Result
1:0
05/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 1
- Referee: Lima Barbosa M. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (506/571) | 76% (173/228) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 21 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (506/571) | 76% (173/228) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (26/41) | 43% (21/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (146/181) | 67% (57/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 27% (6/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 0.68 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 36 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 24 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.14 | 1.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.14 | 0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Alisson Cassiano 🟨,
- 41', Felipe Amaral 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Felipe Amaral ↓, Cauan Barros ↑,
- 58', Rafael Milhorim 🟨,
- 64', Elizari F. ↓, Miguelito ↑,
- 66', Jefferson Nem ↓, Matheus Regis ↑,
- 75', Jonathan Cafu ↓, Willian Gabriel ↑,
- 75', Maciel L. ↓, Dramisino A. ↑,
- 80', Miqueias ↓, Yago Santos ↑,
- 82', 1 - 0, Cauan Barros ⚽, Figueiredo (A),
- 86', Wesley Dias ↓, Abdulai S. ↑,
- 87', Alisson Cassiano ↓, Douglas Baggio ↑,
- 90+3', Willian Bigode ↓, Stenio ↑,
- 90+3', Figueiredo ↓, Julio Cesar ↑,
Chances of winning
América Mineiro
56.4% | Draw
26% | Botafogo SP
17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
América Mineiro - Botafogo SP Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↓
(1.81) |
3.58 ↑
(3.33) |
5.28 ↑
(4.57) |
7.5%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for América Mineiro - Botafogo SP?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - América MG (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
América Mineiro will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches América MG won 2.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- In this match América MG is a favorite.
- There will not play in América MG: Gustavinho
(Injury)
- There will not play in Botafogo SP: Matheus Barbosa
(Injury)
Matheus Costa
(Injury)
Robinho
(Injury)
- Last 6 head-to-head matches América MG won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams América MG won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has América Mineiro won against Botafogo SP?
América Mineiro has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo SP won against América Mineiro?
Botafogo SP has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between América Mineiro - Botafogo SP were as follows:
09.08.2024
América Mineiro
-
Botafogo SP
3:1
19.04.2024
Botafogo SP
-
América Mineiro
1:1
Latest results of América Mineiro
Latest results of Botafogo SP
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 23:13 | 10 | 36 |
| 2 | Coritiba | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 19:12 | 7 | 34 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 22:12 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | Vila Nova FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 17:16 | 1 | 27 |
| 5 | Chapecoense-SC | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 21:16 | 5 | 26 |
| 6 | Remo | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 7 | Cuiaba | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19:20 | -1 | 25 |
| 8 | Avai | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
| 9 | Athletico-PR | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:24 | -2 | 24 |
| 10 | Criciuma | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 23 |
| 11 | Athletic Club | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 | Operario-PR | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:20 | 1 | 22 |
| 13 | CRB | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:18 | -2 | 22 |
| 14 | Atletico GO | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 22 |
| 15 | America MG | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
| 16 | Ferroviaria | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18:22 | -4 | 19 |
| 17 | Paysandu PA | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 18 |
| 18 | Volta Redonda | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 10:16 | -6 | 18 |
| 19 | Botafogo SP | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 18 |
| 20 | Amazonas | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16:23 | -7 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
