Result
1:5
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 35
- Referee: Hicks C. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 3.12 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (284/383) | 84% (421/504) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 3.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 4.56 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 41 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (284/383) | 84% (421/504) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (39/80) | 42% (22/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (63/106) | 69% (98/142) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 47% (7/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 2.05 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.56 | 1.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.44 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, Dalby S. ⚽, Kenny J. (A),
- 35', Johnston G. 🟨,
- 39', Fitzwater J. 🟨,
- 45+2', Magennis J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 4)
- 46', Sweeney P. ↓, Cummins C. ↑,
- 60', 0 - 2, Kenny J. ⚽, Sheehan J. (A),
- 67', 1 - 2, Wareham J. ⚽,
- 72', 1 - 3, Gale T. ⚽,
- 75', Magennis J. ↓, Tuterov T. ↑,
- 75', Rydel R. ↓, Higgins A. ↑,
- 75', McMillan J. ↓, Oakes L. ↑,
- 75', Gale T. ↓, Cissoko I. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 4, Cissoko I. ⚽, Dalby S. (A),
- 80', Apter R. ↓, Burstow M. ↑,
- 80', Sheehan J. ↓, Simons X. ↑,
- 80', Kenny J. ↓, Dempsey K. ↑,
- 81', Fitzwater J. ↓, Dean T. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 5, Johnston G. ⚽, Dalby S. (A),
Chances of winning
Exeter City
28.3% | Draw
27.1% | Bolton Wanderers
44.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Exeter City - Bolton Wanderers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.31 ↓
(3.62) |
3.43 ↑
(3.36) |
2.11 ↑
(2.01) |
6.8%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Exeter City - Bolton Wanderers?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Bolton will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Exeter: 4% – 71%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Exeter (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 1.
- Recent performances by Exeter have been up and down (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Bolton is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Bolton might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Exeter: Andrew D.
(Inactive)
Borges P.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Bolton: Cozier-Duberry A.
(Inactive)
Forss M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Exeter: Fitzwater J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Bolton: Taylor R.
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Exeter won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Bolton Wanderers?
Exeter City has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Exeter City?
Bolton Wanderers has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Exeter City - Bolton Wanderers were as follows:
13.12.2025
Bolton Wanderers
-
Exeter City
2:1
04.01.2025
Exeter City
-
Bolton Wanderers
1:2
31.08.2024
Bolton Wanderers
-
Exeter City
0:2
09.03.2024
Exeter City
-
Bolton Wanderers
2:2
25.11.2023
Bolton Wanderers
-
Exeter City
7:0
Latest results of Exeter City
Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 42 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 79:36 | 43 | 93 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 41 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 76:42 | 34 | 81 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 42 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 71 |
| 4 | Bolton | 42 | 18 | 16 | 8 | 59:44 | 15 | 70 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 59:50 | 9 | 67 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 41 | 19 | 10 | 12 | 43:38 | 5 | 67 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 66:58 | 8 | 63 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 65:56 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Reading | 43 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 62:55 | 7 | 62 |
| 10 | Luton | 41 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 57:50 | 7 | 61 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 63:51 | 12 | 60 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 40 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 63:65 | -2 | 54 |
| 13 | Mansfield | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 50:43 | 7 | 53 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 42 | 15 | 8 | 19 | 43:64 | -21 | 53 |
| 15 | Wigan | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 46:56 | -10 | 52 |
| 16 | Peterborough | 41 | 15 | 6 | 20 | 60:58 | 2 | 51 |
| 17 | Burton | 43 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 46:56 | -10 | 51 |
| 18 | Blackpool | 43 | 14 | 9 | 20 | 51:65 | -14 | 51 |
| 19 | Leyton Orient | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 57:66 | -9 | 50 |
| 20 | AFC Wimbledon | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:63 | -14 | 50 |
| 21 | Exeter | 43 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 47:55 | -8 | 47 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 41 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 36:62 | -26 | 37 |
| 23 | Northampton | 41 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 34:60 | -26 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 39 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 30:54 | -24 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Qualified for Championship
