Result
2:0
05/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.03 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (238/326) | 83% (329/398) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (238/326) | 83% (329/398) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (23/58) | 42% (25/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (36/76) | 64% (78/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (7/23) | 24% (5/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.70 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 71% (5/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.16 | -0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', Caicedo L. 🟨,
- 21', Salas F. ↓, Palacios B. ↑,
- 29', 1 - 0, Valois Y. ⚽, Espinal F. (A),
- 45', Cabezas V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Cortes K. ↓, Londono K. ↑,
- 46', Camargo E. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
- 46', Preciado P. 🟨,
- 56', Johan Bocanegra ↓, Ramirez Raigosa D. A. ↑,
- 57', Ramirez Raigosa D. A. 🟨,
- 59', 2 - 0, Caicedo J. ⚽,
- 67', Mendez J. ↓, Jaramillo F. ↑,
- 68', Preciado P. ↓, Camacho D. ↑,
- 68', Espinal F. 🟨,
- 72', Valencia J. 🟨,
- 74', Jordan J. ↓, Dieppa A. ↑,
- 78', Bernal J. ↓, Puello S. ↑,
- 84', Valois Y. ↓, Ritacco G. ↑,
- 84', Caicedo J. ↓, Sanchez B. ↑,
- 86', Camacho D. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/5yza44bh
Chances of winning
Deportivo Pasto 43.3% | Draw 33% | Boyacá Chicó 23.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Boyacá Chicó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boyacá Chicó than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Deportivo Pasto - Boyacá Chicó Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.14 ↑ (2.01) |
2.85 ↓ (3.01) |
4.07 ↓ (4.28) |
6.5% (6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Deportivo Pasto - Boyacá Chicó?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Deportivo Pasto will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Boyacá Chicó will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Pasto: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Deportivo Pasto (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 2.
- Deportivo Pasto has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Boyacá Chicó has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Deportivo Pasto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Deportivo Pasto is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 7 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:16. (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Pasto won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:7. (average 1.9:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pasto won against Boyacá Chicó?
Deportivo Pasto has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Boyacá Chicó won against Deportivo Pasto?
Boyacá Chicó has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Pasto - Boyacá Chicó were as follows:
26.07.2025
Boyacá Chicó
-
Deportivo Pasto
2:2
22.03.2025
Boyacá Chicó
-
Deportivo Pasto
0:0
12.02.2025
Deportivo Pasto
-
Boyacá Chicó
3:0
22.09.2024
Boyacá Chicó
-
Deportivo Pasto
1:0
09.03.2024
Deportivo Pasto
-
Boyacá Chicó
2:1
Latest results of Deportivo Pasto
Latest results of Boyacá Chicó
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bucaramanga | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 29:13 | 16 | 34 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 32:21 | 11 | 31 |
| 3 | Junior | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 31:21 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | Ind. Medellin | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 36:27 | 9 | 31 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 23:16 | 7 | 31 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 22:15 | 7 | 29 |
| 7 | Llaneros | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16:16 | 0 | 25 |
| 8 | Aguilas | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 26:23 | 3 | 24 |
| 9 | America De Cali | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 18:16 | 2 | 23 |
| 10 | Alianza | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 23 |
| 11 | Santa Fe | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17:16 | 1 | 22 |
| 12 | Once Caldas | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 19:23 | -4 | 22 |
| 13 | Millonarios | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 21 |
| 14 | Dep. Cali | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 20 |
| 15 | Pereira | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | U. Magdalena | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 20:27 | -7 | 18 |
| 17 | Envigado | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14:20 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 | Chico | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 16 |
| 19 | Dep. Pasto | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 19:27 | -8 | 13 |
| 20 | La Equidad | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 9:26 | -17 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )