Bournemouth vs Burnley – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Vitality Stadium (Bournemouth).

Premier League - Round 17
Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport OTT 2
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 5 DRM, FuboTV
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 8, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 7
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 3
Hungary	Match 4
Iceland	SÝN Sport 4
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 2
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258
Japan	U-NEXT
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 4, Canal+ Sport 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	FOX One
Mongolia	Premier Sports 3
Nepal	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 3
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport OTT 2
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 3
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Canal+ Extra 5
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-africa	SuperSport Action, SuperSport Football, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport OTT 2
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 2 Bar Espana, DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	K+ Action, K+, TV 360

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.70	0.38
Ball Possession
65%	35%
Total shots
16	4
Shots on target
1	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
5	3
Passes
80% (403/501)	66% (178/270)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70	0.38
xG on target (xGOT)
0.36	0.94
Total shots
16	4
Shots on target
1	1
Shots off target
12	1
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
11	1
Shots outside the Box
5	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
5	3
Touches in opposition box
37	17
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
11	11
Passes
80% (403/501)	66% (178/270)
Long passes
33% (19/58)	41% (30/74)
Passes in final third
70% (135/194)	51% (44/87)
Crosses
27% (6/22)	25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.49	0.51
Throw-ins
26	18
Fouls
11	11
Tackles
76% (16/21)	60% (9/15)
Duels won
51	47
Clearances
30	36
Interceptions
8	9
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
0	0
xGOT faced
0.94	0.36
Goals prevented
-0.06	-0.64

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Flemming Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', Evanilson ↓, Unal E. ↑,
64', Kluivert J. ↓, Kroupi E. J. ↑,
65', Flemming Z. ↓, Broja A. ↑,
66', Bruun Larsen J. ↓, Tchaouna L. ↑,
67', 1 - 0, Semenyo A. ⚽,
74', Brooks D. 🟨,
74', Brooks D. ↓, Christie R. ↑,
77', Walker K. ↓, Sonne O. ↑,
77', Anthony J. ↓, Edwards M. ↑,
82', Ugochukwu L. ↓, Tresor Ndayishimiye M. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Broja A. ⚽, Edwards M. (A),
90+2', Tavernier M. ↓, Scott A. ↑,
90+3', Jimenez A. ↓, Adli A. ↑,

Chances of winning

Bournemouth
62.1%

Draw
21.8%

Burnley
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

21%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

17.6%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bournemouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bournemouth that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Bournemouth - Burnley Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.5)	4.41 ↓ (4.53)	6.02 ↓ (6.09)	3.9% (5.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Bournemouth - Burnley?

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Bournemouth will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%). Burnley will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bournemouth: 50.8% – 88.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Bournemouth (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Burnley (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.25 - Burnley (1.76) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -1 - Bournemouth (1.87) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.75 - Bournemouth (2.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Bournemouth (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Burnley (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bournemouth won 3.
Bournemouth has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Burnley has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Bournemouth is the undisputed favorite.
There will not play in Bournemouth: Adams T. (Knee Injury) Akinmboni M. (Muscle Injury) Christie R. (Knee Injury) Doak B. (Hamstring Injury) Milosavljevic V. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Foster L. (International duty) Humphreys B. (Lacking Match Fitness) Mejbri H. (Suspended) Roberts C. (Groin Injury) Tuanzebe A. (International duty)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Bournemouth won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:25. (average 1.3:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Bournemouth won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.3:1.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Bournemouth won against Burnley?

Bournemouth has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Burnley won against Bournemouth?

Burnley has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bournemouth - Burnley were as follows:

03.03.2024 Burnley - Bournemouth 0:2

28.10.2023 Bournemouth - Burnley 2:1

07.01.2023 Bournemouth - Burnley 2:4

Latest results of Bournemouth

15.12.2025 Manchester United - Bournemouth 4:4 ✺

06.12.2025 Bournemouth - Chelsea 0:0 ✺

02.12.2025 Bournemouth - Everton 0:1 ✺

29.11.2025 Sunderland - Bournemouth 3:2 ✺

22.11.2025 Bournemouth - West Ham United 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Burnley

13.12.2025 Burnley - Fulham 2:3 ✺

06.12.2025 Newcastle United - Burnley 2:1 ✺

03.12.2025 Burnley - Crystal Palace 0:1 ✺

29.11.2025 Brentford - Burnley 3:1 ✺

22.11.2025 Burnley - Chelsea 0:2 ✺

English Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Arsenal	30	20	7	3	59:22	37	67
2	Manchester City	29	18	6	5	59:27	32	60
3	Manchester Utd	28	14	9	5	50:38	12	51
4	Aston Villa	29	15	6	8	39:34	5	51
5	Chelsea	29	13	9	7	53:34	19	48
6	Liverpool	29	14	6	9	48:39	9	48
7	Brentford	29	13	5	11	44:40	4	44
8	Everton	29	12	7	10	34:33	1	43
9	Bournemouth	29	9	13	7	44:46	-2	40
10	Fulham	29	12	4	13	40:43	-3	40
11	Sunderland	29	10	10	9	30:34	-4	40
12	Brighton	29	9	10	10	38:36	2	37
13	Newcastle	28	10	6	12	40:42	-2	36
14	Crystal Palace	28	9	8	11	30:34	-4	35
15	Leeds	29	7	10	12	37:48	-11	31
16	Tottenham	28	7	8	13	38:43	-5	29
17	Nottingham	29	7	7	15	28:43	-15	28
18	West Ham	29	7	7	15	35:54	-19	28
19	Burnley	29	4	7	18	32:58	-26	19
20	Wolves	30	3	7	20	22:52	-30	16

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Relegation ~ Championship