Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Bulgarian Parva Liga Septemvri Sofia - Botev Plovdiv
Result
1:3
21/09/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • efbet League - Round 9
  • Referee: Lyubomirov L. (Bul)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
511
Shots on target
14
Corner Kicks
27
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
10
Total shots
511
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
47
Corner Kicks
27
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
47
Throw-ins
2319
Fouls
119

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Okoflex A. , Minkov N. (A),
  • 34', 1 - 1, Varbanov G. , Fontaine N. (A),
  • 42', Noga G. , Soldo N. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Mitkov D. , Mascote ,
  • 50', Nedelev T. (Pen),
  • 52', Hristov M. 🟨,
  • 52', Abraham O. 🟨,
  • 54', Varbanov G. 🟨,
  • 56', Petrov S. , Iliev N. ,
  • 62', Stoichkov S. , Schouten R. ,
  • 62', Parra M. , Ivanov G. ,
  • 65', Kwateng E. 🟨,
  • 72', Wade S. 🟥,
  • 74', Varbanov G. , Vasilev S. ,
  • 75', Fontaine N. , Baurenski Y. ,
  • 75', Martinov E. , Petkov S. ,
  • 77', 1 - 2, Mascote , Minkov N. (A),
  • 78', Serber K. , Ozornwafor V. ,
  • 86', Onasci K. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 1 - 3, Okoflex A. , Nedelev T. (A),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/kz7epupe

Chances of winning


Septemvri Sofia
26.6%
Draw
27.8%
Botev Plovdiv
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 27.2% 36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7% 26.7% 37.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Septemvri Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Septemvri Sofia's form might have worsened.
  • Botev Plovdiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Botev Plovdiv's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Septemvri Sofia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botev Plovdiv than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Botev Plovdiv, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Septemvri Sofia - Botev Plovdiv Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.75
    (2.49)
    3.51
    (3.33)
    2.09
    (2.49)
    3.2%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Septemvri Sofia - Botev Plovdiv?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Septemvri Sofia will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Botev Plovdiv will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Botev Plovdiv: 35.9%97.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 16 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 2.
    • Septemvri Sofia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Botev Plovdiv is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Botev Plovdiv will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:17. (average 0.6:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Septemvri Sofia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Septemvri Sofia - Botev Plovdiv were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Botev Plovdiv - Septemvri Sofia 3:0
    04.11.2024 Septemvri Sofia - Botev Plovdiv 1:0
    10.03.2023 Septemvri Sofia - Botev Plovdiv 2:1
    26.08.2022 Botev Plovdiv - Septemvri Sofia 3:1
    Latest results of Septemvri Sofia
    Latest results of Botev Plovdiv
    Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Levski Sofia13102125:71832
    2CSKA 1948 Sofia1282220:101026
    3Lok. Plovdiv1366117:13424
    4Ludogorets1165018:41423
    5Cherno More1365219:10923
    6Botev Vratsa1345412:13-117
    7Spartak Varna1337316:15116
    8Beroe1135312:15-314
    9Lok. Sofia1327412:13-113
    10Arda1334612:14-213
    11CSKA Sofia1227310:10013
    12Montana1334610:21-1113
    13Slavia Sofia1326513:18-512
    14Botev Plovdiv1332814:22-811
    15Septemvri Sofia1332814:26-1211
    16Dobrudzha1321108:21-137

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