Result
2:2
12/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 11
- Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 1.05 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (409/473) | 77% (237/309) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 1.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 1.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (409/473) | 77% (237/309) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (35/60) | 30% (15/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (133/169) | 69% (66/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (11/39) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.33 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 79% (15/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.92 | -0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 33', 0 - 1, Breno Lopes ⚽, Josue (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Rodriguez S. ↓, Villalba Jaume L. M. ↑,
- 46', Montoro A. ↓, Edenilson ↑,
- 49', Hernandez J. ↓, Caio Roque ↑,
- 55', 1 - 1, Danilo ⚽, Vitinho (A),
- 60', Vini Paulista ↓, Wallisson ↑,
- 65', Barrera J. ↓, Matheus Martins ↑,
- 70', Breno Lopes ↓, Lavega J. ↑,
- 70', Maicon ↓, Tiago Coser ↑,
- 70', Wallisson 🟨,
- 71', Vitinho 🟨,
- 76', Vitinho ↓, Ramos C. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 1, Arthur Cabral ⚽, Edenilson (A),
- 79', Bruno Melo ↓, Felipe Jonatan ↑,
- 79', Pedro Rocha ↓, Renato Marques ↑,
- 79', 2 - 2, Lavega J. ⚽,
- 82', Gomez S. ↓, Thiago Santos ↑,
- 85', Pedro Rangel 🟨,
- 89', Thiago Santos 🟨,
- 89', Barboza A. 🟨,
- 90+9', Jacy 🟨,
Chances of winning
Botafogo RJ
50.7% | Draw
28% | Coritiba
21.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Botafogo RJ - Coritiba Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↑
(1.81) |
3.38 ↑
(3.32) |
4.46 ↑
(4.41) |
5.5%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Botafogo RJ - Coritiba?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Botafogo will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Coritiba will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Botafogo: 9.6% – 70.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Botafogo (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 15 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 3.
- Botafogo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Coritiba has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Botafogo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Botafogo is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Botafogo: Correa J.
(Inactive)
Kaio Pantaleao
(Knee Injury)
Marcal
(Inactive)
Ramos C.
(Knock)
- There will not play in Coritiba: Benassi
(Toe Injury)
Keno
(Inactive)
Pedro Morisco
(Shoulder Injury)
Rodrigo Rodrigues
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Botafogo: Vitinho
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Coritiba: Jacy
(Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:15. (average 1.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:4. (average 1.8:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against Coritiba?
Botafogo RJ has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Coritiba won against Botafogo RJ?
Coritiba has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo RJ - Coritiba were as follows:
29.11.2023
Coritiba
-
Botafogo RJ
1:1
30.07.2023
Botafogo RJ
-
Coritiba
4:1
17.09.2022
Botafogo RJ
-
Coritiba
2:0
Latest results of Botafogo RJ
Latest results of Coritiba
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 24:11 | 13 | 33 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 26:12 | 14 | 27 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 23:18 | 5 | 26 |
| 4 | Sao Paulo | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 23 |
| 6 | Bahia | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19:16 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 20 |
| 8 | Coritiba | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 19 |
| 9 | Vitoria | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 18 |
| 10 | Botafogo RJ | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 25:26 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 17 |
| 12 | Internacional | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:14 | 0 | 17 |
| 13 | Vasco | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20:21 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Cruzeiro | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Santos | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19:22 | -3 | 15 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 15 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 12 |
| 19 | Remo | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:24 | -9 | 11 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13:26 | -13 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
