Result
1:3
21/09/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- efbet League - Round 9
- Referee: Lyubomirov L. (Bul)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Okoflex A. ⚽, Minkov N. (A),
- 34', 1 - 1, Varbanov G. ⚽, Fontaine N. (A),
- 42', Noga G. ↓, Soldo N. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Mitkov D. ↓, Mascote ↑,
- 50', Nedelev T. (Pen),
- 52', Hristov M. 🟨,
- 52', Abraham O. 🟨,
- 54', Varbanov G. 🟨,
- 56', Petrov S. ↓, Iliev N. ↑,
- 62', Stoichkov S. ↓, Schouten R. ↑,
- 62', Parra M. ↓, Ivanov G. ↑,
- 65', Kwateng E. 🟨,
- 72', Wade S. 🟥,
- 74', Varbanov G. ↓, Vasilev S. ↑,
- 75', Fontaine N. ↓, Baurenski Y. ↑,
- 75', Martinov E. ↓, Petkov S. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 2, Mascote ⚽, Minkov N. (A),
- 78', Serber K. ↓, Ozornwafor V. ↑,
- 86', Onasci K. 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 3, Okoflex A. ⚽, Nedelev T. (A),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/kz7epupe
Chances of winning
Septemvri Sofia
26.6% | Draw
27.8% | Botev Plovdiv
45.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Septemvri Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Septemvri Sofia's form might have worsened.Botev Plovdiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Botev Plovdiv's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (+9.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Septemvri Sofia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botev Plovdiv than the current prediction. (-8.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Botev Plovdiv, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Septemvri Sofia - Botev Plovdiv Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.75 ↑
(2.49) |
3.51 ↑
(3.33) |
2.09 ↓
(2.49) |
3.2%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Septemvri Sofia - Botev Plovdiv?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Septemvri Sofia will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Botev Plovdiv will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Botev Plovdiv: 35.9% – 97.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 16 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 2.
- Septemvri Sofia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Botev Plovdiv is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Botev Plovdiv will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:17. (average 0.6:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Septemvri Sofia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Septemvri Sofia won against Botev Plovdiv?
Septemvri Sofia has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Botev Plovdiv won against Septemvri Sofia?
Botev Plovdiv has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Septemvri Sofia - Botev Plovdiv were as follows:
12.04.2025
Botev Plovdiv
-
Septemvri Sofia
3:0
04.11.2024
Septemvri Sofia
-
Botev Plovdiv
1:0
10.03.2023
Septemvri Sofia
-
Botev Plovdiv
2:1
26.08.2022
Botev Plovdiv
-
Septemvri Sofia
3:1
Latest results of Septemvri Sofia
Latest results of Botev Plovdiv
Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 25:7 | 18 | 32 |
| 2 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 20:10 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | Lok. Plovdiv | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 17:13 | 4 | 24 |
| 4 | Ludogorets | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 18:4 | 14 | 23 |
| 5 | Cherno More | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 19:10 | 9 | 23 |
| 6 | Botev Vratsa | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 17 |
| 7 | Spartak Varna | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Beroe | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 12:15 | -3 | 14 |
| 9 | Lok. Sofia | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 | Arda | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | CSKA Sofia | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 13 |
| 12 | Montana | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10:21 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Slavia Sofia | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 12 |
| 14 | Botev Plovdiv | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14:22 | -8 | 11 |
| 15 | Septemvri Sofia | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14:26 | -12 | 11 |
| 16 | Dobrudzha | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8:21 | -13 | 7 |
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