Result
2:3
02/05/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 46
- Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 3.05 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (348/417) | 78% (247/318) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 3.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.71 | 4.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (348/417) | 78% (247/318) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (19/45) | 25% (14/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (79/117) | 55% (42/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.19 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 35% (7/20) | 52% (14/27) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.17 | 2.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 13', Conway M. 🟨,
- 15', 0 - 1, Clark J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 20', 1 - 1, Osei-Tutu J. ⚽, Cozier-Duberry A. (A),
- 35', Walsh L. 🟨,
- 45+3', 2 - 1, Cissoko I. ⚽, Rodrigues R. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 60', Cissoko I. 🟨,
- 61', Richards J. ↓, Morris S. ↑,
- 62', 2 - 2, Odoffin H. ⚽, Walsh L. (A),
- 63', Forino-Joseph C. 🟨,
- 63', Palmer K. 🟨,
- 73', Cissoko I. ↓, Gale T. ↑,
- 73', Lawrence E. ↓, Kodua G. ↑,
- 78', Sheehan J. 🟨,
- 79', Rodrigues R. ↓, Dempsey K. ↑,
- 81', Palmer K. ↓, van den Berg D. ↑,
- 81', Andersen M. ↓, Al Hamadi A. ↑,
- 86', Conway M. ↓, Christie C. ↑,
- 86', Burstow M. ↓, McAtee J. ↑,
- 88', van den Berg D. 🟨,
- 90+4', 2 - 3, Morris S. ⚽,
- 90+7', Wells N. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Bolton Wanderers
41.8% | Draw
22.9% | Luton Town
35.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Bolton Wanderers - Luton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.26 ↓
(2.45) |
4.04 ↑
(3.83) |
2.67 ↑
(2.55) |
6.5%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Bolton Wanderers - Luton Town?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Bolton will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Luton will win (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bolton: 21.7% – 78.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 7).
- Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
- In recent matches, Bolton has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Luton is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Bolton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Bolton: Blackett-Taylor C.
(Thigh Injury)
Erhahon E.
(Inactive)
Forss M.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E.
(Hip Injury)
Baptiste S.
(Knee Injury)
Holmes T.
(Inactive)
Mengi T.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Bolton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Luton Town?
Bolton Wanderers has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Bolton Wanderers?
Luton Town has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bolton Wanderers - Luton Town were as follows:
29.11.2025
Luton Town
-
Bolton Wanderers
1:1
16.01.2024
Bolton Wanderers
-
Luton Town
1:2
07.01.2024
Luton Town
-
Bolton Wanderers
0:0
Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
Latest results of Luton Town
English League One Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton ✔ | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
