Bolton Wanderers vs AFC Wimbledon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Bolton Wanderers - AFC Wimbledon
Result
3:0
06/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 7
  • Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.750.98
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
249
Shots on target
81
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
84% (374/446)70% (198/284)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
2.750.98
xG on target (xGOT)
2.610.16
Total shots
249
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
83
Shots inside the Box
175
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
4012
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1813
Passes
84% (374/446)70% (198/284)
Long passes
46% (25/54)31% (22/72)
Passes in final third
73% (101/139)59% (56/95)
Crosses
23% (7/30)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.380.65
Throw-ins
1918
Fouls
1418
Tackles
64% (9/14)62% (8/13)
Duels won
6147
Clearances
1428
Interceptions
44
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.162.61
Goals prevented
0.16-0.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', Reeves J. 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 0, Burstow M. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 50', Browne M. 🟥,
  • 53', 2 - 0, Cozier-Duberry A. , Dacres-Cogley J. (A),
  • 56', Burstow M. , Dalby S. ,
  • 62', 3 - 0, Randall J. , Conway M. (A),
  • 66', Randall J. , Forss M. ,
  • 67', Harbottle R. , Sasu A. ,
  • 67', Stevens M. , Bugiel O. ,
  • 67', Hippolyte M. , Hackford A. ,
  • 69', Gale T. 🟨,
  • 71', Forino-Joseph C. 🟨,
  • 74', Lewis J. 🟨,
  • 78', Conway M. , Taylor R. ,
  • 78', Gale T. , Cissoko I. ,
  • 78', Cozier-Duberry A. , McAtee J. ,
  • 88', Smith A. , Maycock C. ,
  • 88', Asiimwe N. , Bauer P. ,
  • 90+1', Lewis J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bolton Wanderers
62.3%
Draw
23.1%
AFC Wimbledon
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58% 24.1% 17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4% 23.1% 17.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Bolton Wanderers - AFC Wimbledon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.62)
    4.05
    (3.9)
    6.34
    (5.25)
    6.2%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Bolton Wanderers - AFC Wimbledon?
  • Users Predictions: Bolton Wanderers will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.12%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 1.
    • Bolton has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Wimbledon has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Wimbledon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Bolton is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V. (Knee Injury) Dempsey K. (Knee Injury) Forrester W. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bolton won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
    Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bradford City1072118:11723
    2Stevenage971115:8722
    3Lincoln1063117:9821
    4Cardiff962115:51020
    5Huddersfield1061316:11519
    6AFC Wimbledon1060414:12218
    7Stockport County1044215:13216
    8Barnsley951314:12216
    9Doncaster1051410:11-116
    10Luton950412:9315
    11Bolton1035214:10414
    12Mansfield1042415:13214
    13Northampton94147:8-113
    14Wigan1033414:15-112
    15Plymouth1040615:18-312
    16Port Vale1032510:10011
    17Leyton Orient1032513:18-511
    18Exeter1030710:12-29
    19Reading923410:14-49
    20Wycombe1022611:13-28
    21Rotherham92167:13-67
    22Blackpool92168:15-77
    23Peterborough102177:18-117
    24Burton81255:14-95

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two