Result
1:0
16/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 1
- Referee: Kubler G. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 France | beIN Sports 1, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (165/259) | 81% (407/502) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (165/259) | 81% (407/502) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (18/59) | 45% (32/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 41% (33/80) | 51% (59/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (18/27) | 92% (12/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.91 | -0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Capuano G. 🟨,
- 19', Etoga L. 🟨,
- 41', Karamoko I. 🟨,
- 41', Siliadin L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', Siliadin L. ↓, Platret A. ↑,
- 63', Karamoko I. ↓, Zaouai A. ↑,
- 65', Fatar N. ↓, Mpembele Boula E. ↑,
- 65', Kouassi E. ↓, Boyer J. ↑,
- 76', Sebas J. ↓, Aiki A. ↑,
- 76', Tomi F. ↓, Ble M. ↑,
- 80', Bultel J. ↓, Duflos S. ↑,
- 80', Capuano G. ↓, Fatou C. ↑,
- 80', Duflos S. 🟨,
- 82', 1 - 0, Mpembele Boula E. ⚽,
- 85', Etoga L. ↓, Bathily Y. ↑,
- 85', Roncaglia A. ↓, Guevara J. ↑,
- 86', Ble M. 🟨,
- 87', Guevara J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Boulogne
28% | Draw
29.9% | Bastia
42.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boulogne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Bastia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Boulogne - Bastia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.33 ↑
(3.28) |
3.14 ↓
(3.36) |
2.24 ↑
(2.22) |
6.5%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Boulogne - Bastia?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Boulogne will win (votes: 3 - 15%). Bastia will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 49.9% – 90.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Bastia (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Boulogne has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Bastia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Boulogne: Kitenge C.
(Inactive)
Lenogue X.
(Inactive)
Zohore N.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Bastia: Basset D.
(Injury)
Guevara J.
(Knee Injury)
Janneh J.
(Inactive)
Parravicini N.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Boulogne: Platret A.
(Inactive)
Toure H.
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Boulogne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Boulogne won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Boulogne won against Bastia?
Boulogne has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Boulogne?
Bastia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Boulogne - Bastia were as follows:
Latest results of Boulogne
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 40:25 | 15 | 48 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 44:29 | 15 | 46 |
| 3 | Reims | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 37:23 | 14 | 42 |
| 4 | Le Mans | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 30:24 | 6 | 41 |
| 5 | Red Star | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 30:25 | 5 | 41 |
| 6 | Annecy | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 39 |
| 7 | Dunkerque | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41:27 | 14 | 38 |
| 8 | Rodez | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 9 | Montpellier | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 28:25 | 3 | 35 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 35:36 | -1 | 35 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 37:42 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 29 |
| 13 | Clermont | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 29:33 | -4 | 28 |
| 14 | Nancy | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 22:33 | -11 | 27 |
| 15 | Boulogne | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 27 |
| 16 | Amiens | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 28:41 | -13 | 23 |
| 17 | Laval | 25 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 19 |
| 18 | Bastia | 25 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 12:27 | -15 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
