Botafogo SP vs América Mineiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Botafogo SP - América Mineiro
Result
2:1
02/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 20
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.331.24
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
16
Passes
83% (270/327)80% (249/311)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.331.24
xG on target (xGOT)
1.841.24
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
57
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
16
Touches in opposition box
1323
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1717
Passes
83% (270/327)80% (249/311)
Long passes
50% (24/48)49% (28/57)
Passes in final third
63% (45/72)66% (68/103)
Crosses
31% (4/13)17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.510.63
Throw-ins
1516
Fouls
1717
Tackles
89% (8/9)59% (10/17)
Duels won
4550
Clearances
3126
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
1.241.84
Goals prevented
0.24-0.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', Ericson 🟨,
  • 20', 1 - 0, Leo Gamalho , Jonathan Cafu (A),
  • 35', 1 - 1, Miguelito , Stenio (A),
  • 45', Ericson , Alisson Cassiano ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', Willian Bigode 🟨,
  • 66', Willian Bigode (Pen),
  • 68', Elizari F. 🟨,
  • 71', 2 - 1, Leo Gamalho (Pen),
  • 75', Stenio , Arthur Sousa ,
  • 75', Willian Bigode , Ortiz C. ,
  • 78', Wesley Dias 🟨,
  • 80', Jonathan Cafu , Marquinho ,
  • 80', Jean Victor , Risso G. ,
  • 88', Figueiredo , Labandeira F. ,
  • 88', Elizari F. , David Lopes ,
  • 89', Miguelito , Heber ,
  • 90+1', Dramisino A. , Edson ,
  • 90+1', Leo Gamalho , Wallison ,
  • 90+4', Paulinho 🟨,
  • 90+5', Kaua Diniz 🟨,
  • 90+7', Risso G. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Botafogo SP
31.6%
Draw
31%
América Mineiro
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.7% 29.6% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37% 29.9% 33.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Botafogo SP's form might have worsened.
  • América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Botafogo SP, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • Botafogo SP - América Mineiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.92
    (2.55)
    2.99
    (3.16)
    2.51
    (2.78)
    7.6%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Botafogo SP - América Mineiro?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Botafogo SP will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). América MG will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 0.
    • Botafogo SP has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • América MG is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in América MG: Ale (Knee Injury) Fabinho (Inactive) Renato Marques (Inactive) Ricardo Silva (Injury) Samuel (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Botafogo SP: Gustavo Bochecha (Inactive) Leo Gamalho (Injury)
    • There are questionable in América MG: Guilherme Pato (Injury) Marlon (Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.7:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo SP won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo SP - América Mineiro were as follows:
    05.04.2025 América Mineiro - Botafogo SP 1:0
    09.08.2024 América Mineiro - Botafogo SP 3:1
    19.04.2024 Botafogo SP - América Mineiro 1:1
    Latest results of Botafogo SP
    28.07.2025 Avaí - Botafogo SP 5:0
    24.07.2025 Botafogo SP - Criciúma 0:2
    20.07.2025 Amazonas - Botafogo SP 3:0
    Latest results of América Mineiro
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias24135631:23844
    2Coritiba24127524:16843
    3Chapecoense-SC24125736:221441
    4Criciuma24116731:211039
    5Novorizontino2499626:23336
    6Remo24811524:21335
    7CRB241041026:22434
    8Vila Nova FC241041024:24034
    9Cuiaba2497829:29034
    10Operario-PR2496926:23333
    11Athletico-PR2496931:33-233
    12Avai2489730:25533
    13Ferroviaria24710727:26131
    14Atletico GO24710726:26031
    15Athletic Club24841226:33-728
    16Botafogo SP24771020:33-1328
    17America MG24741325:32-725
    18Amazonas24591025:34-924
    19Volta Redonda24581114:26-1223
    20Paysandu PA24491120:29-921

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )