Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
13/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 17
  • Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalySky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Max
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Sky Sports+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.160.38
Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
186
Shots on target
83
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
33
Passes
85% (390/458)84% (465/552)
Yellow cards
20
Expected goals (xG)
2.160.38
xG on target (xGOT)
2.510.29
Total shots
186
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
52
Blocked shots
51
Shots inside the box
143
Shots outside the box
43
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
237
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free kicks
814
Passes
85% (390/458)84% (465/552)
Long passes
47% (16/34)42% (29/69)
Passes in final third
68% (80/118)54% (44/81)
Crosses
22% (2/9)10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.220.36
Throw ins
1818
Fouls
148
Tackles
74% (14/19)50% (6/12)
Duels won
3941
Clearances
1216
Interceptions
1114
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
34
xGOT faced
0.292.51
Goals prevented
0.29-0.49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Schlotterbeck N. , Ryerson J. (A),
  • 23', Sule N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Sule N. , Can E. ,
  • 54', Sabitzer M. 🟨,
  • 67', Beier M. , Guirassy S. ,
  • 67', Ryerson J. , Svensson D. ,
  • 67', Chukwuemeka C. , Bellingham J. ,
  • 69', Grull M. , Milosevic J. ,
  • 76', 2 - 0, Sabitzer M. , Nmecha F. (A),
  • 81', Njinmah J. , Mbangula S. ,
  • 81', Schmid R. , Puertas C. ,
  • 81', Schmidt I. , Deman O. ,
  • 83', 3 - 0, Guirassy S. ,
  • 84', Silva F. , Adeyemi K. ,

Chances of winning


Borussia Dortmund
67.3%
Draw
18.9%
Werder Bremen
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.4% 17.9% 12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.2% 17% 12%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Borussia Dortmund, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Borussia Dortmund - Werder Bremen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.36)
    5.06
    (5.26)
    6.93
    (7.42)
    4.9%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund - Werder Bremen?
  • Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 50 - 89.3%). Werder will win (votes: 4 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 3.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 81.2%97.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 - Borussia D (2.10) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 50%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Borussia D (1.84) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Borussia D (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Borussia Dortmund will win (21 of 21 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 26 high ROI users predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 26 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 3.
    • Borussia D is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Werder's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Werder may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Borussia D is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Anselmino A. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Werder: Agu F. (Ankle Injury) Boniface V. (Knee Injury) Stark N. (Lacking Match Fitness) Weiser M. (Knee Injury) Wober M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Borussia D: Bensebaini R. (Rest)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 42:30. (average 2.1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Borussia D won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 2.4:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Borussia Dortmund - Werder Bremen were as follows:
    25.01.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Werder Bremen 2:2
    31.08.2024 Werder Bremen - Borussia Dortmund 0:0
    09.03.2024 Werder Bremen - Borussia Dortmund 1:2
    20.10.2023 Borussia Dortmund - Werder Bremen 1:0
    11.02.2023 Werder Bremen - Borussia Dortmund 0:2
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    Latest results of Werder Bremen
    04.01.2026 St. Pauli - Werder Bremen 0:0
    20.12.2025 Augsburg - Werder Bremen 0:0
    14.12.2025 Werder Bremen - Stuttgart 0:4
    29.11.2025 Werder Bremen - Köln 1:1
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich24203188:236563
    2Dortmund24157251:252652
    3Hoffenheim24144649:311846
    4Stuttgart24144648:321646
    5RB Leipzig24135646:331344
    6Bayer Leverkusen23124744:291540
    7Eintracht Frankfurt2497848:49-134
    8Freiburg2496934:39-533
    9Augsburg24941130:41-1131
    10Union Berlin24771029:38-928
    11Hamburger SV2368926:34-826
    12B. Monchengladbach24671127:39-1225
    13FC Koln24661233:41-824
    14Mainz24581127:39-1223
    15St. Pauli24651323:40-1723
    16Werder Bremen24571225:44-1922
    17Wolfsburg24551433:53-2020
    18Heidenheim24351622:53-3114

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga