Result
0:1
13/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 27
- Referee: Landry R. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.10 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (372/461) | 53% (116/219) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (372/461) | 53% (116/219) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (27/60) | 14% (9/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (104/151) | 41% (30/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (3/27) | 0% (0/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.37 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 55% (11/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 68 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.01 | 0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 23', 0 - 1, El Farissi A. ⚽, Fatou C. (A),
- 26', Sebas J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Ariss Z. ↓, Bohnert F. ↑,
- 51', Boutrah A. 🟨,
- 59', Ducrocq T. ↓, Beliandjou R. ↑,
- 59', Boutrah A. ↓, Zaouai A. ↑,
- 60', Sebas J. ↓, Tomi F. ↑,
- 67', Vincent C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 68', Fatou C. ↓, Lecolier M. ↑,
- 68', Duflos S. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
- 74', El Farissi A. ↓, Platret A. ↑,
- 75', Eickmayer J. 🟨,
- 83', Moco Z. ↓, Capuano G. ↑,
- 85', Vincent C. ↓, Janneh J. ↑,
- 90', Platret A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bastia
47% | Draw
30.6% | Boulogne
22.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Boulogne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boulogne than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Bastia - Boulogne Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↓
(2.09) |
3.06 ↓
(3.19) |
4.1 ↑
(3.6) |
7.3%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Bastia - Boulogne?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Boulogne will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bastia: 23.4% – 70.8%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bastia (votes: 1 - 50%). Boulogne (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Boulogne (2.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Bastia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Boulogne (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 12).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Bastia could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Bastia: Bathily Y.
(Injury)
Djedje D.
(Injury)
Guidi D.
(Inactive)
Meynadier T.
(Injury)
Parravicini N.
(Hernia)
Roncaglia A.
(Injury)
Zilliox N.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Boulogne: Gourville S.
(Inactive)
Keita S.
(Inactive)
Kouassi E.
(Inactive)
Martin J.
(Inactive)
Uriev A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Boulogne: Bultel J.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bastia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Boulogne?
Bastia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Boulogne won against Bastia?
Boulogne has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bastia - Boulogne were as follows:
16.09.2025
Boulogne
-
Bastia
1:0
Latest results of Boulogne
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 51:30 | 21 | 58 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 53:31 | 22 | 57 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 45:29 | 16 | 54 |
| 4 | Red Star | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 36:30 | 6 | 51 |
| 5 | Reims | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 43:28 | 15 | 48 |
| 6 | Rodez | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 36:34 | 2 | 45 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 35:27 | 8 | 44 |
| 8 | Annecy | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 36:34 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 41:48 | -7 | 42 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 45:37 | 8 | 40 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 39:42 | -3 | 40 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 36 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 29:36 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Clermont | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 34:41 | -7 | 30 |
| 15 | Nancy | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 16 | Laval | 30 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 26:43 | -17 | 25 |
| 17 | Amiens | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 24 |
| 18 | Bastia | 30 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 19:36 | -17 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
