Result
3:3
23/08/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 1
- Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Africa | Azam Sports 2, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP |
Albania | Tring Sport 3 |
Angola | Z Sports 1 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Asia | MBC Action |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1 |
Belarus | Okko Sport |
Belgium | Play Sports 2 |
Brazil | Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
Denmark | See, Viaplay |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free |
Georgia | Setanta Sport 3 |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW |
Greece | Nova Sports 3 |
Hong-kong | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player |
Hungary | Match 4 |
Iceland | SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay |
India | JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+ |
Indonesia | K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel |
Ireland | NOW |
Israel | Sport 3 |
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
Maldives | Medianet |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 5 |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Mongolia | Premier Sports 4 |
Mozambique | Startimes Mania |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | TVWan |
North-central-america | RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
Portugal | DAZN 3, DAZN / App |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5 |
Saudi-arabia | Shahid |
Serbia | Arena Premium 4, SportKlub 4 |
Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Top Event |
Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Turkey | beIN Connect, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1 |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+ |
United-kingdom | NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | TV 360 |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.28 | 1.43 |
Ball Possession |
---|
51% | 49% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
82% (396/482) | 86% (414/481) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.28 | 1.43 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.74 | 2.58 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
26 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 2 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
82% (396/482) | 86% (414/481) |
Long passes |
---|
43% (26/61) | 44% (19/43) |
Passes in final third |
---|
70% (100/142) | 60% (49/82) |
Crosses |
---|
21% (6/28) | 63% (5/8) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.88 | 1.81 |
Throw-ins |
---|
23 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
63% (12/19) | 63% (5/8) |
Duels won |
---|
42 | 40 |
Clearances |
---|
14 | 45 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.58 | 1.74 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.42 | -1.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', Dzwigala A. 🟨,
- 26', Bensebaini R. 🟨,
- 34', 0 - 1, Guirassy S. ⚽, Sabitzer M. (A),
- 37', Smith E. 🟨,
- 39', Guirassy S. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 46', Adeyemi K. ↓, Brandt J. ↑,
- 46', Bellingham J. ↓, Nmecha F. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 1, Hountondji A. ⚽, Sinani D. (A),
- 65', Couto Y. 🟨,
- 67', 1 - 2, Anton W. ⚽, Nmecha F. (A),
- 68', Hountondji A. ↓, Ceesay A. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 3, Brandt J. ⚽, Gross P. (A),
- 77', Pyrka A. ↓, Saliakas M. ↑,
- 77', Dzwigala A. ↓, Metcalfe C. ↑,
- 85', Mane F. 🟥,
- 86', 2 - 3, Sinani D. (Pen),
- 87', Gross P. ↓, Ozcan S. ↑,
- 88', Sands J. ↓, Afolayan O. ↑,
- 89', 3 - 3, Smith E. ⚽, Saliakas M. (A),
- 90+3', Sabitzer M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
St. Pauli 19.5% | Draw 25.7% | Borussia Dortmund 54.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
St. Pauli - Borussia Dortmund Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.23 ↑ (4.57) |
3.88 ↓ (4.02) |
1.78 ↑ (1.74) |
1.1% (4.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for St. Pauli - Borussia Dortmund?
Users Predictions:
Borussia Dortmund will win
(55 of 65 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.85% – 93.39%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Borussia Dortmund will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 1.
- St. Pauli is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Borussia D has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Borussia D is the team to beat.
- There will not play in St. Pauli: Irvine J.
(Foot Injury)
Jones R.J.
(Shoulder Injury)
Mets K.
(Knee Injury)
Nemeth D.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Borussia D: Can E.
(Groin Injury)
Duranville J.
(Shoulder Injury)
Schlotterbeck N.
(Knee Injury)
Sule N.
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Borussia D: Couto Y.
(Knee Injury)
Ryerson J.
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 1:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, St. Pauli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).
How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Borussia Dortmund?
St. Pauli has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Borussia Dortmund won against St. Pauli?
Borussia Dortmund has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli - Borussia Dortmund were as follows:
01.03.2025
St. Pauli
-
Borussia Dortmund
0:2
18.10.2024
Borussia Dortmund
-
St. Pauli
2:1
Latest results of St. Pauli
Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Bayern Munich | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 22:3 | 19 | 15 |
2 | Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 13 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 12 |
4 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 9 |
5 | Stuttgart | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 8 |
7 | FC Koln | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 7 |
8 | Freiburg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 |
9 | St. Pauli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
10 | Hoffenheim | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
11 | Union Berlin | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 5 |
13 | Hamburger SV | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:8 | -6 | 5 |
14 | Mainz | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
15 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:14 | -6 | 4 |
16 | Augsburg | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 3 |
17 | Heidenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:10 | -6 | 3 |
18 | B. Monchengladbach | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga