Fiorentina vs Bologna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie A
Football Italian Serie A Fiorentina - Bologna
Result
3:2
18/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 37
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.772.39
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
615
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
76% (248/328)86% (411/477)
Yellow Cards
41
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.772.39
xG on target (xGOT)
2.471.38
Total shots
615
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
17
Blocked Shots
05
Shots inside the Box
48
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
1121
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
1721
Passes
76% (248/328)86% (411/477)
Long passes
46% (33/71)53% (25/47)
Passes in final third
44% (31/70)68% (78/114)
Crosses
0% (0/4)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.201.43
Throw-ins
1521
Fouls
2117
Tackles
75% (6/8)55% (6/11)
Duels won
3744
Clearances
2010
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.382.47
Goals prevented
-0.62-0.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Parisi F. ⚽, Ranieri L. (A),
  • 20', Ranieri L. 🟨,
  • 39', Comuzzo P. ↓, Pongracic M. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Castro S. ↓, Dallinga T. ↑,
  • 56', Fabbian G. ↓, Dominguez B. ↑,
  • 56', Cambiaghi N. ↓, Orsolini R. ↑,
  • 61', 1 - 1, Dallinga T. ⚽, Orsolini R. (A),
  • 65', Gosens R. 🟨,
  • 67', 2 - 1, Richardson A. ⚽,
  • 77', Ndoye D. 🟨,
  • 77', Parisi F. 🟨,
  • 79', 2 - 2, Orsolini R. ⚽, Ndoye D. (A),
  • 80', Freuler R. ↓, Moro N. ↑,
  • 80', Calabria D. ↓, Holm E. ↑,
  • 84', 3 - 2, Kean M. ⚽,
  • 87', Pongracic M. ↓, Colpani A. ↑,
  • 88', Miranda J. 🟥,
  • 90', Mandragora R. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Fagioli N. ↓, Ndour C. ↑,

Chances of winning


Fiorentina
31.4%		Draw
31.3%		Bologna
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.9% 29.2% 39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7% 29% 40.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
    •

    Fiorentina - Bologna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.05 ↓
    (3.11)    		 3.07 ↓
    (3.3)    		 2.56 ↑
    (2.41)    		 4.3%
    (4.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Bologna?
  • Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 26 - 55.3%). Bologna will win (votes: 12 - 25.5%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 19.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 41.1% – 69.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Bologna (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 9 and 7)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 2.
    • Fiorentina is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Bologna has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Beltran L. (Yellow Cards) Bove E. (Heart Problems) Folorunsho M. (Yellow Cards) Zaniolo N. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Bologna: Erlic M. (Calf Injury) Odgaard J. (Injury) Pedrola E. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fiorentina: Cataldi D. (Thigh Injury) Gudmundsson A. (Thigh Injury) Kean M. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:17. (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentina won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:4. (average 1.4:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Bologna were as follows:
    15.12.2024 Bologna - Fiorentina 1:0
    14.02.2024 Bologna - Fiorentina 2:0
    09.01.2024 Fiorentina - Bologna 1:0
    12.11.2023 Fiorentina - Bologna 2:1
    05.02.2023 Fiorentina - Bologna 1:2
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    12.05.2025 Venezia - Fiorentina 2:1 ✺
    08.05.2025 Fiorentina - Betis 2:2 ✺
    04.05.2025 Roma - Fiorentina 1:0 ✺
    01.05.2025 Betis - Fiorentina 2:1 ✺
    27.04.2025 Fiorentina - Empoli 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Bologna
    14.05.2025 Milan - Bologna 0:1 ✺
    09.05.2025 Milan - Bologna 3:1 ✺
    04.05.2025 Bologna - Juventus 1:1 ✺
    28.04.2025 Udinese - Bologna 0:0 ✺
    24.04.2025 Bologna - Empoli 2:1 ✺
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lecce00000:000
    2Bologna00000:000
    3Pisa00000:000
    4Cremonese00000:000
    5Genoa00000:000
    6Napoli00000:000
    7Udinese00000:000
    8Sassuolo00000:000
    9AS Roma00000:000
    10Inter00000:000
    11Juventus00000:000
    12Fiorentina00000:000
    13AC Milan00000:000
    14Atalanta00000:000
    15Lazio00000:000
    16Cagliari00000:000
    17Torino00000:000
    18Parma00000:000
    19Verona00000:000
    20Como00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

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