St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Football German Bundesliga St. Pauli - Borussia Dortmund
23/08/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 1
  • Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 3
angolaAngolaZ Sports 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiaMBC Action
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
belarusBelarusOkko Sport
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 2
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 4
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkSee, Viaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sport 3
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 4
mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandTVWan
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 1
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4, SportKlub 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Top Event
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Chances of winning


St. Pauli
23.9%		Draw
25.5%		Borussia Dortmund
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21% 23.9% 55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4% 24.6% 56.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Pauli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Borussia Dortmund could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    St. Pauli - Borussia Dortmund Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.07 ↓
    (4.57)    		 3.77 ↓
    (4.02)    		 1.88 ↑
    (1.74)    		 4.2%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for St. Pauli - Borussia Dortmund?
  • Users Predictions: Borussia Dortmund will win (39 of 47 users predict this - 82.98%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.24% – 93.72%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Borussia Dortmund will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 1.
    • St. Pauli is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Borussia D has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Borussia D is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in St. Pauli: Irvine J. (Foot Injury) Jones R.J. (Shoulder Injury) Mets K. (Knee Injury) Nemeth D. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Can E. (Groin Injury) Duranville J. (Shoulder Injury) Schlotterbeck N. (Knee Injury) Sule N. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Borussia D: Couto Y. (Knee Injury) Ryerson J. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 1:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St. Pauli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli - Borussia Dortmund were as follows:
    01.03.2025 St. Pauli - Borussia Dortmund 0:2
    18.10.2024 Borussia Dortmund - St. Pauli 2:1
    Latest results of St. Pauli
    16.08.2025 Eintracht Norderstedt - St. Pauli 0:1 ✺
    09.08.2025 St. Pauli - Verona 1:0
    02.08.2025 Coventry City - St. Pauli 2:2
    26.07.2025 St. Pauli - Nice 2:0
    20.07.2025 St. Pauli - Karlsruher 6:1
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    18.08.2025 Rot-Weiß Essen - Borussia Dortmund 0:1 ✺
    10.08.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Juventus 1:2 ✺
    02.08.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Lille 3:2
    30.07.2025 Siegen - Borussia Dortmund 1:8 ✺
    05.07.2025 Real Madrid - Borussia Dortmund 3:2 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich11006:063
    2Union Berlin00000:000
    3Eintracht Frankfurt00000:000
    4Bayer Leverkusen00000:000
    5Werder Bremen00000:000
    6Hamburger SV00000:000
    7Wolfsburg00000:000
    8Dortmund00000:000
    9B. Monchengladbach00000:000
    10Hoffenheim00000:000
    11FC Koln00000:000
    12Mainz00000:000
    13Freiburg00000:000
    14St. Pauli00000:000
    15Augsburg00000:000
    16Stuttgart00000:000
    17Heidenheim00000:000
    18RB Leipzig10010:6-60

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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