Bolton Wanderers vs Stevenage Borough – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Toughsheet Community Stadium (Bolton).

League One - Round 46
Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.62	0.84
Ball Possession
61%	39%
Total shots
14	11
Shots on target
5	5
Big Chances
4	2
Corner Kicks
4	2
Passes
79% (404/514)	69% (223/322)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62	0.84
xG on target (xGOT)
1.57	1.91
Total shots
14	11
Shots on target
5	5
Shots off target
7	4
Blocked Shots
2	2
Shots inside the Box
10	8
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
4	2
Corner Kicks
4	2
Touches in opposition box
16	30
Accurate through passes
2	0
Offsides
3	6
Free Kicks
12	11
Passes
79% (404/514)	69% (223/322)
Long passes
33% (20/60)	36% (25/70)
Passes in final third
71% (95/134)	59% (73/124)
Crosses
25% (2/8)	31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.88	0.86
Throw-ins
21	20
Fouls
11	12
Tackles
59% (13/22)	64% (14/22)
Duels won
63	59
Clearances
36	16
Interceptions
6	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	4
xGOT faced
1.91	1.57
Goals prevented
0.91	0.57

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', Jones G. ↓, Dacres-Cogley J. ↑,
60', Collins A. ↓, Lawrence D. ↑,
61', Appere L. ↓, Young J. ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Dacres-Cogley J. ⚽, Randall J. (A),
72', McAtee J. ↓, Abimbola D. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Young J. ⚽,
79', Reid J. ↓, List E. ↑,
80', White H. ↓, King E. ↑,
82', Piergianni C. 🟨,
84', Randall J. ↓, Lolos K. ↑,
87', Piergianni C. ↓, Bates E. ↑,

Chances of winning

Bolton Wanderers
45.6%

Draw
26.8%

Stevenage Borough
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

24.9%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

24.6%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bolton Wanderers's form might have worsened.

Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bolton Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stevenage Borough, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bolton Wanderers - Stevenage Borough Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.79)	3.53 ↓ (3.77)	3.42 ↓ (4.16)	5.9% (6.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Bolton Wanderers - Stevenage Borough?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Bolton will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Stevenage (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 8 and 14).
Bolton has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Stevenage is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Bolton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Bolton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V. (Knee Injury) Etete K. (Inactive) Forrester W. (Injury) Mendes C. (Inactive) Morley A. (Injury) Osei-Tutu J. (Injury) Santos R. (Inactive) Sheehan J. (Injury) Toal E. (Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Stevenage: Smith K. (Injury)
There are questionable in Bolton: Johnston G. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Stevenage: Cooper M. (Inactive) Forster-Caskey J. (Injury) Freeman N. (Injury) Kemp D. (Inactive) Thompson L. (Injury)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Bolton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Stevenage Borough?

Bolton Wanderers has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Bolton Wanderers?

Stevenage Borough has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bolton Wanderers - Stevenage Borough were as follows:

29.10.2024 Stevenage Borough - Bolton Wanderers 1:4

29.03.2024 Stevenage Borough - Bolton Wanderers 0:0

03.10.2023 Bolton Wanderers - Stevenage Borough 3:2

Latest results of Bolton Wanderers

26.04.2025 Peterborough United - Bolton Wanderers 1:1 ✺

21.04.2025 Lincoln City - Bolton Wanderers 4:2 ✺

18.04.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Wycombe Wanderers 0:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Barnsley - Bolton Wanderers 4:1 ✺

08.04.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Rotherham United 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Stevenage Borough

27.04.2025 Stevenage Borough - Rotherham United 1:1 ✺

24.04.2025 Stevenage Borough - Birmingham City 0:1 ✺

21.04.2025 Bristol Rovers - Stevenage Borough 0:1 ✺

18.04.2025 Stevenage Borough - Blackpool 1:3 ✺

12.04.2025 Wycombe Wanderers - Stevenage Borough 1:0 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Luton	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
2	Stockport County	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Bolton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Reading	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Wigan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Barnsley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Blackpool	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Cardiff	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Plymouth	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Doncaster	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Huddersfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Leyton Orient	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Northampton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Port Vale	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Wycombe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Bradford City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Lincoln	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Mansfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Peterborough	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Rotherham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Burton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Exeter	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Stevenage	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	AFC Wimbledon	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two