Stevenage Borough vs Bolton Wanderers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Lamex Stadium (Stevenage).

League One - Round 16

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.04	0.20
Ball possession
33%	67%
Total shots
10	7
Shots on target
3	4
Big chances
2	0
Corner kicks
6	4
Passes
58% (119/205)	80% (343/427)
Yellow cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.04	0.20
xG on target (xGOT)
0.82	0.31
Total shots
10	7
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
1	2
Blocked shots
6	1
Shots inside the box
8	3
Shots outside the box
2	3
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
2	0
Corner kicks
6	4
Touches in opposition box
23	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	0
Free kicks
12	18
Passes
58% (119/205)	80% (343/427)
Long passes
22% (12/55)	33% (20/61)
Passes in final third
49% (48/97)	61% (67/109)
Crosses
20% (3/15)	22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.66	0.27
Throw ins
35	29
Fouls
18	12
Tackles
53% (9/17)	67% (6/9)
Duels won
48	64
Clearances
36	46
Interceptions
5	7
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	2
xGOT faced
0.31	0.82
Goals prevented
0.31	0.82

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Burstow M. ↓, McAtee J. ↑,
58', Simons X. ↓, Dempsey K. ↑,
68', Thompson L. ↓, Kemp D. ↑,
68', Lubala B. ↓, Campbell C. ↑,
73', Conway M. ↓, Gale T. ↑,
77', Reid J. ↓, Cornick H. ↑,
83', Johnston G. 🟨,
88', Cozier-Duberry A. ↓, Erhahon E. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Stevenage Borough
27.1%

Draw
29%

Bolton Wanderers
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

29.8%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

29.3%

38.3%

Stevenage Borough - Bolton Wanderers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (2.83)	3.22 ↑ (3.09)	2.16 ↓ (2.45)	6.6% (8.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Stevenage Borough - Bolton Wanderers?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Stevenage will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Bolton will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +0.25 - Stevenage (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Stevenage (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Stevenage Borough will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Stevenage (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Bolton (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 0.
Stevenage is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Bolton is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Stevenage may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Stevenage: Simpson T. (Inactive) Thompson L. (Inactive) Young J. (Inactive)
There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V. (Knee Injury) Erhahon E. (Inactive) Gale T. (Inactive) McAtee J. (Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.8:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Stevenage won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Bolton Wanderers?

Stevenage Borough has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Stevenage Borough?

Bolton Wanderers has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Stevenage Borough - Bolton Wanderers were as follows:

03.05.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Stevenage Borough 1:1

29.10.2024 Stevenage Borough - Bolton Wanderers 1:4

29.03.2024 Stevenage Borough - Bolton Wanderers 0:0

03.10.2023 Bolton Wanderers - Stevenage Borough 3:2

Latest results of Stevenage Borough

17.01.2026 Exeter City - Stevenage Borough 3:0 ✺

10.01.2026 Luton Town - Stevenage Borough 2:1 ✺

04.01.2026 Stevenage Borough - Leyton Orient Postponed ✺

01.01.2026 Stevenage Borough - Plymouth Argyle 1:1 ✺

29.12.2025 Cardiff City - Stevenage Borough 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Bolton Wanderers

17.01.2026 Wigan Athletic - Bolton Wanderers 0:1 ✺

13.01.2026 Bolton Wanderers - Port Vale 0:1 ✺

10.01.2026 Peterborough United - Bolton Wanderers 3:1 ✺

04.01.2026 Bolton Wanderers - Northampton Town 0:0 ✺

01.01.2026 Doncaster Rovers - Bolton Wanderers 1:1 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cardiff	30	19	6	5	55:29	26	63
2	Lincoln	30	18	7	5	52:30	22	61
3	Bolton	31	15	10	6	41:29	12	55
4	Stockport County	30	15	8	7	42:35	7	53
5	Huddersfield	31	14	7	10	53:42	11	49
6	Bradford City	29	14	7	8	37:33	4	49
7	Luton	30	13	6	11	40:35	5	45
8	Peterborough	31	14	2	15	45:41	4	44
9	Wycombe	30	11	10	9	40:31	9	43
10	Reading	30	11	10	9	43:39	4	43
11	Stevenage	29	11	9	9	31:30	1	42
12	Mansfield	29	10	9	10	37:32	5	39
13	Exeter	29	11	5	13	33:30	3	38
14	AFC Wimbledon	29	11	5	13	32:38	-6	38
15	Barnsley	27	10	7	10	44:46	-2	37
16	Plymouth	30	11	4	15	37:46	-9	37
17	Blackpool	30	9	6	15	37:44	-7	33
18	Leyton Orient	30	9	6	15	40:49	-9	33
19	Northampton	30	9	6	15	29:39	-10	33
20	Doncaster	30	9	6	15	33:50	-17	33
21	Burton	30	8	8	14	33:45	-12	32
22	Wigan	30	7	10	13	31:42	-11	31
23	Rotherham	29	8	7	14	31:43	-12	31
24	Port Vale	28	5	7	16	22:40	-18	22

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two