St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/03/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Millerntor-Stadion (Hamburg).

GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 24
Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, New World Sport App, StarTimes App
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Idman TV
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Sportklub 6
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Canais Globo, Caze TV, Claro TV+, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 6
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Free
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4, Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5, Vision+
Indonesia	iNews, K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	SKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 5
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1, SuperSport 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	Sky Sport
Mongolia	Premier Sports 5
Montenegro	Sportklub 6
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Flow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 6
Norway	Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Eleven Sports 2, Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	SportKlub 6
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Sport TV2, Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, PPTV Sports
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.43	1.92
Ball Possession
43%	57%
Goal Attempts
7	14
Shots on Goal
1	3
Shots off Goal
3	6
Blocked Shots
3	5
Big Chances
0	4
Corner Kicks
7	1
Shots inside the Box
5	12
Shots outside the Box
2	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	1
Free Kicks
13	11
Offsides
5	2
Fouls
11	13
Yellow Cards
1	2
Throw-ins
21	28
Touches in the Opposition Box
13	29
Passes
79% (322/406)	84% (463/548)
Passes in the final third
68% (75/111)	69% (66/96)
Crosses
11% (2/19)	0% (0/9)
Tackles
53% (8/15)	62% (13/21)
Clearances Total
20	40
Interceptions
5	8

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Schlotterbeck N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', 0 - 1, Guirassy S. ⚽,
57', Saad E. ↓, Afolayan O. ↑,
58', 0 - 2, Adeyemi K. ⚽, Beier M. (A),
73', Eggestein J. ↓, Ceesay A. ↑,
74', Bensebaini R. ↓, Svensson D. ↑,
74', Reyna G. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
79', Ceesay A. 🟨,
82', Adeyemi K. 🟨,
83', Adeyemi K. ↓, Gittens J. ↑,
83', Ritzka L. ↓, Saliakas M. ↑,
83', Weisshaupt N. ↓, Sinani D. ↑,
89', Beier M. ↓, Brandt J. ↑,
89', Guirassy S. ↓, Ozcan S. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

St. Pauli
22.3%

Draw
26%

Borussia Dortmund
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

26.7%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

27.7%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

St. Pauli - Borussia Dortmund Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.3 ↑ (3.62)	3.68 ↑ (3.6)	1.85 ↓ (2.05)	4.5% (4.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for St. Pauli - Borussia Dortmund?

Users Predictions: 63 users predict this event. St. Pauli will win (votes: 8 - 12.7%). Borussia D will win (votes: 50 - 79.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 7.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 69.4% – 89.4%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 10).
St. Pauli is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Borussia D is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Borussia D could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Borussia D is a favorite.
There will not play in St. Pauli: Burchert S. (Groin Injury) Guilavogui M. (Ankle Injury) Metcalfe C. (Leg Injury) Saliakas M. (Thigh Injury) Sands J. (Broken Leg) Zoller S. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Borussia D: Nmecha F. (Knee Injury) Ryerson J. (Illness)
There are questionable in St. Pauli: Ahlers S. (Knee Injury) Mets K. (Knee Injury) Wagner R. (Thigh Injury)
Last 5 head-to-head matches St. Pauli won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:11 (average 1.2:2.2).
Including matches at home between the teams St. Pauli won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:6 (average 1:2).

How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Borussia Dortmund?

St. Pauli has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Borussia Dortmund won against St. Pauli?

Borussia Dortmund has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli - Borussia Dortmund were as follows:

18.10.2024 Borussia Dortmund - St. Pauli 2:1

Latest results of St. Pauli

22.02.2025 Mainz - St. Pauli 2:0 ✺

15.02.2025 St. Pauli - Freiburg 0:1 ✺

09.02.2025 RB Leipzig - St. Pauli 2:0 ✺

01.02.2025 St. Pauli - Augsburg 1:1 ✺

26.01.2025 St. Pauli - Union Berlin 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Borussia Dortmund

22.02.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Union Berlin 6:0 ✺

19.02.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Sporting Lisbon 0:0 ✺

15.02.2025 Bochum - Borussia Dortmund 2:0 ✺

11.02.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Borussia Dortmund 0:3 ✺

08.02.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Stuttgart 1:2 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Union Berlin	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Bayern Munich	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Bayer Leverkusen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Werder Bremen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Hamburger SV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Wolfsburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Dortmund	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	B. Monchengladbach	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Hoffenheim	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	FC Koln	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Mainz	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	St. Pauli	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Augsburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Stuttgart	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Heidenheim	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	RB Leipzig	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga