Result
1:1
04/04/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Caze TV, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.39 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (207/262) | 91% (500/552) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (207/262) | 91% (500/552) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (14/30) | 66% (31/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (59/84) | 86% (105/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 23% (6/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.64 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.41 | -0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Fernando Seabra 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', Felipe Jonatan ↓, Breno Lopes ↑,
- 57', Jacy ↓, Tiago Coser ↑,
- 57', Joao Pedro Chermont ↓, Tinga ↑,
- 64', Martinelli ↓, Otavio ↑,
- 71', Hercules ↓, Alisson ↑,
- 71', PH Ganso ↓, Savarino J. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 0, Tiago Coser ⚽, Josue (A),
- 77', Lucas Ronier ↓, Wallisson ↑,
- 79', Castillo R. ↓, John Kennedy ↑,
- 79', Serna K. ↓, Cano G. ↑,
- 81', Gomez S. 🟨,
- 81', 1 - 1, John Kennedy ⚽,
- 83', Gomez S. ↓, Fabinho ↑,
Chances of winning
Coritiba
30.2% | Draw
32% | Fluminense
37.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Coritiba - Fluminense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.13 ↓
(3.17) |
2.96 ↓
(3.04) |
2.53 ↑
(2.34) |
5.2%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Coritiba - Fluminense?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Coritiba (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.25 - Coritiba (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Coritiba (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Coritiba (2.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Coritiba (3.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Coritiba (3.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Coritiba (5.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Coritiba will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Coritiba (votes: 7 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 2.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Fluminense might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Coritiba: Lavega J.
(Yellow Cards)
Pedro Morisco
(Shoulder Injury)
Rodrigo Rodrigues
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Fluminense: Acosta L.
(Yellow Cards)
Bernal F.
(Knee Injury)
Matheus Reis
(Inactive)
Nonato
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Coritiba: Benassi
(Toe Injury)
- There are questionable in Fluminense: Canobbio A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:31. (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Coritiba won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.6:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Coritiba won against Fluminense?
Coritiba has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Coritiba?
Fluminense has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Coritiba - Fluminense were as follows:
25.11.2023
Fluminense
-
Coritiba
2:1
24.07.2023
Coritiba
-
Fluminense
2:0
Latest results of Coritiba
Latest results of Fluminense
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 24:11 | 13 | 33 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 26:12 | 14 | 27 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 23:18 | 5 | 26 |
| 4 | Sao Paulo | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 23 |
| 6 | Bahia | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19:16 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 20 |
| 8 | Coritiba | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 19 |
| 9 | Vitoria | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 18 |
| 10 | Botafogo RJ | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 25:26 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 17 |
| 12 | Internacional | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:14 | 0 | 17 |
| 13 | Vasco | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20:21 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Cruzeiro | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Santos | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19:22 | -3 | 15 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 15 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 12 |
| 19 | Remo | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:24 | -9 | 11 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13:26 | -13 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
