bologna | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | Fiorentina | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | Pisa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Genoa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Parma | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | Lecce | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | Verona | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 19 | Torino | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 1 |
| 20 | Sassuolo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
