Stevenage Borough vs Bolton Wanderers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Lamex Stadium (Stevenage).

League One - Round 16

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.04	0.20
Ball possession
33%	67%
Total shots
10	7
Shots on target
3	4
Big chances
2	0
Corner kicks
6	4
Passes
58% (119/205)	80% (343/427)
Yellow cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.04	0.20
xG on target (xGOT)
0.82	0.31
Total shots
10	7
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
1	2
Blocked shots
6	1
Shots inside the box
8	3
Shots outside the box
2	3
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
2	0
Corner kicks
6	4
Touches in opposition box
23	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	0
Free kicks
12	18
Passes
58% (119/205)	80% (343/427)
Long passes
22% (12/55)	33% (20/61)
Passes in final third
49% (48/97)	61% (67/109)
Crosses
20% (3/15)	22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.66	0.27
Throw ins
35	29
Fouls
18	12
Tackles
53% (9/17)	67% (6/9)
Duels won
48	64
Clearances
36	46
Interceptions
5	7
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	2
xGOT faced
0.31	0.82
Goals prevented
0.31	0.82

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Burstow M. ↓, McAtee J. ↑,
58', Simons X. ↓, Dempsey K. ↑,
68', Thompson L. ↓, Kemp D. ↑,
68', Lubala B. ↓, Campbell C. ↑,
73', Conway M. ↓, Gale T. ↑,
77', Reid J. ↓, Cornick H. ↑,
83', Johnston G. 🟨,
88', Cozier-Duberry A. ↓, Erhahon E. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Stevenage Borough
27.1%

Draw
29%

Bolton Wanderers
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

29.8%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

29.3%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stevenage Borough's form might have worsened.

Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bolton Wanderers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bolton Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Stevenage Borough - Bolton Wanderers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (2.83)	3.22 ↑ (3.09)	2.16 ↓ (2.45)	6.6% (8.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Stevenage Borough - Bolton Wanderers?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Stevenage will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Bolton will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +0.25 - Stevenage (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Stevenage (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Stevenage Borough will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Stevenage (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Bolton (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 0.
Stevenage is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Bolton is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Stevenage may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Stevenage: Simpson T. (Inactive) Thompson L. (Inactive) Young J. (Inactive)
There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V. (Knee Injury) Erhahon E. (Inactive) Gale T. (Inactive) McAtee J. (Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.8:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Stevenage won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Bolton Wanderers?

Stevenage Borough has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Stevenage Borough?

Bolton Wanderers has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Stevenage Borough - Bolton Wanderers were as follows:

03.05.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Stevenage Borough 1:1

29.10.2024 Stevenage Borough - Bolton Wanderers 1:4

29.03.2024 Stevenage Borough - Bolton Wanderers 0:0

03.10.2023 Bolton Wanderers - Stevenage Borough 3:2

Latest results of Stevenage Borough

17.01.2026 Exeter City - Stevenage Borough 3:0 ✺

10.01.2026 Luton Town - Stevenage Borough 2:1 ✺

01.01.2026 Stevenage Borough - Plymouth Argyle 1:1 ✺

29.12.2025 Cardiff City - Stevenage Borough 2:1 ✺

26.12.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Stevenage Borough 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Bolton Wanderers

17.01.2026 Wigan Athletic - Bolton Wanderers 0:1 ✺

13.01.2026 Bolton Wanderers - Port Vale 0:1 ✺

10.01.2026 Peterborough United - Bolton Wanderers 3:1 ✺

04.01.2026 Bolton Wanderers - Northampton Town 0:0 ✺

01.01.2026 Doncaster Rovers - Bolton Wanderers 1:1 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lincoln	39	25	9	5	74:34	40	84
2	Cardiff	39	23	8	8	73:41	32	77
3	Bolton	39	17	15	7	55:39	16	66
4	Bradford City	39	19	8	12	49:44	5	65
5	Stockport County	37	17	9	11	51:48	3	60
6	Stevenage	38	17	9	12	41:38	3	60
7	Plymouth	39	18	5	16	60:54	6	59
8	Reading	39	15	13	11	57:51	6	58
9	Huddersfield	39	16	9	14	59:51	8	57
10	Wycombe	39	15	11	13	55:43	12	56
11	Luton	39	15	10	14	52:49	3	55
12	Peterborough	38	15	5	18	57:52	5	50
13	Barnsley	37	13	11	13	59:60	-1	50
14	AFC Wimbledon	38	14	8	16	49:55	-6	50
15	Mansfield	37	12	13	12	47:41	6	49
16	Leyton Orient	38	14	6	18	55:62	-7	48
17	Doncaster	38	13	8	17	41:59	-18	47
18	Burton	39	12	10	17	44:54	-10	46
19	Wigan	38	11	12	15	41:51	-10	45
20	Exeter	39	11	9	19	42:52	-10	42
21	Blackpool	39	11	9	19	46:63	-17	42
22	Rotherham	38	9	9	20	35:58	-23	36
23	Northampton	39	9	8	22	33:56	-23	35
24	Port Vale	36	7	10	19	29:49	-20	31

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two