Result
2:1
14/02/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.29 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (176/241) | 86% (366/426) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (176/241) | 86% (366/426) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (26/57) | 59% (35/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (46/72) | 68% (67/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/18) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.32 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 75% (15/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.42 | -0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Contreras R. ⚽, Valencia S. (A),
- 8', Meza F. 🟨,
- 9', Jhon Vasquez 🟨,
- 13', Mantilla D. 🟨,
- 28', Bustos F. 🟨,
- 35', Contreras R. ↓, Vega S. ↑,
- 42', Llinas A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Falcao R. ↓, Hurtado J. ↑,
- 46', Llinas A. ↓, Banguero D. ↑,
- 55', Mantilla D. ↓, Caicedo K. ↑,
- 56', Arias J. 🟨,
- 59', 2 - 0, Castro L. ⚽,
- 67', Benitez B. ↓, Miranda L. ↑,
- 67', Sierra M. ↓, Kelvin Osorio ↑,
- 79', Cortes C. ↓, Blanco J. ↑,
- 79', Medranda J. ↓, Ospina N. ↑,
- 80', Castro L. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 83', Valencia S. ↓, Elizalde E. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 1, Miranda L. ⚽, Ospina N. (A),
- 90', Ortega M. 🟨,
- 90+2', Angulo J. 🟨,
- 90+5', Ramirez J. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mvvh6w22
Chances of winning
Millonarios
63.6% | Draw
24.8% | Llaneros SA
11.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Llaneros SA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llaneros SA than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Millonarios - Llaneros SA Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↓
(1.56) |
3.79 ↑
(3.62) |
8.15 ↑
(6.36) |
6.4%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Millonarios - Llaneros SA?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Llaneros SA (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Llaneros SA (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Millonarios may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Millonarios is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Millonarios won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against Llaneros SA?
Millonarios has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Llaneros SA won against Millonarios?
Llaneros SA has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Millonarios - Llaneros SA were as follows:
28.07.2025
Millonarios
-
Llaneros SA
0:1
11.02.2025
Llaneros SA
-
Millonarios
2:2
Latest results of Millonarios
Latest results of Llaneros SA
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
| 3 | Dep. Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
| 4 | America De Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
| 8 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
| 11 | Ind. Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
| 12 | Aguilas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
| 20 | Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
