St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga St. Pauli - Borussia Dortmund
Result
3:3
23/08/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 1
  • Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 3
angolaAngolaZ Sports 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiaMBC Action
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
belarusBelarusOkko Sport
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 2
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 4
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkSee, Viaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sport 3
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 4
mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandTVWan
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 1
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4, SportKlub 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Top Event
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.281.43
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
119
Shots on target
77
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
82% (396/482)86% (414/481)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.281.43
xG on target (xGOT)
1.742.58
Total shots
119
Shots on target
77
Shots off target
31
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
2618
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
43
Free Kicks
1213
Passes
82% (396/482)86% (414/481)
Long passes
43% (26/61)44% (19/43)
Passes in final third
70% (100/142)60% (49/82)
Crosses
21% (6/28)63% (5/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.881.81
Throw-ins
2317
Fouls
1312
Tackles
63% (12/19)63% (5/8)
Duels won
4240
Clearances
1445
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
2.581.74
Goals prevented
-0.42-1.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 22', Dzwigala A. 🟨,
  • 26', Bensebaini R. 🟨,
  • 34', 0 - 1, Guirassy S. , Sabitzer M. (A),
  • 37', Smith E. 🟨,
  • 39', Guirassy S. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)
  • 46', Adeyemi K. , Brandt J. ,
  • 46', Bellingham J. , Nmecha F. ,
  • 50', 1 - 1, Hountondji A. , Sinani D. (A),
  • 65', Couto Y. 🟨,
  • 67', 1 - 2, Anton W. , Nmecha F. (A),
  • 68', Hountondji A. , Ceesay A. ,
  • 74', 1 - 3, Brandt J. , Gross P. (A),
  • 77', Pyrka A. , Saliakas M. ,
  • 77', Dzwigala A. , Metcalfe C. ,
  • 85', Mane F. 🟥,
  • 86', 2 - 3, Sinani D. (Pen),
  • 87', Gross P. , Ozcan S. ,
  • 88', Sands J. , Afolayan O. ,
  • 89', 3 - 3, Smith E. , Saliakas M. (A),
  • 90+3', Sabitzer M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


St. Pauli
19.5%
Draw
25.7%
Borussia Dortmund
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21% 23.9% 55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4% 24.6% 56.7%

St. Pauli - Borussia Dortmund Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
5.23
(4.57)
3.88
(4.02)
1.78
(1.74)
1.1%
(4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for St. Pauli - Borussia Dortmund?
  • Users Predictions: Borussia Dortmund will win (55 of 65 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 75.85%93.39%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Borussia Dortmund will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 1.
    • St. Pauli is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Borussia D has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Borussia D is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in St. Pauli: Irvine J. (Foot Injury) Jones R.J. (Shoulder Injury) Mets K. (Knee Injury) Nemeth D. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Can E. (Groin Injury) Duranville J. (Shoulder Injury) Schlotterbeck N. (Knee Injury) Sule N. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Borussia D: Couto Y. (Knee Injury) Ryerson J. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 1:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St. Pauli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli - Borussia Dortmund were as follows:
    01.03.2025 St. Pauli - Borussia Dortmund 0:2
    18.10.2024 Borussia Dortmund - St. Pauli 2:1
    Latest results of St. Pauli
    09.08.2025 St. Pauli - Verona 1:0
    02.08.2025 Coventry City - St. Pauli 2:2
    26.07.2025 St. Pauli - Nice 2:0
    20.07.2025 St. Pauli - Karlsruher 6:1
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich1091035:62928
    2RB Leipzig1071220:13722
    3Dortmund1063116:7921
    4Stuttgart1070317:12521
    5Bayer Leverkusen1062224:141020
    6Hoffenheim1061321:16519
    7Eintracht Frankfurt1052323:19417
    8Werder Bremen1043315:18-315
    9FC Koln1042417:15214
    10Freiburg1034313:14-113
    11Union Berlin1033413:17-412
    12B. Monchengladbach1023513:19-69
    13Hamburger SV102359:16-79
    14Wolfsburg1022612:18-68
    15Augsburg1021714:24-107
    16St. Pauli102179:20-117
    17Mainz1012710:18-85
    18Heidenheim101278:23-155

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga