Result
1:1
02/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Europa League - League phase - Round 2
- Referee: Minakovic N. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | SuperSport 4 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Armenia | Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, Q Arena Asia, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 5 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6 |
 Czech-republic | Sport 2 |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Canal+ Live 6 |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Germany | RTL+ |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 7 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
 Hungary | RTL+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Arena |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 6 |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 1 |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 2 |
 South-america | ESPN 4 South, ViX Latin America |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 8, Movistar Plus+ |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Turkey | Tabii |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 6, TNT Sports Extra |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 2.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (342/426) | 77% (267/347) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 2.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 2.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (342/426) | 77% (267/347) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (32/60) | 33% (22/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (67/103) | 57% (40/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/16) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.92 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.65 | 1.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 29', 1 - 0, Orsolini R. ⚽, Cambiaghi N. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Grifo V. ↓, Scherhant D. ↑,
- 48', Makengo J. 🟨,
- 56', Skorupski L. 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 1, Adamu J. (Pen),
- 65', Lienhart P. 🟨,
- 66', Castro S. ↓, Dallinga T. ↑,
- 66', Lykogiannis C. ↓, Miranda J. ↑,
- 66', Orsolini R. ↓, Bernardeschi F. ↑,
- 67', Holm E. 🟨,
- 75', Beste J. ↓, Dinkci E. ↑,
- 77', Cambiaghi N. ↓, Rowe J. ↑,
- 80', Makengo J. ↓, Gunter C. ↑,
- 80', Manzambi J. ↓, Holer L. ↑,
- 88', Adamu J. ↓, Matanovic I. ↑,
- 90+3', Ferguson L. ↓, Fabbian G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Bologna
49.1% | Draw
28% | Freiburg
22.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bologna's performance.Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Freiburg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Freiburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Bologna - Freiburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↓
(2.17) |
3.4 ↓
(3.5) |
4.12 ↑
(3.25) |
4.3%
(5.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Bologna - Freiburg?
Users Predictions:
42 users predict this event. Bologna will win (votes: 30 - 71.4%). Freiburg will win (votes: 7 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 11.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bologna: 57.7% – 85.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 23 high ROI users predict this event. Bologna (votes: 16 - 69.6%). Freiburg (votes: 5 - 21.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 8.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Bologna (1.21) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Bologna (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Freiburg (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 27 high ROI users predict this event. Bologna (votes: 19 - 70.4%). Freiburg (votes: 6 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 2 - 7.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Bologna has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Freiburg is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Freiburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Bologna is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Bologna: Bonifazi K.
(Inactive)
Immobile C.
(Thigh Injury)
Sulemana I.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Bologna won against Freiburg?
Bologna has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against Bologna?
Freiburg has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bologna - Freiburg were as follows:
Latest results of Bologna
Latest results of Freiburg
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Ludogorets (22) | Ferencvaros (12) | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Braga (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Panathinaikos (20) | Plzen (14) | 2 : 1, 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Betis (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Din. Zagreb (23) | Genk (9) | 3 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Freiburg (7) | Bye | |
| 7 | PAOK (17) | Celta Vigo (16) | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Lyon (1) | Bye | |
| 9 | Celtic (21) | Stuttgart (11) | 1 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 10 | FC Porto (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Fenerbahce (19) | Nottingham (13) | 2 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 12 | Midtjylland (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Brann (24) | Bologna (10) | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 14 | AS Roma (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Lille (18) | Crvena zvezda (15) | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Aston Villa (2) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Ferencvaros (12) | Braga (6) | 0 : 4, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Panathinaikos (20) | Betis (4) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Genk (9) | Freiburg (7) | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Celta Vigo (16) | Lyon (1) | 1 : 1 |
| 5 | Stuttgart (11) | FC Porto (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Nottingham (13) | Midtjylland (3) | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Bologna (10) | AS Roma (8) | 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Lille (18) | Aston Villa (2) | 0 : 1 |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
