Result
1:2
04/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: League One - Round 25
- Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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France | beIN Sports 1 |
Match Stats
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| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 0.28 | 1.52 |
| Ball Possession |
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| 48% | 52% |
| Goal Attempts |
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| 5 | 13 |
| Shots on Goal |
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| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
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| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 1 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
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| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 5 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
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| 2 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 12 | 11 |
| Offsides |
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| 2 | 2 |
| Fouls |
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| 11 | 12 |
| Yellow Cards |
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| 2 | 5 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 36 | 23 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
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| 7 | 22 |
| Passes |
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| 80% (281/352) | 78% (291/372) |
| Passes in the final third |
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| 61% (57/93) | 60% (67/112) |
| Crosses |
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| 12% (2/17) | 11% (2/18) |
| Tackles |
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| 63% (10/16) | 79% (11/14) |
| Clearances Total |
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| 36 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
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| 7 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Schon S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 51', Thomason G. 🟨,
- 54', 1 - 0, Mitchell D. ⚽, Whitworth J. (A),
- 62', Williams R. 🟨,
- 63', Richards J. 🟨,
- 64', Mitchell D. ↓, Niskanen I. ↑,
- 64', Harper V. ↓, Aitchison J. ↑,
- 70', Schon S. ↓, Charles D. ↑,
- 70', Lolos K. ↓, Osei-Tutu J. ↑,
- 81', McAtee J. 🟨,
- 83', Watts C. ↓, Alli M. ↑,
- 86', Thomason G. ↓, Matete J. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 1, Collins A. ⚽,
- 90', McMillan J. 🟨,
- 90+1', 1 - 2, Morley A. ⚽, Osei-Tutu J. (A),
- 90+2', Richards J. ↓, Jones P. ↑,
- 90+5', Forrester W. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Exeter City 28.3% | Draw 26.7% | Bolton Wanderers 44.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Exeter City - Bolton Wanderers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.33 ↑ (2.92) |
3.49 ↑ (3.39) |
2.11 ↓ (2.29) |
6.1% (7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Exeter City - Bolton Wanderers?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Bolton will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Exeter: 9.6% – 70.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 13 and 10).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Exeter won 1.
- Recent matches Exeter is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Bolton is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Bolton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Bolton will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Exeter won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:14 (average 1:2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Exeter won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Bolton Wanderers?
Exeter City has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Exeter City?
Bolton Wanderers has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Exeter City - Bolton Wanderers were as follows:
31.08.2024
Bolton Wanderers
-
Exeter City
0:2
09.03.2024
Exeter City
-
Bolton Wanderers
2:2
25.11.2023
Bolton Wanderers
-
Exeter City
7:0
07.04.2023
Exeter City
-
Bolton Wanderers
0:1
17.12.2022
Bolton Wanderers
-
Exeter City
2:0
Latest results of Exeter City
Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:15 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 6 | Lincoln | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 24 |
| 7 | Bolton | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Mansfield | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 10 | Barnsley | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:16 | 2 | 18 |
| 11 | Northampton | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 10:12 | -2 | 17 |
| 12 | Doncaster | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 |
| 13 | Exeter | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 14:14 | 0 | 16 |
| 14 | Wigan | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 16 |
| 15 | Luton | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 16 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 14 |
| 17 | Reading | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 14 |
| 18 | Rotherham | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 14 |
| 19 | Wycombe | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 20 | Port Vale | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
| 21 | Plymouth | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 13 |
| 22 | Burton | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9:20 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 | Blackpool | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two