Bologna vs Freiburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League
Football UEFA Europa League Bologna - Freiburg
Result
1:1
02/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Minakovic N. (Srb)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 4
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 2, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, Q Arena Asia, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 5
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 2
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 6
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 7
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Arena
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 1
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 2
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 4 South, ViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 8, Movistar Plus+
swedenSwedenDisney+
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 6, TNT Sports Extra
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.792.17
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
812
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
28
Passes
80% (342/426)77% (267/347)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.792.17
xG on target (xGOT)
1.022.65
Total shots
812
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
411
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
28
Touches in opposition box
1127
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1816
Passes
80% (342/426)77% (267/347)
Long passes
53% (32/60)33% (22/66)
Passes in final third
65% (67/103)57% (40/70)
Crosses
6% (1/16)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.200.92
Throw-ins
2221
Fouls
1618
Tackles
72% (13/18)72% (13/18)
Duels won
6350
Clearances
2329
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
2.651.02
Goals prevented
1.650.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 29', 1 - 0, Orsolini R. ⚽, Cambiaghi N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Grifo V. ↓, Scherhant D. ↑,
  • 48', Makengo J. 🟨,
  • 56', Skorupski L. 🟨,
  • 57', 1 - 1, Adamu J. (Pen),
  • 65', Lienhart P. 🟨,
  • 66', Castro S. ↓, Dallinga T. ↑,
  • 66', Lykogiannis C. ↓, Miranda J. ↑,
  • 66', Orsolini R. ↓, Bernardeschi F. ↑,
  • 67', Holm E. 🟨,
  • 75', Beste J. ↓, Dinkci E. ↑,
  • 77', Cambiaghi N. ↓, Rowe J. ↑,
  • 80', Makengo J. ↓, Gunter C. ↑,
  • 80', Manzambi J. ↓, Holer L. ↑,
  • 88', Adamu J. ↓, Matanovic I. ↑,
  • 90+3', Ferguson L. ↓, Fabbian G. ↑,

Chances of winning


Bologna
49.1%		Draw
28%		Freiburg
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.7% 27.1% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9% 27.9% 28.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bologna's performance.
  • Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Freiburg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Freiburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Bologna - Freiburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.98 ↓
    (2.17)    		 3.4 ↓
    (3.5)    		 4.12 ↑
    (3.25)    		 4.3%
    (5.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Bologna - Freiburg?
  • Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Bologna will win (votes: 30 - 71.4%). Freiburg will win (votes: 7 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 11.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bologna: 57.7% – 85.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Bologna (votes: 7 - 70%). Freiburg (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Bologna has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Freiburg is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Freiburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Bologna is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Bologna: Bonifazi K. (Inactive) Immobile C. (Thigh Injury) Sulemana I. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Bologna
    28.09.2025 Lecce - Bologna 2:2 ✺
    25.09.2025 Aston Villa - Bologna 1:0 ✺
    20.09.2025 Bologna - Genoa 2:1 ✺
    14.09.2025 Milan - Bologna 1:0 ✺
    30.08.2025 Bologna - Como 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Freiburg
    28.09.2025 Freiburg - Hoffenheim 1:1 ✺
    24.09.2025 Freiburg - Basel 2:1 ✺
    20.09.2025 Werder Bremen - Freiburg 0:3 ✺
    13.09.2025 Freiburg - Stuttgart 3:1 ✺
    31.08.2025 Köln - Freiburg 4:1 ✺
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Midtjylland33008:269
    2Braga33005:059
    3Lyon33005:059
    4D. Zagreb32107:347
    5Plzen32106:247
    6Freiburg32105:237
    7Ferencvaros32105:327
    8Brann32015:236
    9Celta Vigo32016:426
    10Aston Villa32014:226
    11Lille32016:516
    12G.A. Eagles32014:316
    13Young Boys32016:606
    14Fenerbahce32014:406
    15FC Porto32013:306
    16Betis31204:225
    17Nottingham31116:514
    18Bologna31113:304
    19Genk31111:104
    20PAOK31115:6-14
    21Celtic31113:4-14
    22Panathinaikos31026:603
    23AS Roma31023:4-13
    24Basel31023:4-13
    25Feyenoord31023:4-13
    26Ludogorets31024:6-23
    27Sturm Graz31023:5-23
    28FCSB31022:4-23
    29Stuttgart31022:4-23
    30Crvena zvezda30122:5-31
    31Malmo FF30122:6-41
    32Maccabi Tel Aviv30121:6-51
    33Nice30033:6-30
    34Salzburg30032:6-40
    35Utrecht30030:4-40
    36Rangers30031:6-50

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