Bolton Wanderers vs Stevenage Borough – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Bolton Wanderers - Stevenage Borough
Result
1:1
03/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 46
  • Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.620.84
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
79% (404/514)69% (223/322)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.620.84
xG on target (xGOT)
1.571.91
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
108
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
1630
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
36
Free Kicks
1211
Passes
79% (404/514)69% (223/322)
Long passes
33% (20/60)36% (25/70)
Passes in final third
71% (95/134)59% (73/124)
Crosses
25% (2/8)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.880.86
Throw-ins
2120
Fouls
1112
Tackles
59% (13/22)64% (14/22)
Duels won
6359
Clearances
3616
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
1.911.57
Goals prevented
0.910.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 60', Jones G. , Dacres-Cogley J. ,
  • 60', Collins A. , Lawrence D. ,
  • 61', Appere L. , Young J. ,
  • 66', 1 - 0, Dacres-Cogley J. , Randall J. (A),
  • 72', McAtee J. , Abimbola D. ,
  • 76', 1 - 1, Young J. ,
  • 79', Reid J. , List E. ,
  • 80', White H. , King E. ,
  • 82', Piergianni C. 🟨,
  • 84', Randall J. , Lolos K. ,
  • 87', Piergianni C. , Bates E. ,

Chances of winning


Bolton Wanderers
45.6%
Draw
26.8%
Stevenage Borough
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.5% 24.9% 22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2% 24.6% 22.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bolton Wanderers's form might have worsened.
  • Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bolton Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stevenage Borough, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Bolton Wanderers - Stevenage Borough Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (1.79)
    3.53
    (3.77)
    3.42
    (4.16)
    5.9%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Bolton Wanderers - Stevenage Borough?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Bolton will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Stevenage (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 8 and 14).
    • Bolton has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Stevenage is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Bolton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Bolton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V. (Knee Injury) Etete K. (Inactive) Forrester W. (Injury) Mendes C. (Inactive) Morley A. (Injury) Osei-Tutu J. (Injury) Santos R. (Inactive) Sheehan J. (Injury) Toal E. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Stevenage: Smith K. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bolton: Johnston G. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Stevenage: Cooper M. (Inactive) Forster-Caskey J. (Injury) Freeman N. (Injury) Kemp D. (Inactive) Thompson L. (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bolton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bolton Wanderers - Stevenage Borough were as follows:
    29.10.2024 Stevenage Borough - Bolton Wanderers 1:4
    29.03.2024 Stevenage Borough - Bolton Wanderers 0:0
    03.10.2023 Bolton Wanderers - Stevenage Borough 3:2
    Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
    Latest results of Stevenage Borough
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stevenage44008:3512
    2Cardiff43106:1510
    3Barnsley43108:4410
    4Bradford City43106:3310
    5Huddersfield43019:369
    6Luton43015:239
    7Lincoln43016:429
    8Stockport County42117:527
    9Leyton Orient42115:507
    10Doncaster42114:407
    11Exeter42026:426
    12Mansfield42026:516
    13Wigan42025:416
    14AFC Wimbledon42024:316
    15Bolton41214:405
    16Burton31114:404
    17Rotherham31022:5-33
    18Blackpool41036:11-53
    19Port Vale40222:4-22
    20Wycombe40133:6-31
    21Reading40132:7-51
    22Northampton40131:6-51
    23Plymouth40043:9-60
    24Peterborough40041:7-60

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two