Result
1:2
12/11/2025 at 20:20 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (346/408) | 80% (231/289) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (346/408) | 80% (231/289) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (31/54) | 39% (18/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (83/122) | 63% (60/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/12) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.52 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (15/17) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.19 | -0.84 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Castro L. ⚽, Castro Espinosa B. D. (A),
- 19', 1 - 1, Molina J. ⚽, Arango E. (A),
- 23', Arias J. 🟨,
- 30', Castro L. 🟨,
- 35', Victoria Palacios D. S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Victoria Palacios D. S. ↓, Arevalo Chaparro J. N. ↑,
- 49', Molina J. 🟨,
- 51', Arango E. 🟨,
- 53', 1 - 2, Castro Espinosa B. D. ⚽, Banguero D. (A),
- 57', Moreno Paz A. F. 🟨,
- 59', Arias J. 🟨,
- 63', Cortes K. ↓, Johan Bocanegra ↑,
- 73', Castro L. ↓, Navarro S. ↑,
- 80', Hernandez V. 🟨,
- 80', Hernandez V. ↓, Londono K. ↑,
- 81', Valencia N. ↓, Pimentel J. ↑,
- 84', Cuero B. 🟨,
- 88', Ampudia J. ↓, Barrera S. ↑,
- 90', Silva D. ↓, Hurtado J. ↑,
- 90+6', Londono K. 🟥,
- 90+6', Castro L. 🟥,
- 90+9', Banguero D. 🟨,
- 90+11', Johan Bocanegra (Pen),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/4ufrp36v
Chances of winning
Boyacá Chicó
19.4% | Draw
25.6% | Millonarios
55% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boyacá Chicó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Millonarios's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boyacá Chicó than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Boyacá Chicó - Millonarios Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.8 ↑
(4.28) |
3.65 ↑
(3.18) |
1.72 ↓
(1.86) |
6.5%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Boyacá Chicó - Millonarios?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Millonarios will win
(17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Millonarios will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boyacá Chicó won 1.
- Recent form of Boyacá Chicó has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Millonarios has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Boyacá Chicó may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Millonarios is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boyacá Chicó won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 15:39. (average 0.8:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Boyacá Chicó won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:15. (average 0.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Boyacá Chicó won against Millonarios?
Boyacá Chicó has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against Boyacá Chicó?
Millonarios has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Boyacá Chicó - Millonarios were as follows:
25.05.2025
Millonarios
-
Boyacá Chicó
4:2
14.11.2024
Boyacá Chicó
-
Millonarios
1:5
28.04.2024
Millonarios
-
Boyacá Chicó
3:0
25.10.2023
Millonarios
-
Boyacá Chicó
1:1
11.06.2023
Boyacá Chicó
-
Millonarios
2:1
Latest results of Boyacá Chicó
Latest results of Millonarios
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14:12 | 2 | 18 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:10 | 2 | 18 |
| 3 | America De Cali | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:5 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Once Caldas | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Atl. Nacional | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15:5 | 10 | 15 |
| 6 | Junior | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 15 |
| 7 | Deportes Tolima | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 15 |
| 8 | Bucaramanga | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 14 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 10 | Aguilas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 11 |
| 12 | Fortaleza | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Llaneros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 10 |
| 14 | Santa Fe | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 15 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 10 |
| 16 | Ind. Medellin | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Cucuta | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14:19 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 | Pereira | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8:16 | -8 | 4 |
| 19 | Chico | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:16 | -9 | 4 |
| 20 | Alianza | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3:17 | -14 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
