Boulogne vs Red Star – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
29/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 8
  • Referee: Perreau Niel A. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.130.28
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
168
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
75% (271/362)82% (360/440)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.130.28
xG on target (xGOT)
0.310.15
Total shots
168
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
60
Shots inside the Box
122
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
3310
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
43
Free Kicks
910
Passes
75% (271/362)82% (360/440)
Long passes
42% (22/53)40% (26/65)
Passes in final third
62% (81/130)64% (51/80)
Crosses
40% (10/25)10% (2/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.180.45
Throw-ins
2419
Fouls
109
Tackles
60% (9/15)50% (4/8)
Duels won
4444
Clearances
2420
Interceptions
1411
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
0.150.31
Goals prevented
-1.85-0.69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', Thiam D. 🟨,
  • 9', 0 - 1, Haag G. ,
  • 11', 1 - 1, Capuano G. , Platret A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 61', Eickmayer J. , Khaoui S. E. ,
  • 62', Durand D. , Cabral K. ,
  • 64', 1 - 2, Durivaux D. , Cisse K. (A),
  • 65', Capuano G. , Fatou C. ,
  • 65', Pinot A. , Gourville S. ,
  • 77', El Farissi A. , Fatar N. ,
  • 77', Duflos S. , Toure H. ,
  • 82', Ikanga J. , Benali H. ,
  • 90+3', Cisse K. , Kany V. ,

Chances of winning


Boulogne
28.1%
Draw
30.9%
Red Star
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.3% 29% 42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7% 28.4% 43.6%

Boulogne - Red Star Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.41
(3.32)
3.03
(3.25)
2.3
(2.2)
5.8%
(6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Boulogne - Red Star?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Boulogne will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). Red Star will win (votes: 15 - 78.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Red Star: 60.6%97.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Red Star (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boulogne won 1.
    • Recent performances by Boulogne have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Red Star is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Boulogne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Red Star might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Boulogne: Kitenge C. (Inactive) Lenogue X. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Red Star: Doucoure R. (Knee Injury) Escartin J. (Injury) Hachem A. (Inactive)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Boulogne won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Boulogne won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).
    Latest results of Boulogne
    23.09.2025 Montpellier - Boulogne 1:3
    19.09.2025 Boulogne - Pau 0:3
    16.09.2025 Boulogne - Bastia 1:0
    12.09.2025 Boulogne - Laval 1:2
    29.08.2025 Rodez - Boulogne 1:0
    Latest results of Red Star
    23.09.2025 Red Star - Troyes 1:3
    19.09.2025 Nancy - Red Star 0:1
    12.09.2025 Pau - Red Star 0:3
    29.08.2025 Red Star - Annecy 1:0
    23.08.2025 Guingamp - Red Star 0:4
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes1594227:141331
    2St Etienne1592433:221129
    3Red Star1584321:15628
    4Reims1574428:20825
    5Montpellier1573517:14324
    6Le Mans1566319:16324
    7Guingamp1565424:25-123
    8Pau FC1565421:23-223
    9Dunkerque1556426:18821
    10Annecy1554617:16119
    11Clermont1546515:19-418
    12Grenoble1545617:20-317
    13Rodez1545615:21-617
    14Laval1536612:16-415
    15Amiens1543819:24-515
    16Nancy1543814:21-715
    17Boulogne1543816:23-715
    18Bastia1514106:20-147

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National