Result
2:1
02/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (270/327) | 80% (249/311) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 1.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (270/327) | 80% (249/311) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (24/48) | 49% (28/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (45/72) | 66% (68/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.63 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.24 | 1.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.24 | -0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', Ericson 🟨,
- 20', 1 - 0, Leo Gamalho ⚽, Jonathan Cafu (A),
- 35', 1 - 1, Miguelito ⚽, Stenio (A),
- 45', Ericson ↓, Alisson Cassiano ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Willian Bigode 🟨,
- 66', Willian Bigode (Pen),
- 68', Elizari F. 🟨,
- 71', 2 - 1, Leo Gamalho (Pen),
- 75', Stenio ↓, Arthur Sousa ↑,
- 75', Willian Bigode ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
- 78', Wesley Dias 🟨,
- 80', Jonathan Cafu ↓, Marquinho ↑,
- 80', Jean Victor ↓, Risso G. ↑,
- 88', Figueiredo ↓, Labandeira F. ↑,
- 88', Elizari F. ↓, David Lopes ↑,
- 89', Miguelito ↓, Heber ↑,
- 90+1', Dramisino A. ↓, Edson ↑,
- 90+1', Leo Gamalho ↓, Wallison ↑,
- 90+4', Paulinho 🟨,
- 90+5', Kaua Diniz 🟨,
- 90+7', Risso G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Botafogo SP
31.6% | Draw
31% | América Mineiro
37.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Botafogo SP's form might have worsened.América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Botafogo SP, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-4%)
Botafogo SP - América Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.92 ↑
(2.55) |
2.99 ↓
(3.16) |
2.51 ↓
(2.78) |
7.6%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Botafogo SP - América Mineiro?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Botafogo SP will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). América MG will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 0.
- Botafogo SP has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- América MG is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in América MG: Ale
(Knee Injury)
Fabinho
(Inactive)
Renato Marques
(Inactive)
Ricardo Silva
(Injury)
Samuel
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Botafogo SP: Gustavo Bochecha
(Inactive)
Leo Gamalho
(Injury)
- There are questionable in América MG: Guilherme Pato
(Injury)
Marlon
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo SP won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo SP won against América Mineiro?
Botafogo SP has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has América Mineiro won against Botafogo SP?
América Mineiro has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo SP - América Mineiro were as follows:
05.04.2025
América Mineiro
-
Botafogo SP
1:0
09.08.2024
América Mineiro
-
Botafogo SP
3:1
19.04.2024
Botafogo SP
-
América Mineiro
1:1
Latest results of Botafogo SP
Latest results of América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Criciuma | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 36:21 | 15 | 49 |
| 2 | Goias | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 34:26 | 8 | 49 |
| 3 | Coritiba | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 28:19 | 9 | 47 |
| 4 | Novorizontino | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 31:25 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:36 | 6 | 45 |
| 6 | Cuiaba | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 42 |
| 7 | Chapecoense-SC | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 38:29 | 9 | 41 |
| 8 | Atletico GO | 28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | CRB | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 31:26 | 5 | 40 |
| 10 | Avai | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 36:30 | 6 | 40 |
| 11 | Operario-PR | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 31:27 | 4 | 39 |
| 12 | Remo | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 29:26 | 3 | 39 |
| 13 | Vila Nova FC | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 28:30 | -2 | 37 |
| 14 | Ferroviaria | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 31:35 | -4 | 33 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 29:38 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 | America MG | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 27:34 | -7 | 30 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 18:29 | -11 | 30 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 24:42 | -18 | 29 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 28:41 | -13 | 27 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 21:33 | -12 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
