Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
17/01/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 18
  • Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, Startimes World Football
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 2
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT, SportyNet
bulgariaBulgariaPlay Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 7
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3, M Plus Live
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandViaplay
israelIsraelSport 1
italyItalySky Sport Max
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 5
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 2
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport PPV 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
3.090.55
Ball possession
63%37%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
65
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
55
Passes
86% (559/648)74% (268/364)
Yellow cards
31
Expected goals (xG)
3.090.55
xG on target (xGOT)
3.951.10
Total shots
109
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
31
Blocked shots
13
Shots inside the box
77
Shots outside the box
32
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
01
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2314
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free kicks
119
Passes
86% (559/648)74% (268/364)
Long passes
58% (34/59)39% (26/66)
Passes in final third
74% (126/171)55% (51/93)
Crosses
25% (4/16)33% (6/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.150.58
Throw ins
2018
Fouls
911
Tackles
70% (7/10)57% (12/21)
Duels won
5051
Clearances
2025
Interceptions
813
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
32
xGOT faced
1.103.95
Goals prevented
-0.900.95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', Schlotterbeck N. 🟨,
  • 38', Smith E. 🟨,
  • 43', Adeyemi K. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Brandt J. , Adeyemi K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 54', 2 - 0, Adeyemi K. , Silva F. (A),
  • 62', 2 - 1, Sands J. , Smith E. (A),
  • 64', Dzwigala A. , Ando T. ,
  • 64', Ritzka L. , Oppie L. ,
  • 64', Kaars M. , Jones R.J. ,
  • 69', Bellingham J. 🟨,
  • 71', Adeyemi K. , Beier M. ,
  • 71', Silva F. , Guirassy S. ,
  • 71', Ryerson J. , Couto Y. ,
  • 72', 2 - 2, Jones R.J. , Smith E. (A),
  • 83', Nmecha F. , Ozcan S. ,
  • 83', Brandt J. , Chukwuemeka C. ,
  • 90+5', 3 - 2, Can E. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Borussia Dortmund
74%
Draw
17.7%
St. Pauli
8.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70% 19.5% 10.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.1% 18.9% 10.3%

Borussia Dortmund - St. Pauli Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.29
(1.36)
5.42
(4.89)
11.41
(9.01)
4.8%
(5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund - St. Pauli?
  • Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 28 - 82.4%). St. Pauli will win (votes: 4 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 69.6%95.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 6 - 66.7%). St. Pauli (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1.5 - Borussia D (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Borussia D (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 8 - 72.7%). St. Pauli (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 3.
    • Borussia D is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • St. Pauli has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Borussia D may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Borussia D is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in St. Pauli: Hountondji A. (Ankle Injury) Irvine J. (Foot Injury) Nemeth D. (Groin Injury) Sinani D. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Borussia D: Anselmino A. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in St. Pauli: Metcalfe C. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:9. (average 2.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Borussia D won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Borussia Dortmund - St. Pauli were as follows:
    23.08.2025 St. Pauli - Borussia Dortmund 3:3
    01.03.2025 St. Pauli - Borussia Dortmund 0:2
    18.10.2024 Borussia Dortmund - St. Pauli 2:1
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    Latest results of St. Pauli
    14.01.2026 Wolfsburg - St. Pauli 2:1
    04.01.2026 St. Pauli - Werder Bremen 0:0
    21.12.2025 Mainz - St. Pauli 0:0
    13.12.2025 St. Pauli - Heidenheim 2:1
    06.12.2025 Köln - St. Pauli 1:1
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich21173179:196054
    2Dortmund21146143:202348
    3Hoffenheim21133544:281642
    4RB Leipzig21123640:281239
    5Stuttgart21123638:281039
    6Bayer Leverkusen20113639:271236
    7Freiburg2186732:33-130
    8Eintracht Frankfurt2177741:46-528
    9Union Berlin2167826:34-825
    10FC Koln21651030:34-423
    11Hamburger SV2057821:29-822
    12B. Monchengladbach2157925:34-922
    13Augsburg21641124:39-1522
    14Mainz21561025:33-821
    15Wolfsburg21541229:44-1519
    16Werder Bremen21471022:39-1719
    17St. Pauli21451220:35-1517
    18Heidenheim21341419:47-2813

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga