Result
1:4
01/04/2025 at 21:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 11
- Referee: Moncada A. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 2.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (400/449) | 75% (213/284) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 2.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 3.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (400/449) | 75% (213/284) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (33/53) | 30% (18/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (107/137) | 53% (28/53) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (5/39) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.56 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 37 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 3 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.07 | 1.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.93 | 0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Arroyo A. ⚽,
- 17', Molina J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Pimentel J. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
- 46', Aedo A. ↓, Ramirez Raigosa D. A. ↑,
- 46', Castro A. ↓, Miranda L. ↑,
- 49', Trujillo C. 🟨,
- 63', 0 - 2, Arroyo A. ⚽,
- 67', Lencina G. ↓, Parra Osorio A. ↑,
- 67', Perez K. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
- 67', Ampudia J. ↓, Lopez Y. ↑,
- 67', Arango W. ↓, Londono K. ↑,
- 68', 0 - 3, Valencia E. ⚽,
- 77', Molina J. ↓, Colon S. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 3, Arango E. ⚽,
- 85', Nieto J. ↓, Mosquera F. ↑,
- 86', Hurtado Torres Y. D. ↓, Arrieta C. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 4, Mosquera F. ⚽,
- 90+1', Colon S. 🟨,
- 90+4', Hurtado Torres Y. D. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/u55ph7ta
Chances of winning
Boyacá Chicó
23.7% | Draw
34.1% | Deportes Tolima
42.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boyacá Chicó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes Tolima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boyacá Chicó than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (+14%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Tolima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Boyacá Chicó - Deportes Tolima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.93 ↓
(4.49) |
2.77 ↓
(3.4) |
2.22 ↑
(1.83) |
6.7%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Boyacá Chicó - Deportes Tolima?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Boyacá Chicó will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 14 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Boyacá Chicó won 2.
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- Boyacá Chicó could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Deportes Tolima will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 18 head-to-head matches Boyacá Chicó won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 17:26 (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Boyacá Chicó won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Boyacá Chicó won against Deportes Tolima?
Boyacá Chicó has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Boyacá Chicó?
Deportes Tolima has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Boyacá Chicó - Deportes Tolima were as follows:
14.09.2024
Deportes Tolima
-
Boyacá Chicó
2:1
01.03.2024
Boyacá Chicó
-
Deportes Tolima
1:1
29.09.2023
Deportes Tolima
-
Boyacá Chicó
2:0
23.04.2023
Boyacá Chicó
-
Deportes Tolima
2:0
Latest results of Boyacá Chicó
Latest results of Deportes Tolima
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Ind. Medellin | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:8 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Llaneros | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Atl. Nacional | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
| 7 | Pereira | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Envigado | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Dep. Cali | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | La Equidad | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | U. Magdalena | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 7 |
| 14 | Aguilas | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
| 15 | Chico | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 | Alianza | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Dep. Pasto | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 | America De Cali | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 19 | Millonarios | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 4 |
| 20 | Once Caldas | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
