Botafogo SP vs América Mineiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

02/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Santa Cruz (Ribeirao Preto).

Serie B Superbet - Round 20
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.33	1.24
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
11	13
Shots on target
3	6
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
1	6
Passes
83% (270/327)	80% (249/311)
Yellow Cards
3	4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33	1.24
xG on target (xGOT)
1.84	1.24
Total shots
11	13
Shots on target
3	6
Shots off target
7	4
Blocked Shots
1	3
Shots inside the Box
5	7
Shots outside the Box
6	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
1	6
Touches in opposition box
13	23
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
17	17
Passes
83% (270/327)	80% (249/311)
Long passes
50% (24/48)	49% (28/57)
Passes in final third
63% (45/72)	66% (68/103)
Crosses
31% (4/13)	17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.51	0.63
Throw-ins
15	16
Fouls
17	17
Tackles
89% (8/9)	59% (10/17)
Duels won
45	50
Clearances
31	26
Interceptions
8	6
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	1
xGOT faced
1.24	1.84
Goals prevented
0.24	-0.16

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', Ericson 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Leo Gamalho ⚽, Jonathan Cafu (A),
35', 1 - 1, Miguelito ⚽, Stenio (A),
45', Ericson ↓, Alisson Cassiano ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Willian Bigode 🟨,
66', Willian Bigode (Pen),
68', Elizari F. 🟨,
71', 2 - 1, Leo Gamalho (Pen),
75', Stenio ↓, Arthur Sousa ↑,
75', Willian Bigode ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
78', Wesley Dias 🟨,
80', Jonathan Cafu ↓, Marquinho ↑,
80', Jean Victor ↓, Risso G. ↑,
88', Figueiredo ↓, Labandeira F. ↑,
88', Elizari F. ↓, David Lopes ↑,
89', Miguelito ↓, Heber ↑,
90+1', Dramisino A. ↓, Edson ↑,
90+1', Leo Gamalho ↓, Wallison ↑,
90+4', Paulinho 🟨,
90+5', Kaua Diniz 🟨,
90+7', Risso G. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Botafogo SP
31.6%

Draw
31%

América Mineiro
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

29.6%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

29.9%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Botafogo SP's form might have worsened.

América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Botafogo SP, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-4%)

Botafogo SP - América Mineiro Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.55)	2.99 ↓ (3.16)	2.51 ↓ (2.78)	7.6% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Botafogo SP - América Mineiro?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Botafogo SP will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). América MG will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 0.
Botafogo SP has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
América MG is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in América MG: Ale (Knee Injury) Fabinho (Inactive) Renato Marques (Inactive) Ricardo Silva (Injury) Samuel (Inactive)
There are questionable in Botafogo SP: Gustavo Bochecha (Inactive) Leo Gamalho (Injury)
There are questionable in América MG: Guilherme Pato (Injury) Marlon (Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.7:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo SP won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo SP won against América Mineiro?

Botafogo SP has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has América Mineiro won against Botafogo SP?

América Mineiro has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo SP - América Mineiro were as follows:

05.04.2025 América Mineiro - Botafogo SP 1:0

09.08.2024 América Mineiro - Botafogo SP 3:1

19.04.2024 Botafogo SP - América Mineiro 1:1

Latest results of Botafogo SP

28.07.2025 Avaí - Botafogo SP 5:0 ✺

24.07.2025 Botafogo SP - Criciúma 0:2 ✺

20.07.2025 Amazonas - Botafogo SP 3:0 ✺

14.07.2025 Botafogo SP - Volta Redonda 0:0 ✺

06.07.2025 Botafogo SP - Grêmio Novorizontino 0:0 ✺

Latest results of América Mineiro

27.07.2025 América Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense 2:2 ✺

23.07.2025 Cuiabá - América Mineiro 3:1 ✺

20.07.2025 América Mineiro - Chapecoense 0:1 ✺

12.07.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - América Mineiro 3:1 ✺

07.07.2025 América Mineiro - Athletic Club 0:1 ✺

Brazilian Serie B Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coritiba	32	16	8	8	34:21	13	56
2	Novorizontino	33	14	12	7	36:27	9	54
3	Criciuma	32	15	8	9	42:29	13	53
4	Goias	32	14	10	8	36:29	7	52
5	Chapecoense-SC	32	15	6	11	44:31	13	51
6	Remo	32	13	12	7	39:31	8	51
7	Athletico-PR	32	14	7	11	45:42	3	49
8	Cuiaba	32	13	10	9	38:35	3	49
9	CRB	32	14	5	13	38:33	5	47
10	Atletico GO	32	11	12	9	35:33	2	45
11	Avai	32	11	11	10	40:34	6	44
12	Vila Nova FC	32	11	10	11	32:33	-1	43
13	Operario-PR	32	10	9	13	32:36	-4	39
14	America MG	32	10	7	15	34:39	-5	37
15	Athletic Club	32	10	7	15	37:44	-7	37
16	Ferroviaria	32	8	13	11	36:42	-6	37
17	Volta Redonda	32	8	10	14	22:34	-12	34
18	Botafogo SP	32	8	9	15	27:47	-20	33
19	Amazonas	33	7	11	15	33:48	-15	32
20	Paysandu PA	32	5	11	16	28:40	-12	26

Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )