AFC Wimbledon vs Bolton Wanderers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
31/01/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 30
  • Referee: Humphries A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.011.31
Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
06
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
54
Passes
72% (263/365)75% (330/439)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
1.011.31
xG on target (xGOT)
0.000.59
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
06
Shots off target
95
Blocked shots
65
Shots inside the box
79
Shots outside the box
87
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
1720
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
10
Free kicks
139
Passes
72% (263/365)75% (330/439)
Long passes
21% (15/73)33% (24/72)
Passes in final third
60% (69/115)63% (80/127)
Crosses
14% (3/22)17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.320.63
Throw ins
2930
Fouls
913
Tackles
55% (11/20)56% (10/18)
Duels won
6571
Clearances
3938
Interceptions
1111
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
50
xGOT faced
0.590.00
Goals prevented
-0.410.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Blackett-Taylor C. , McAtee J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Asiimwe N. , Nkeng R. ,
  • 60', McAtee J. 🟨,
  • 67', Hackford A. , Stevens M. ,
  • 68', Blackett-Taylor C. , Gale T. ,
  • 68', McAtee J. , Simons X. ,
  • 72', Apter R. , Cissoko I. ,
  • 73', Maycock C. , Nelson Z. ,
  • 79', Browne M. , Bugiel O. ,
  • 80', Reeves J. , Hippolyte M. ,
  • 83', Dempsey K. , Burstow M. ,
  • 83', Osei-Tutu J. , Christie C. ,
  • 90+5', Smith A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


AFC Wimbledon
23.3%
Draw
27.2%
Bolton Wanderers
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.8% 26.5% 52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5% 26.1% 53.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • AFC Wimbledon - Bolton Wanderers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.06
    (4.42)
    3.44
    (3.48)
    1.89
    (1.75)
    6.5%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Bolton Wanderers?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Bolton will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Wimbledon: 8%64.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Wimbledon (votes: 1 - 20%). Bolton (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 17 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 0.
    • Wimbledon has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Bolton is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Wimbledon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Bolton is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Wimbledon: McCoy-Splatt D. (Inactive) Sasu A. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Bolton: Cozier-Duberry A. (Inactive) Forss M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Wimbledon: Hutchinson S. (Inactive)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 1:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Bolton Wanderers were as follows:
    06.09.2025 Bolton Wanderers - AFC Wimbledon 3:0
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln ✔ 41279577:354290
    2Cardiff40239874:423278
    3Bradford City412181252:45771
    4Bolton411816759:421770
    5Stockport County4019101159:50967
    6Stevenage4018101242:38464
    7Plymouth411951764:56862
    8Reading4216141262:54862
    9Huddersfield4117101462:53961
    10Luton4117101457:50761
    11Wycombe4216111560:481259
    12Mansfield3913141249:41853
    13Peterborough401561959:55451
    14Barnsley3913121460:64-451
    15Leyton Orient411481956:64-850
    16AFC Wimbledon411481949:62-1350
    17Doncaster411481942:64-2250
    18Wigan4112131644:55-1149
    19Burton4212121845:56-1148
    20Blackpool421392048:64-1648
    21Exeter4212102045:53-846
    22Rotherham409102135:59-2437
    23Northampton41982434:60-2635
    24Port Vale398102130:54-2434

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Qualified for Championship