Result
1:4
27/01/2024 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 30
- Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)
Chances of winning
Carlisle United
23.7% | Draw
26.8% | Bolton Wanderers
49.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bolton Wanderers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Carlisle United - Bolton Wanderers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.91 ↓
(4.5) |
3.5 ↓
(3.74) |
1.9 ↑
(1.74) |
6.8%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Carlisle United - Bolton Wanderers?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Carlisle will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Bolton will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bolton: 42% – 87.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
- Carlisle is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Bolton is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Bolton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Bolton is a favorite.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-6.
- Including matches at home between the teams Carlisle won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.
How many head-to-head matches has Carlisle United won against Bolton Wanderers?
Carlisle United has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Carlisle United?
Bolton Wanderers has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carlisle United - Bolton Wanderers were as follows:
07.10.2023
Bolton Wanderers
-
Carlisle United
1:3
Latest results of Carlisle United
Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
