Boulogne vs Bastia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
16/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 1
  • Referee: Kubler G. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
franceFrancebeIN Sports 1, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.911.24
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
712
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
64% (165/259)81% (407/502)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
0.911.24
xG on target (xGOT)
0.580.91
Total shots
712
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
59
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
1622
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1314
Passes
64% (165/259)81% (407/502)
Long passes
31% (18/59)45% (32/71)
Passes in final third
41% (33/80)51% (59/116)
Crosses
44% (4/9)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.960.41
Throw-ins
1930
Fouls
1413
Tackles
67% (18/27)92% (12/13)
Duels won
6762
Clearances
2817
Interceptions
1110
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
0.910.58
Goals prevented
0.91-0.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Capuano G. 🟨,
  • 19', Etoga L. 🟨,
  • 41', Karamoko I. 🟨,
  • 41', Siliadin L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', Siliadin L. , Platret A. ,
  • 63', Karamoko I. , Zaouai A. ,
  • 65', Fatar N. , Mpembele Boula E. ,
  • 65', Kouassi E. , Boyer J. ,
  • 76', Sebas J. , Aiki A. ,
  • 76', Tomi F. , Ble M. ,
  • 80', Bultel J. , Duflos S. ,
  • 80', Capuano G. , Fatou C. ,
  • 80', Duflos S. 🟨,
  • 82', 1 - 0, Mpembele Boula E. ,
  • 85', Etoga L. , Bathily Y. ,
  • 85', Roncaglia A. , Guevara J. ,
  • 86', Ble M. 🟨,
  • 87', Guevara J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Boulogne
28%
Draw
29.9%
Bastia
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.9% 28.3% 42.8%

Boulogne - Bastia Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.33
(3.28)
3.14
(3.36)
2.24
(2.22)
6.5%
(5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Boulogne - Bastia?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Boulogne will win (votes: 3 - 15%). Bastia will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 70%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 49.9%90.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Boulogne has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Bastia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Boulogne: Kitenge C. (Inactive) Lenogue X. (Inactive) Zohore N. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Bastia: Basset D. (Injury) Guevara J. (Knee Injury) Janneh J. (Inactive) Parravicini N. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Boulogne: Platret A. (Inactive) Toure H. (Inactive)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Boulogne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Boulogne won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    Latest results of Boulogne
    12.09.2025 Boulogne - Laval 1:2
    29.08.2025 Rodez - Boulogne 1:0
    23.08.2025 Boulogne - Saint-Étienne 0:1
    15.08.2025 Nancy - Boulogne 1:0
    01.08.2025 Fleury-Merogis - Boulogne 2:1
    Latest results of Bastia
    12.09.2025 Amiens - Bastia 0:0
    30.08.2025 Bastia - Guingamp 1:3
    22.08.2025 Le Mans - Bastia 1:0
    15.08.2025 Bastia - Pau 1:1
    10.05.2025 Bastia - Caen 2:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes17105230:161435
    2St Etienne1793535:251030
    3Le Mans1786322:17530
    4Reims1785432:201229
    5Red Star1685321:15629
    6Dunkerque1776429:191027
    7Pau FC1775523:25-226
    8Montpellier1774618:16225
    9Guingamp1765625:30-523
    10Annecy1764721:18322
    11Grenoble1756619:21-221
    12Rodez1756618:23-521
    13Clermont1747616:21-519
    14Amiens1753921:26-518
    15Nancy1753915:22-718
    16Boulogne1744918:26-816
    17Laval1736813:22-915
    18Bastia1615108:22-148

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National