Result
1:1
23/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 13
- Referee: Marquez C. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 1.97 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (186/255) | 81% (319/394) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 1.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 6 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (186/255) | 81% (319/394) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (13/50) | 45% (20/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (45/79) | 72% (86/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/12) | 13% (2/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.13 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 30 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.19 | -0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 29', Salazar S. ↓, Aedo A. ↑,
- 33', Valencia J. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 0, Aedo A. ⚽, Ramirez Raigosa D. A. (A),
- 42', Torres Patino J. P. 🟨,
- 43', Banguero A. 🟨,
- 45+6', Rovira B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Valencia J. ↓, Moreno Y. ↑,
- 46', Mera J. ↓, Pedrozo D. ↑,
- 46', Mosquera J. ↓, Ricardo E. ↑,
- 65', Ricardo E. ↓, Sanchez N. ↑,
- 67', Saldana A. 🟨,
- 78', Martinez Y. 🟥,
- 83', Molina J. ↓, Valencia N. ↑,
- 83', Saldana A. ↓, Montano I. ↑,
- 87', Hernandez J. ↓, Parra Y. A. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 1, Moreno Y. ⚽, Parra Osorio A. (A),
- 90+4', Ramirez Raigosa D. A. ↓, Diaz Montes J. d. J. ↑,
- 90+4', Cabrera Y. ↓, Caicedo O. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/2xnt5hhx
Chances of winning
Boyacá Chicó
23.6% | Draw
29.7% | Deportes Tolima
46.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boyacá Chicó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boyacá Chicó than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Boyacá Chicó - Deportes Tolima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.95 ↑
(3.48) |
3.13 ↑
(3.1) |
2 ↓
(2.17) |
7.2%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Boyacá Chicó - Deportes Tolima?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Boyacá Chicó will win (votes: 2 - 10%). Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 14 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportes Tolima: 49.9% – 90.1%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportes Tolima (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.5 - Boyacá Chicó (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Boyacá Chicó (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Deportes Tolima (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boyacá Chicó won 0.
- Boyacá Chicó has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Deportes Tolima is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Boyacá Chicó may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Deportes Tolima is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boyacá Chicó won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:34. (average 0.9:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Boyacá Chicó won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Boyacá Chicó won against Deportes Tolima?
Boyacá Chicó has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Boyacá Chicó?
Deportes Tolima has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Boyacá Chicó - Deportes Tolima were as follows:
14.09.2025
Deportes Tolima
-
Boyacá Chicó
4:0
01.04.2025
Boyacá Chicó
-
Deportes Tolima
1:4
14.09.2024
Deportes Tolima
-
Boyacá Chicó
2:1
01.03.2024
Boyacá Chicó
-
Deportes Tolima
1:1
29.09.2023
Deportes Tolima
-
Boyacá Chicó
2:0
Latest results of Boyacá Chicó
Latest results of Deportes Tolima
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 33:13 | 20 | 37 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 31 |
| 3 | Junior | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 28 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 24:14 | 10 | 27 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 26:19 | 7 | 26 |
| 6 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 20:21 | -1 | 25 |
| 7 | America De Cali | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 19:12 | 7 | 24 |
| 8 | Dep. Cali | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18:14 | 4 | 23 |
| 9 | Bucaramanga | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 23:14 | 9 | 22 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 26:18 | 8 | 22 |
| 11 | Aguilas | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 21 |
| 13 | Santa Fe | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 19:20 | -1 | 20 |
| 14 | Ind. Medellin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21:22 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21:27 | -6 | 15 |
| 17 | Alianza | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 11:24 | -13 | 15 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 14:28 | -14 | 14 |
| 19 | Chico | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 11:26 | -15 | 11 |
| 20 | Pereira | 16 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 14:29 | -15 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
