Boyacá Chicó vs Deportes Tolima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

23/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio La Independencia (Tunja).

Primera A - Apertura - Round 13
Referee: Marquez C. (Col)
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.22	1.97
Ball possession
39%	61%
Total shots
4	12
Shots on target
2	2
Big chances
0	5
Corner kicks
3	6
Passes
73% (186/255)	81% (319/394)
Yellow cards
2	3
Red cards
1	0
Expected goals (xG)
0.22	1.97
xG on target (xGOT)
0.40	0.81
Total shots
4	12
Shots on target
2	2
Shots off target
2	6
Blocked shots
0	4
Shots inside the box
2	7
Shots outside the box
2	5
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
0	5
Corner kicks
3	6
Touches in opposition box
6	21
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	4
Free kicks
6	12
Passes
73% (186/255)	81% (319/394)
Long passes
26% (13/50)	45% (20/44)
Passes in final third
57% (45/79)	72% (86/120)
Crosses
8% (1/12)	13% (2/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.20	1.13
Throw ins
20	23
Fouls
12	6
Tackles
45% (5/11)	77% (10/13)
Duels won
30	38
Clearances
28	20
Interceptions
9	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	1
xGOT faced
0.81	0.40
Goals prevented
-0.19	-0.60

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', Salazar S. ↓, Aedo A. ↑,
33', Valencia J. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Aedo A. ⚽, Ramirez Raigosa D. A. (A),
42', Torres Patino J. P. 🟨,
43', Banguero A. 🟨,
45+6', Rovira B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Valencia J. ↓, Moreno Y. ↑,
46', Mera J. ↓, Pedrozo D. ↑,
46', Mosquera J. ↓, Ricardo E. ↑,
65', Ricardo E. ↓, Sanchez N. ↑,
67', Saldana A. 🟨,
78', Martinez Y. 🟥,
83', Molina J. ↓, Valencia N. ↑,
83', Saldana A. ↓, Montano I. ↑,
87', Hernandez J. ↓, Parra Y. A. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Moreno Y. ⚽, Parra Osorio A. (A),
90+4', Ramirez Raigosa D. A. ↓, Diaz Montes J. d. J. ↑,
90+4', Cabrera Y. ↓, Caicedo O. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2xnt5hhx

Chances of winning

Boyacá Chicó
23.6%

Draw
29.7%

Deportes Tolima
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

30.1%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

29.2%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boyacá Chicó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boyacá Chicó than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Boyacá Chicó - Deportes Tolima Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↑ (3.48)	3.13 ↑ (3.1)	2 ↓ (2.17)	7.2% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Boyacá Chicó - Deportes Tolima?

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Boyacá Chicó will win (votes: 2 - 10%). Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 14 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportes Tolima: 49.9% – 90.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Deportes Tolima (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +0.5 - Boyacá Chicó (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Boyacá Chicó (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Deportes Tolima (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boyacá Chicó won 0.
Boyacá Chicó has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Deportes Tolima is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Boyacá Chicó may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Deportes Tolima is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boyacá Chicó won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:34. (average 0.9:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Boyacá Chicó won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.2:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Boyacá Chicó won against Deportes Tolima?

Boyacá Chicó has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Boyacá Chicó?

Deportes Tolima has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Boyacá Chicó - Deportes Tolima were as follows:

14.09.2025 Deportes Tolima - Boyacá Chicó 4:0

01.04.2025 Boyacá Chicó - Deportes Tolima 1:4

14.09.2024 Deportes Tolima - Boyacá Chicó 2:1

01.03.2024 Boyacá Chicó - Deportes Tolima 1:1

29.09.2023 Deportes Tolima - Boyacá Chicó 2:0

Latest results of Boyacá Chicó

18.03.2026 Deportivo Pasto - Boyacá Chicó 2:0 ✺

14.03.2026 Boyacá Chicó - Millonarios 2:1 ✺

27.02.2026 Once Caldas - Boyacá Chicó 3:0 ✺

22.02.2026 Boyacá Chicó - Rionegro Águilas 0:1 ✺

15.02.2026 Fortaleza CEIF - Boyacá Chicó 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Deportes Tolima

19.03.2026 Deportes Tolima - Fortaleza CEIF 2:0 ✺

15.03.2026 América de Cali - Deportes Tolima 1:1 ✺

11.03.2026 Deportes Tolima - OHiggins 2:0 ✺

04.03.2026 OHiggins - Deportes Tolima 1:0 ✺

01.03.2026 Deportes Tolima - Atlético Nacional 1:0 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Atl. Nacional	12	9	0	3	26:9	17	27
2	Dep. Pasto	12	7	3	2	18:14	4	24
3	Once Caldas	13	6	5	2	24:17	7	23
4	Inter Bogotu00e1	13	5	6	2	17:18	-1	21
5	Millonarios	13	6	2	5	23:14	9	20
6	America De Cali	11	6	2	3	16:8	8	20
7	Deportes Tolima	12	5	5	2	15:9	6	20
8	Bucaramanga	11	4	7	0	16:6	10	19
9	Junior	12	6	1	5	17:18	-1	19
10	Dep. Cali	13	4	4	5	14:12	2	16
11	Aguilas	12	4	4	4	12:12	0	16
12	Llaneros	12	3	6	3	14:13	1	15
13	Santa Fe	12	3	6	3	14:15	-1	15
14	Fortaleza	12	3	5	4	13:18	-5	14
15	Ind. Medellin	12	3	4	5	16:17	-1	13
16	Jaguares de Cordoba	13	3	2	8	11:23	-12	11
17	Alianza	12	2	5	5	7:19	-12	11
18	Chico	12	2	2	8	10:20	-10	8
19	Cucuta	12	1	4	7	16:25	-9	7
20	Pereira	11	0	5	6	10:22	-12	5

Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )