América Mineiro vs Botafogo SP: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie B América Mineiro - Botafogo SP
Result
1:0
05/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B - Round 1
  • Referee: Lima Barbosa M. (Bra)
América Mineiro - Botafogo SP - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.770.73
Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
28
Passes
89% (506/571)76% (173/228)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.770.73
xG on target (xGOT)
1.250.14
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
108
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
28
Touches in opposition box
2821
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
87
Passes
89% (506/571)76% (173/228)
Long passes
63% (26/41)43% (21/49)
Passes in final third
81% (146/181)67% (57/85)
Crosses
57% (8/14)27% (6/22)
Expected assists (xA)
2.180.68
Fouls
78
Tackles
64% (7/11)79% (11/14)
Duels won
3536
Clearances Total
2419
Interceptions
613
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.141.25
Goals prevented
0.140.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Alisson Cassiano 🟨,
  • 41', Felipe Amaral 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Felipe Amaral , Cauan Barros ,
  • 58', Rafael Milhorim 🟨,
  • 64', Elizari F. , Miguelito ,
  • 66', Jefferson Nem , Matheus Regis ,
  • 75', Jonathan Cafu , Willian Gabriel ,
  • 75', Maciel L. , Dramisino A. ,
  • 80', Miqueias , Yago Santos ,
  • 82', 1 - 0, Cauan Barros , Figueiredo (A),
  • 86', Wesley Dias , Abdulai S. ,
  • 87', Alisson Cassiano , Douglas Baggio ,
  • 90+3', Willian Bigode , Stenio ,
  • 90+3', Figueiredo , Julio Cesar ,

Chances of winning


América Mineiro
56.4%
Draw
26%
Botafogo SP
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.6% 28% 20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 27.5% 20%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • América Mineiro - Botafogo SP Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.81)
    3.58
    (3.33)
    5.28
    (4.57)
    7.5%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for América Mineiro - Botafogo SP?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - América MG (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: América Mineiro will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches América MG won 2.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • In this match América MG is a favorite.
    • There will not play in América MG: Gustavinho (Injury)
    • There will not play in Botafogo SP: Matheus Barbosa (Injury) Matheus Costa (Injury) Robinho (Injury)
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches América MG won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1.2:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams América MG won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between América Mineiro - Botafogo SP were as follows:
    09.08.2024 América Mineiro - Botafogo SP 3:1
    19.04.2024 Botafogo SP - América Mineiro 1:1
    Latest results of América Mineiro
    Latest results of Botafogo SP
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias1492318:11729
    2Coritiba1483313:6727
    3Novorizontino1475218:10826
    4Avai1465319:13623
    5Remo1465317:13423
    6CRB1463514:12221
    7Cuiaba1463515:16-121
    8America MG1462616:16020
    9Athletico-PR1462618:19-120
    10Chapecoense-SC1461717:14319
    11Vila Nova FC1461711:14-319
    12Atletico GO1446414:13118
    13Ferroviaria1446414:14018
    14Operario-PR1452716:17-117
    15Criciuma1444616:15116
    16Botafogo SP1444612:17-516
    17Volta Redonda143567:12-514
    18Amazonas1435612:19-714
    19Paysandu PA143479:15-613
    20Athletic Club14401013:23-1012

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of América Mineiro - Botafogo SP?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
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