Erzgebirge Aue vs Borussia Dortmund II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 3 Bundesliga Erzgebirge Aue - Borussia Dortmund II
Result
2:1
20/04/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 3. Liga - Round 34
  • Referee: Oldhafer K. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
germanyGermanyDFB Play, Magenta Sport, tv.dfb.de
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 2
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
usaUsaESPN 3, ESPN App
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
54
Shots on target
52
Corner Kicks
32
Yellow Cards
43
Total shots
54
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
02
Corner Kicks
32
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
2117
Fouls
1315
Goalkeeper Saves
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Tashchy B. , Loune A. (A),
  • 29', 1 - 1, Besong P. , Hettwer J. (A),
  • 38', Barylla A. 🟨,
  • 43', Nkansah S. 🟨,
  • 43', Hettwer J. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Krevsun D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Krevsun D. , Jessen N. ,
  • 54', 2 - 1, Clausen M. , Sijaric O. (A),
  • 67', Sijaric O. , Seitz S. ,
  • 69', Azhil A. , Foti A. ,
  • 74', Fabisch J. 🟨,
  • 75', Besong P. , Lelle D. ,
  • 76', Barylla A. , Fallmann P. ,
  • 85', Kabar A. 🟨,
  • 85', Kabar A. , Gobel P. ,
  • 85', Watjen K. , Elongo-Yombo R. ,
  • 90', Rosenlocher L. , Hoffmann T. ,
  • 90+4', Seitz S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Erzgebirge Aue
37%
Draw
30.3%
Borussia Dortmund II
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 27.3% 31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5% 27.2% 31.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Borussia Dortmund II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund II than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Erzgebirge Aue - Borussia Dortmund II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.52
    (2.23)
    3.11
    (3.41)
    2.85
    (2.99)
    7%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue - Borussia Dortmund II?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Aue will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Aue (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 15 and 14).
    • Aue is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Borussia Dortmund II is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Borussia Dortmund II could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Aue: Bar M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Barylla A. (Stomach Disorder) Ozkan C. (Knee Injury) Rosenlocher L. (Stomach Disorder) Stefaniak M. (Yellow Cards) Vukancic N. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Borussia Dortmund II: Aning P. (Injury) Campbell C. (Injury) Irorere F. (Foot Injury) Paschke F. (Knee Injury) Paulina J. (Thigh Injury) Reitz T. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Borussia Dortmund II: Besong P. (Health problems) Jessen N. (Health problems)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Aue won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:8 (average 1.8:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Aue won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 2.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Erzgebirge Aue - Borussia Dortmund II were as follows:
    24.11.2024 Borussia Dortmund II - Erzgebirge Aue 3:1
    27.04.2024 Borussia Dortmund II - Erzgebirge Aue 2:2
    25.11.2023 Erzgebirge Aue - Borussia Dortmund II 2:0
    15.05.2023 Erzgebirge Aue - Borussia Dortmund II 3:3
    11.11.2022 Borussia Dortmund II - Erzgebirge Aue 0:1
    Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund II
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Duisburg972020:71323
    2Saarbrucken953118:11718
    3Cottbus952221:12917
    4VfL Osnabruck944111:5616
    5RW Essen943219:17215
    6Hoffenheim II942319:14514
    7Viktoria Koln942312:9314
    8Mannheim941417:14313
    9Ulm941416:14213
    10Wehen934213:11213
    11Verl934217:16113
    12Munich 1860933314:16-212
    13Stuttgart II93339:14-512
    14Alemannia Aachen931515:17-210
    15Hansa Rostock92436:10-410
    16Aue93158:14-610
    17Ingolstadt915315:1418
    18Regensburg92168:15-77
    19TSV Havelse904510:19-94
    20Schweinfurt91086:25-193

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