Result
2:0
25/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 23
- Referee: Arleu B. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 0.26 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (301/417) | 53% (140/264) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 0.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (301/417) | 53% (140/264) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (25/77) | 18% (16/90) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (49/105) | 23% (21/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 17% (1/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 35 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 48 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.45 | -0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Joao Vieira 🟨,
- 40', Leo Gamalho ↓, Carrillo R. ↑,
- 42', Vinicius Paiva 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Andre Luis ↓, Bruno Xavier ↑,
- 46', Willian Formiga ↓, Higor ↑,
- 46', Gabriel Bispo ↓, Maciel L. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 0, Marquinho (Pen),
- 60', Jonathan Cafu ↓, Gabriel Barros ↑,
- 67', Wallison 🟨,
- 68', Ralf 🟨,
- 69', Ralf ↓, Jean Mota ↑,
- 69', Ruan Ribeiro ↓, Igor Henrique ↑,
- 75', Weverton 🟥,
- 77', Willian Formiga 🟨,
- 79', Dodo ↓, Gabriel Poveda ↑,
- 83', Marquinho ↓, Dramisino A. ↑,
- 84', Wallison ↓, Jeferson ↑,
- 87', 2 - 0, Carrillo R. ⚽,
- 90+4', Dramisino A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Botafogo SP
32.6% | Draw
35.4% | Vila Nova
32% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Botafogo SP - Vila Nova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.85 ↑
(2.63) |
2.64 ↓
(2.96) |
2.93 ↑
(2.77) |
7.1%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Botafogo SP - Vila Nova?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vila Nova: 35.9% – 97.5%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Vila Nova (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Vila Nova (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0, 1st Half - Vila Nova (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Vila Nova (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 1.
- Botafogo SP is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Vila Nova has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Botafogo SP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Botafogo SP: Edson
(Yellow Cards)
Ericson
(Injury)
Jeferson
(Yellow Cards)
Robinho
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Vila Nova: Emerson Urso
(Injury)
Guilherme Parede
(Yellow Cards)
Junior Todinho
(Yellow Cards)
Marcondes
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Botafogo SP: Edson
(Injury)
Gustavo Bochecha
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Vila Nova: Andre Luis
(Injury)
Dodo
(Injury)
Walisson Maia
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.7:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo SP won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo SP won against Vila Nova?
Botafogo SP has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against Botafogo SP?
Vila Nova has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo SP - Vila Nova were as follows:
20.04.2025
Vila Nova
-
Botafogo SP
2:0
28.09.2024
Vila Nova
-
Botafogo SP
1:1
16.06.2024
Botafogo SP
-
Vila Nova
1:0
11.10.2023
Vila Nova
-
Botafogo SP
3:1
24.06.2023
Botafogo SP
-
Vila Nova
0:3
Latest results of Botafogo SP
Latest results of Vila Nova
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Avai | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Operario-PR | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Botafogo SP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Nautico | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Ceara | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Vila Nova FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | Athletic Club | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Londrina | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Sao Bernardo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Criciuma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Fortaleza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | CRB | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 | Novorizontino | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 16 | Cuiaba | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Ponte Preta | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | America MG | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 19 | Juventude | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | Atletico GO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
