AFC Wimbledon vs Bolton Wanderers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

31/01/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

The Cherry Red Records Stadium (London).

League One - Round 30
Referee: Humphries A. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.01	1.31
Ball possession
46%	54%
Total shots
15	16
Shots on target
0	6
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
5	4
Passes
72% (263/365)	75% (330/439)
Yellow cards
1	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.01	1.31
xG on target (xGOT)
0.00	0.59
Total shots
15	16
Shots on target
0	6
Shots off target
9	5
Blocked shots
6	5
Shots inside the box
7	9
Shots outside the box
8	7
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
5	4
Touches in opposition box
17	20
Accurate through passes
0	2
Offsides
1	0
Free kicks
13	9
Passes
72% (263/365)	75% (330/439)
Long passes
21% (15/73)	33% (24/72)
Passes in final third
60% (69/115)	63% (80/127)
Crosses
14% (3/22)	17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.32	0.63
Throw ins
29	30
Fouls
9	13
Tackles
55% (11/20)	56% (10/18)
Duels won
65	71
Clearances
39	38
Interceptions
11	11
Errors leading to shot
2	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
5	0
xGOT faced
0.59	0.00
Goals prevented
-0.41	0.00

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Blackett-Taylor C. ⚽, McAtee J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Asiimwe N. ↓, Nkeng R. ↑,
60', McAtee J. 🟨,
67', Hackford A. ↓, Stevens M. ↑,
68', Blackett-Taylor C. ↓, Gale T. ↑,
68', McAtee J. ↓, Simons X. ↑,
72', Apter R. ↓, Cissoko I. ↑,
73', Maycock C. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
79', Browne M. ↓, Bugiel O. ↑,
80', Reeves J. ↓, Hippolyte M. ↑,
83', Dempsey K. ↓, Burstow M. ↑,
83', Osei-Tutu J. ↓, Christie C. ↑,
90+5', Smith A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

AFC Wimbledon
23.3%

Draw
27.2%

Bolton Wanderers
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

26.5%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

26.1%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+4%)

AFC Wimbledon - Bolton Wanderers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.06 ↓ (4.42)	3.44 ↓ (3.48)	1.89 ↑ (1.75)	6.5% (8.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Bolton Wanderers?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Bolton will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wimbledon: 8% – 64.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Wimbledon (votes: 1 - 20%). Bolton (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 17 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 0.
Wimbledon has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Bolton is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Wimbledon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Bolton is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Wimbledon: McCoy-Splatt D. (Inactive) Sasu A. (Inactive)
There will not play in Bolton: Cozier-Duberry A. (Inactive) Forss M. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Wimbledon: Hutchinson S. (Inactive)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 1:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Bolton Wanderers?

AFC Wimbledon has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against AFC Wimbledon?

Bolton Wanderers has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Bolton Wanderers were as follows:

06.09.2025 Bolton Wanderers - AFC Wimbledon 3:0

Latest results of AFC Wimbledon

24.01.2026 Rotherham United - AFC Wimbledon 1:1 ✺

17.01.2026 AFC Wimbledon - Doncaster Rovers 0:1 ✺

12.01.2026 AFC Wimbledon - West Ham United U21 4:2 ✺

04.01.2026 Wycombe Wanderers - AFC Wimbledon 2:0 ✺

01.01.2026 Leyton Orient - AFC Wimbledon 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Bolton Wanderers

27.01.2026 Bolton Wanderers - Burton Albion 2:1 ✺

24.01.2026 Bolton Wanderers - Leyton Orient 2:1 ✺

20.01.2026 Stevenage Borough - Bolton Wanderers 0:0 ✺

17.01.2026 Wigan Athletic - Bolton Wanderers 0:1 ✺

13.01.2026 Bolton Wanderers - Port Vale 0:1 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lincoln	38	24	9	5	71:34	37	81
2	Cardiff	38	23	7	8	73:41	32	76
3	Bolton	38	17	15	6	55:38	17	66
4	Bradford City	38	19	8	11	48:42	6	65
5	Stockport County	36	17	8	11	50:47	3	59
6	Reading	38	15	13	10	57:50	7	58
7	Huddersfield	38	16	9	13	58:48	10	57
8	Stevenage	37	16	9	12	40:38	2	57
9	Wycombe	38	15	11	12	55:41	14	56
10	Plymouth	38	17	5	16	57:53	4	56
11	Luton	38	15	9	14	51:48	3	54
12	Barnsley	36	13	11	12	59:59	0	50
13	Peterborough	37	15	4	18	56:51	5	49
14	AFC Wimbledon	37	14	7	16	48:54	-6	49
15	Mansfield	36	11	13	12	43:40	3	46
16	Leyton Orient	37	13	6	18	53:62	-9	45
17	Doncaster	37	12	8	17	40:59	-19	44
18	Burton	38	11	10	17	42:53	-11	43
19	Exeter	38	11	9	18	42:50	-8	42
20	Wigan	37	10	12	15	39:51	-12	42
21	Blackpool	38	11	8	19	46:63	-17	41
22	Rotherham	37	9	9	19	35:55	-20	36
23	Northampton	38	9	8	21	32:52	-20	35
24	Port Vale	35	6	10	19	28:49	-21	28

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two