Exeter City vs Bolton Wanderers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

St James Park (Exeter).

League One - Round 35
Referee: Hicks C. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.13	3.12
Ball possession
44%	56%
Total shots
10	22
Shots on target
4	10
Big chances
1	5
Corner kicks
4	3
Passes
74% (284/383)	84% (421/504)
Yellow cards
2	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.13	3.12
xG on target (xGOT)
1.20	4.56
Total shots
10	22
Shots on target
4	10
Shots off target
3	6
Blocked shots
3	6
Shots inside the box
7	18
Shots outside the box
3	4
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
1	1
Big chances
1	5
Corner kicks
4	3
Touches in opposition box
20	41
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
7	2
Free kicks
7	15
Passes
74% (284/383)	84% (421/504)
Long passes
49% (39/80)	42% (22/53)
Passes in final third
59% (63/106)	69% (98/142)
Crosses
20% (3/15)	47% (7/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.79	2.05
Throw ins
23	8
Fouls
15	7
Tackles
53% (8/15)	67% (8/12)
Duels won
42	62
Clearances
14	32
Interceptions
6	13
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
5	3
xGOT faced
4.56	1.20
Goals prevented
-0.44	0.20

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Dalby S. ⚽, Kenny J. (A),
35', Johnston G. 🟨,
39', Fitzwater J. 🟨,
45+2', Magennis J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
46', Sweeney P. ↓, Cummins C. ↑,
60', 0 - 2, Kenny J. ⚽, Sheehan J. (A),
67', 1 - 2, Wareham J. ⚽,
72', 1 - 3, Gale T. ⚽,
75', Magennis J. ↓, Tuterov T. ↑,
75', Rydel R. ↓, Higgins A. ↑,
75', McMillan J. ↓, Oakes L. ↑,
75', Gale T. ↓, Cissoko I. ↑,
77', 1 - 4, Cissoko I. ⚽, Dalby S. (A),
80', Apter R. ↓, Burstow M. ↑,
80', Sheehan J. ↓, Simons X. ↑,
80', Kenny J. ↓, Dempsey K. ↑,
81', Fitzwater J. ↓, Dean T. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 5, Johnston G. ⚽, Dalby S. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Exeter City
28.3%

Draw
27.1%

Bolton Wanderers
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

27.8%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

26.4%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Exeter City - Bolton Wanderers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↓ (3.62)	3.43 ↑ (3.36)	2.11 ↑ (2.01)	6.8% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Exeter City - Bolton Wanderers?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Bolton will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Exeter: 4% – 71%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Exeter (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 1.
Recent performances by Exeter have been up and down (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Bolton is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Bolton might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Exeter: Andrew D. (Inactive) Borges P. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Bolton: Cozier-Duberry A. (Inactive) Forss M. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Exeter: Fitzwater J. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Bolton: Taylor R. (Inactive)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 1:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Exeter won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Bolton Wanderers?

Exeter City has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Exeter City?

Bolton Wanderers has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Exeter City - Bolton Wanderers were as follows:

13.12.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Exeter City 2:1

04.01.2025 Exeter City - Bolton Wanderers 1:2

31.08.2024 Bolton Wanderers - Exeter City 0:2

09.03.2024 Exeter City - Bolton Wanderers 2:2

25.11.2023 Bolton Wanderers - Exeter City 7:0

Latest results of Exeter City

21.02.2026 Peterborough United - Exeter City 3:3 ✺

17.02.2026 Exeter City - Wycombe Wanderers 1:1 ✺

14.02.2026 Exeter City - Northampton Town 0:0 ✺

07.02.2026 Mansfield Town - Exeter City 0:0 ✺

31.01.2026 Exeter City - Rotherham United 0:4 ✺

Latest results of Bolton Wanderers

21.02.2026 Bolton Wanderers - Blackpool 2:2 ✺

17.02.2026 Reading - Bolton Wanderers 1:1 ✺

14.02.2026 Lincoln City - Bolton Wanderers 1:1 ✺

07.02.2026 Bolton Wanderers - Barnsley 3:2 ✺

31.01.2026 AFC Wimbledon - Bolton Wanderers 0:1 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lincoln	39	25	9	5	74:34	40	84
2	Cardiff	39	23	8	8	73:41	32	77
3	Bolton	39	17	15	7	55:39	16	66
4	Bradford City	39	19	8	12	49:44	5	65
5	Stockport County	37	17	9	11	51:48	3	60
6	Stevenage	38	17	9	12	41:38	3	60
7	Plymouth	39	18	5	16	60:54	6	59
8	Reading	39	15	13	11	57:51	6	58
9	Huddersfield	39	16	9	14	59:51	8	57
10	Wycombe	39	15	11	13	55:43	12	56
11	Luton	39	15	10	14	52:49	3	55
12	Peterborough	38	15	5	18	57:52	5	50
13	Barnsley	37	13	11	13	59:60	-1	50
14	AFC Wimbledon	38	14	8	16	49:55	-6	50
15	Mansfield	37	12	13	12	47:41	6	49
16	Leyton Orient	38	14	6	18	55:62	-7	48
17	Doncaster	38	13	8	17	41:59	-18	47
18	Burton	39	12	10	17	44:54	-10	46
19	Wigan	38	11	12	15	41:51	-10	45
20	Exeter	39	11	9	19	42:52	-10	42
21	Blackpool	39	11	9	19	46:63	-17	42
22	Rotherham	38	9	9	20	35:58	-23	36
23	Northampton	39	9	8	22	33:56	-23	35
24	Port Vale	36	7	10	19	29:49	-20	31

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two