Result
3:0
06/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 7
- Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | CBS Sports Network, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.75 | 0.98 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (374/446) | 70% (198/284) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.75 | 0.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.61 | 0.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (374/446) | 70% (198/284) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (25/54) | 31% (22/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (101/139) | 59% (56/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (7/30) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.65 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.16 | 2.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | -0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', Reeves J. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 0, Burstow M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 50', Browne M. 🟥,
- 53', 2 - 0, Cozier-Duberry A. ⚽, Dacres-Cogley J. (A),
- 56', Burstow M. ↓, Dalby S. ↑,
- 62', 3 - 0, Randall J. ⚽, Conway M. (A),
- 66', Randall J. ↓, Forss M. ↑,
- 67', Harbottle R. ↓, Sasu A. ↑,
- 67', Stevens M. ↓, Bugiel O. ↑,
- 67', Hippolyte M. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
- 69', Gale T. 🟨,
- 71', Forino-Joseph C. 🟨,
- 74', Lewis J. 🟨,
- 78', Conway M. ↓, Taylor R. ↑,
- 78', Gale T. ↓, Cissoko I. ↑,
- 78', Cozier-Duberry A. ↓, McAtee J. ↑,
- 88', Smith A. ↓, Maycock C. ↑,
- 88', Asiimwe N. ↓, Bauer P. ↑,
- 90+1', Lewis J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bolton Wanderers
62.3% | Draw
23.1% | AFC Wimbledon
14.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Bolton Wanderers - AFC Wimbledon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↓
(1.62) |
4.05 ↑
(3.9) |
6.34 ↑
(5.25) |
6.2%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bolton Wanderers - AFC Wimbledon?
Users Predictions:
Bolton Wanderers will win
(13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 1.
- Bolton has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Wimbledon has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Wimbledon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Bolton is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V.
(Knee Injury)
Dempsey K.
(Knee Injury)
Forrester W.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bolton won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against AFC Wimbledon?
Bolton Wanderers has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Bolton Wanderers?
AFC Wimbledon has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bolton Wanderers - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:
Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:15 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 6 | Lincoln | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 24 |
| 7 | Bolton | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Mansfield | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 10 | Barnsley | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:16 | 2 | 18 |
| 11 | Northampton | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 10:11 | -1 | 17 |
| 12 | Doncaster | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 |
| 13 | Wigan | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Luton | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 16 |
| 15 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 14 |
| 16 | Rotherham | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 14 |
| 17 | Wycombe | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 18 | Port Vale | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
| 19 | Exeter | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
| 20 | Plymouth | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 13 |
| 21 | Burton | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 22 | Reading | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 11 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9:20 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 | Blackpool | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
