Result
1:4
01/04/2025 at 21:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 11
- Referee: Moncada A. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
Mexico | VIX+, ViX Premium |
South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.30 | 2.49 |
Ball Possession |
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62% | 38% |
Total shots |
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13 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
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10 | 1 |
Passes |
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89% (400/449) | 75% (213/284) |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.30 | 2.49 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.36 | 3.07 |
Total shots |
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13 | 8 |
Shots on target |
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3 | 6 |
Shots off target |
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7 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
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5 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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0 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
10 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
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17 | 11 |
Offsides |
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1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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12 | 6 |
Passes |
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89% (400/449) | 75% (213/284) |
Long passes |
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62% (33/53) | 30% (18/60) |
Passes in final third |
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78% (107/137) | 53% (28/53) |
Crosses |
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13% (5/39) | 14% (1/7) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.88 | 0.56 |
Fouls |
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6 | 12 |
Tackles |
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78% (7/9) | 75% (12/16) |
Duels won |
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31 | 37 |
Clearances Total |
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3 | 33 |
Interceptions |
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4 | 2 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
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3.07 | 1.36 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.93 | 0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Arroyo A. ⚽,
- 17', Molina J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Pimentel J. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
- 46', Aedo A. ↓, Ramirez Raigosa D. A. ↑,
- 46', Castro A. ↓, Miranda L. ↑,
- 49', Trujillo C. 🟨,
- 63', 0 - 2, Arroyo A. ⚽,
- 67', Lencina G. ↓, Parra Osorio A. ↑,
- 67', Perez K. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
- 67', Ampudia J. ↓, Lopez Y. ↑,
- 67', Arango W. ↓, Londono K. ↑,
- 68', 0 - 3, Valencia E. ⚽,
- 77', Molina J. ↓, Colon S. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 3, Arango E. ⚽,
- 85', Nieto J. ↓, Mosquera F. ↑,
- 86', Hurtado Torres Y. D. ↓, Arrieta C. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 4, Mosquera F. ⚽,
- 90+1', Colon S. 🟨,
- 90+4', Hurtado Torres Y. D. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/u55ph7ta
Chances of winning
Boyacá Chicó 23.7% | Draw 34.1% | Deportes Tolima 42.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boyacá Chicó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes Tolima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boyacá Chicó than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (+14%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Tolima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Boyacá Chicó - Deportes Tolima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.93 ↓ (4.49) |
2.77 ↓ (3.4) |
2.22 ↑ (1.83) |
6.7% (6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Boyacá Chicó - Deportes Tolima?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Boyacá Chicó will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 14 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Boyacá Chicó won 2.
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- Boyacá Chicó could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Deportes Tolima will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 18 head-to-head matches Boyacá Chicó won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 17:26 (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Boyacá Chicó won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Boyacá Chicó won against Deportes Tolima?
Boyacá Chicó has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Boyacá Chicó?
Deportes Tolima has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Boyacá Chicó - Deportes Tolima were as follows:
14.09.2024
Deportes Tolima
-
Boyacá Chicó
2:1
01.03.2024
Boyacá Chicó
-
Deportes Tolima
1:1
29.09.2023
Deportes Tolima
-
Boyacá Chicó
2:0
23.04.2023
Boyacá Chicó
-
Deportes Tolima
2:0
Latest results of Boyacá Chicó
Latest results of Deportes Tolima
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Junior | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 13 |
2 | Llaneros | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 11 |
3 | Fortaleza | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
4 | Santa Fe | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
5 | Atl. Nacional | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
6 | Ind. Medellin | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
7 | Pereira | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
8 | Deportes Tolima | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
9 | Envigado | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
10 | Chico | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
11 | Alianza | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
12 | La Equidad | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
13 | Dep. Cali | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 5 |
14 | Bucaramanga | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
15 | Dep. Pasto | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
16 | America De Cali | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
17 | U. Magdalena | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 4 |
18 | Aguilas | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
19 | Once Caldas | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 |
20 | Millonarios | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )