Erzgebirge Aue vs Borussia Dortmund II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 3 Bundesliga Erzgebirge Aue - Borussia Dortmund II
Result
2:1
20/04/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 3. Liga - Round 34
  • Referee: Oldhafer K. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
germanyGermanyDFB Play, Magenta Sport, tv.dfb.de
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 2
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
usaUsaESPN 3, ESPN App
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
54
Shots on target
52
Corner Kicks
32
Yellow Cards
43
Total shots
54
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
02
Corner Kicks
32
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
2117
Fouls
1315
Goalkeeper Saves
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Tashchy B. , Loune A. (A),
  • 29', 1 - 1, Besong P. , Hettwer J. (A),
  • 38', Barylla A. 🟨,
  • 43', Nkansah S. 🟨,
  • 43', Hettwer J. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Krevsun D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Krevsun D. , Jessen N. ,
  • 54', 2 - 1, Clausen M. , Sijaric O. (A),
  • 67', Sijaric O. , Seitz S. ,
  • 69', Azhil A. , Foti A. ,
  • 74', Fabisch J. 🟨,
  • 75', Besong P. , Lelle D. ,
  • 76', Barylla A. , Fallmann P. ,
  • 85', Kabar A. 🟨,
  • 85', Kabar A. , Gobel P. ,
  • 85', Watjen K. , Elongo-Yombo R. ,
  • 90', Rosenlocher L. , Hoffmann T. ,
  • 90+4', Seitz S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Erzgebirge Aue
37%
Draw
30.3%
Borussia Dortmund II
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 27.3% 31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5% 27.2% 31.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Borussia Dortmund II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund II than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Erzgebirge Aue - Borussia Dortmund II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.52
    (2.23)
    3.11
    (3.41)
    2.85
    (2.99)
    7%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue - Borussia Dortmund II?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Aue will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Aue (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 15 and 14).
    • Aue is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Borussia Dortmund II is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Borussia Dortmund II could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Aue: Bar M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Barylla A. (Stomach Disorder) Ozkan C. (Knee Injury) Rosenlocher L. (Stomach Disorder) Stefaniak M. (Yellow Cards) Vukancic N. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Borussia Dortmund II: Aning P. (Injury) Campbell C. (Injury) Irorere F. (Foot Injury) Paschke F. (Knee Injury) Paulina J. (Thigh Injury) Reitz T. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Borussia Dortmund II: Besong P. (Health problems) Jessen N. (Health problems)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Aue won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:8 (average 1.8:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Aue won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 2.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Erzgebirge Aue - Borussia Dortmund II were as follows:
    24.11.2024 Borussia Dortmund II - Erzgebirge Aue 3:1
    27.04.2024 Borussia Dortmund II - Erzgebirge Aue 2:2
    25.11.2023 Erzgebirge Aue - Borussia Dortmund II 2:0
    15.05.2023 Erzgebirge Aue - Borussia Dortmund II 3:3
    11.11.2022 Borussia Dortmund II - Erzgebirge Aue 0:1
    Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund II
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Duisburg1173123:121124
    2Cottbus1172226:151123
    3Saarbrucken1154221:16519
    4VfL Osnabruck1154215:10519
    5Verl1154223:19419
    6RW Essen1154222:19319
    7Stuttgart II1153315:15018
    8Hoffenheim II1152424:17717
    9Viktoria Koln1152416:11517
    10Mannheim1151520:18216
    11Wehen1144314:14016
    12Munich 18601143417:18-115
    13Ingolstadt1135320:15514
    14Hansa Rostock1135311:12-114
    15Ulm1141618:20-213
    16Regensburg1132611:17-611
    17Aue1132610:18-811
    18Alemannia Aachen1131717:21-410
    19TSV Havelse1104712:25-134
    20Schweinfurt1110107:30-233

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