Result
1:1
03/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 46
- Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.84 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (404/514) | 69% (223/322) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (404/514) | 69% (223/322) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (20/60) | 36% (25/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (95/134) | 59% (73/124) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.86 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (13/22) | 64% (14/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.91 | 1.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 60', Jones G. ↓, Dacres-Cogley J. ↑,
- 60', Collins A. ↓, Lawrence D. ↑,
- 61', Appere L. ↓, Young J. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 0, Dacres-Cogley J. ⚽, Randall J. (A),
- 72', McAtee J. ↓, Abimbola D. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 1, Young J. ⚽,
- 79', Reid J. ↓, List E. ↑,
- 80', White H. ↓, King E. ↑,
- 82', Piergianni C. 🟨,
- 84', Randall J. ↓, Lolos K. ↑,
- 87', Piergianni C. ↓, Bates E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Bolton Wanderers
45.6% | Draw
26.8% | Stevenage Borough
27.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bolton Wanderers's form might have worsened.Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bolton Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stevenage Borough, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Bolton Wanderers - Stevenage Borough Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↑
(1.79) |
3.53 ↓
(3.77) |
3.42 ↓
(4.16) |
5.9%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bolton Wanderers - Stevenage Borough?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Bolton will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Stevenage (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 8 and 14).
- Bolton has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Stevenage is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Bolton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Bolton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V.
(Knee Injury)
Etete K.
(Inactive)
Forrester W.
(Injury)
Mendes C.
(Inactive)
Morley A.
(Injury)
Osei-Tutu J.
(Injury)
Santos R.
(Inactive)
Sheehan J.
(Injury)
Toal E.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Stevenage: Smith K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Bolton: Johnston G.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Stevenage: Cooper M.
(Inactive)
Forster-Caskey J.
(Injury)
Freeman N.
(Injury)
Kemp D.
(Inactive)
Thompson L.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bolton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Stevenage Borough?
Bolton Wanderers has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Bolton Wanderers?
Stevenage Borough has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bolton Wanderers - Stevenage Borough were as follows:
29.10.2024
Stevenage Borough
-
Bolton Wanderers
1:4
29.03.2024
Stevenage Borough
-
Bolton Wanderers
0:0
03.10.2023
Bolton Wanderers
-
Stevenage Borough
3:2
Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
Latest results of Stevenage Borough
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bradford City | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20:13 | 7 | 24 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 22 |
| 3 | Lincoln | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Cardiff | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:6 | 9 | 20 |
| 5 | Huddersfield | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | AFC Wimbledon | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | Luton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
| 8 | Stockport County | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:13 | 2 | 16 |
| 9 | Barnsley | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 16 |
| 10 | Doncaster | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | Bolton | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 14 |
| 12 | Mansfield | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 14 |
| 13 | Northampton | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | Wigan | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 12 |
| 15 | Plymouth | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:18 | -3 | 12 |
| 16 | Port Vale | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 11 |
| 17 | Leyton Orient | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 11 |
| 18 | Exeter | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 | Reading | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 9 |
| 20 | Wycombe | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:13 | -2 | 8 |
| 21 | Rotherham | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 |
| 22 | Blackpool | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 8 |
| 23 | Burton | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 8 |
| 24 | Peterborough | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7:18 | -11 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
