Erzgebirge Aue vs Borussia Dortmund II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 3 Bundesliga Erzgebirge Aue - Borussia Dortmund II
Result
2:1
20/04/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 3. Liga - Round 34
  • Referee: Oldhafer K. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
germanyGermanyDFB Play, Magenta Sport, tv.dfb.de
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 2
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
usaUsaESPN 3, ESPN App
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
54
Shots on target
52
Corner Kicks
32
Yellow Cards
43
Total shots
54
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
02
Corner Kicks
32
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
2117
Fouls
1315
Goalkeeper Saves
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Tashchy B. , Loune A. (A),
  • 29', 1 - 1, Besong P. , Hettwer J. (A),
  • 38', Barylla A. 🟨,
  • 43', Nkansah S. 🟨,
  • 43', Hettwer J. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Krevsun D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Krevsun D. , Jessen N. ,
  • 54', 2 - 1, Clausen M. , Sijaric O. (A),
  • 67', Sijaric O. , Seitz S. ,
  • 69', Azhil A. , Foti A. ,
  • 74', Fabisch J. 🟨,
  • 75', Besong P. , Lelle D. ,
  • 76', Barylla A. , Fallmann P. ,
  • 85', Kabar A. 🟨,
  • 85', Kabar A. , Gobel P. ,
  • 85', Watjen K. , Elongo-Yombo R. ,
  • 90', Rosenlocher L. , Hoffmann T. ,
  • 90+4', Seitz S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Erzgebirge Aue
37%
Draw
30.3%
Borussia Dortmund II
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 27.3% 31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5% 27.2% 31.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Borussia Dortmund II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund II than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Erzgebirge Aue - Borussia Dortmund II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.52
    (2.23)
    3.11
    (3.41)
    2.85
    (2.99)
    7%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue - Borussia Dortmund II?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Aue will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Aue (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 15 and 14).
    • Aue is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Borussia Dortmund II is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Borussia Dortmund II could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Aue: Bar M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Barylla A. (Stomach Disorder) Ozkan C. (Knee Injury) Rosenlocher L. (Stomach Disorder) Stefaniak M. (Yellow Cards) Vukancic N. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Borussia Dortmund II: Aning P. (Injury) Campbell C. (Injury) Irorere F. (Foot Injury) Paschke F. (Knee Injury) Paulina J. (Thigh Injury) Reitz T. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Borussia Dortmund II: Besong P. (Health problems) Jessen N. (Health problems)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Aue won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:8 (average 1.8:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Aue won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 2.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Erzgebirge Aue - Borussia Dortmund II were as follows:
    24.11.2024 Borussia Dortmund II - Erzgebirge Aue 3:1
    27.04.2024 Borussia Dortmund II - Erzgebirge Aue 2:2
    25.11.2023 Erzgebirge Aue - Borussia Dortmund II 2:0
    15.05.2023 Erzgebirge Aue - Borussia Dortmund II 3:3
    11.11.2022 Borussia Dortmund II - Erzgebirge Aue 0:1
    Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund II
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1RW Essen10101:101
    2Munich 186010101:101
    3Verl00000:000
    4Regensburg00000:000
    5Stuttgart II00000:000
    6Ingolstadt00000:000
    7TSV Havelse00000:000
    8Cottbus00000:000
    9Hansa Rostock00000:000
    10Duisburg00000:000
    11Alemannia Aachen00000:000
    12Wehen00000:000
    13VfL Osnabruck00000:000
    14Aue00000:000
    15Mannheim00000:000
    16Ulm00000:000
    17Saarbrucken00000:000
    18Schweinfurt00000:000
    19Hoffenheim II00000:000
    20Viktoria Koln00000:000

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