Result
1:4
27/01/2024 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 30
- Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)
Chances of winning
Carlisle United
23.7% | Draw
26.8% | Bolton Wanderers
49.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bolton Wanderers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Carlisle United - Bolton Wanderers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.91 ↓
(4.5) |
3.5 ↓
(3.74) |
1.9 ↑
(1.74) |
6.8%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Carlisle United - Bolton Wanderers?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Carlisle will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Bolton will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bolton: 42% – 87.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
- Carlisle is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Bolton is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Bolton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Bolton is a favorite.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-6.
- Including matches at home between the teams Carlisle won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.
How many head-to-head matches has Carlisle United won against Bolton Wanderers?
Carlisle United has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Carlisle United?
Bolton Wanderers has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carlisle United - Bolton Wanderers were as follows:
07.10.2023
Bolton Wanderers
-
Carlisle United
1:3
Latest results of Carlisle United
Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:11 | 10 | 26 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 26 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 23:16 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 19:15 | 4 | 25 |
| 6 | Lincoln | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 18:11 | 7 | 24 |
| 7 | Bolton | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 19:15 | 4 | 23 |
| 8 | Mansfield | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 | 19 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 18:18 | 0 | 19 |
| 10 | Luton | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 19 |
| 11 | Barnsley | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 18 |
| 12 | Doncaster | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 18 |
| 13 | Wigan | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 17 |
| 15 | Rotherham | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 13:16 | -3 | 17 |
| 16 | Northampton | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10:13 | -3 | 17 |
| 17 | Wycombe | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18:16 | 2 | 16 |
| 18 | Exeter | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 14:14 | 0 | 16 |
| 19 | Reading | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 | Burton | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 15 |
| 21 | Port Vale | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
| 22 | Plymouth | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 13 |
| 23 | Blackpool | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13:22 | -9 | 12 |
| 24 | Peterborough | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 10:22 | -12 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
