Botafogo SP vs Vila Nova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B
Football Brazilian Serie B Botafogo SP - Vila Nova
Result
2:0
25/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 23
  • Referee: Arleu B. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.110.26
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
126
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
72% (301/417)53% (140/264)
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.110.26
xG on target (xGOT)
1.890.45
Total shots
126
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
169
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1510
Passes
72% (301/417)53% (140/264)
Long passes
32% (25/77)18% (16/90)
Passes in final third
47% (49/105)23% (21/93)
Crosses
17% (3/18)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.420.13
Throw-ins
3525
Fouls
1316
Tackles
55% (6/11)56% (5/9)
Duels won
6246
Clearances
4834
Interceptions
615
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.451.89
Goals prevented
0.45-0.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Joao Vieira 🟨,
  • 40', Leo Gamalho ↓, Carrillo R. ↑,
  • 42', Vinicius Paiva 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Andre Luis ↓, Bruno Xavier ↑,
  • 46', Willian Formiga ↓, Higor ↑,
  • 46', Gabriel Bispo ↓, Maciel L. ↑,
  • 59', 1 - 0, Marquinho (Pen),
  • 60', Jonathan Cafu ↓, Gabriel Barros ↑,
  • 67', Wallison 🟨,
  • 68', Ralf 🟨,
  • 69', Ralf ↓, Jean Mota ↑,
  • 69', Ruan Ribeiro ↓, Igor Henrique ↑,
  • 75', Weverton 🟥,
  • 77', Willian Formiga 🟨,
  • 79', Dodo ↓, Gabriel Poveda ↑,
  • 83', Marquinho ↓, Dramisino A. ↑,
  • 84', Wallison ↓, Jeferson ↑,
  • 87', 2 - 0, Carrillo R. ⚽,
  • 90+4', Dramisino A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Botafogo SP
32.6%		Draw
35.4%		Vila Nova
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.3% 31.3% 33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6% 32.5% 32.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
    •

    Botafogo SP - Vila Nova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.85 ↑
    (2.63)    		 2.64 ↓
    (2.96)    		 2.93 ↑
    (2.77)    		 7.1%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Botafogo SP - Vila Nova?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vila Nova: 35.9% – 97.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Vila Nova (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 1.
    • Botafogo SP is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Vila Nova has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Botafogo SP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Botafogo SP: Edson (Yellow Cards) Ericson (Injury) Jeferson (Yellow Cards) Robinho (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Vila Nova: Emerson Urso (Injury) Guilherme Parede (Yellow Cards) Junior Todinho (Yellow Cards) Marcondes (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Botafogo SP: Edson (Injury) Gustavo Bochecha (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Vila Nova: Andre Luis (Injury) Dodo (Injury) Walisson Maia (Inactive)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.7:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo SP won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo SP - Vila Nova were as follows:
    20.04.2025 Vila Nova - Botafogo SP 2:0
    28.09.2024 Vila Nova - Botafogo SP 1:1
    16.06.2024 Botafogo SP - Vila Nova 1:0
    11.10.2023 Vila Nova - Botafogo SP 3:1
    24.06.2023 Botafogo SP - Vila Nova 0:3
    Latest results of Botafogo SP
    16.08.2025 Remo - Botafogo SP 1:1 ✺
    10.08.2025 Atlético Goianiense - Botafogo SP 2:0 ✺
    02.08.2025 Botafogo SP - América Mineiro 2:1 ✺
    28.07.2025 Avaí - Botafogo SP 5:0 ✺
    24.07.2025 Botafogo SP - Criciúma 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Vila Nova
    16.08.2025 Vila Nova - Goiás 2:0 ✺
    11.08.2025 Paysandu - Vila Nova 0:1 ✺
    31.07.2025 Vila Nova - Coritiba 1:2 ✺
    27.07.2025 Volta Redonda - Vila Nova 2:1 ✺
    22.07.2025 Vila Nova - CRB Maceio 2:0 ✺
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Criciuma28147736:211549
    2Goias28147734:26849
    3Coritiba28138728:19947
    4Novorizontino281210631:25646
    5Athletico-PR28136942:36645
    6Cuiaba28119834:32242
    7Chapecoense-SC281251138:29941
    8Atletico GO281011731:28341
    9CRB281241231:26540
    10Avai281010836:30640
    11Operario-PR28109931:27439
    12Remo28912729:26339
    13Vila Nova FC281071128:30-237
    14Ferroviaria28712931:35-433
    15Athletic Club28951429:38-932
    16America MG28861427:34-730
    17Volta Redonda28791218:29-1130
    18Botafogo SP28781324:42-1829
    19Amazonas28691328:41-1327
    20Paysandu PA284101421:33-1222

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

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