Fiorentina vs Braga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League Fiorentina - Braga
Result
3:2
23/02/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS
  • Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)

Chances of winning


Fiorentina
61.8%
Draw
21.9%
Braga
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.8% 27.9% 22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9% 30.2% 20.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fiorentina's performance.
  • Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Braga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fiorentina that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Fiorentina - Braga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.89)
    4.32
    (3.38)
    5.73
    (4.23)
    5.6%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Braga?
  • Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 25 - 61%). Braga will win (votes: 11 - 26.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 12.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 46.1%75.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Fiorentina has currently - 13, has not chance of 1st, was already of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd, was already of knockout phase, has a very good chance of round of 16 (>99%), has a good chance of qtrs (70%), has a chance of semis (47%), has a chance of final (29%), has a chance of win league (17%).
    • Braga has currently - , has not chance of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd, was already of knockout phase, has a very small chance of round of 16 (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has quality 67, very big importance 100, big match rating 83. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Recent matches Fiorentina is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Braga is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Braga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Braga have a series of home games.
    • In this match Fiorentina is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Venuti L. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Braga: Tormena (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Braga: Gorby (Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Braga were as follows:
    16.02.2023 Braga - Fiorentina 0:4
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    19.02.2023 Fiorentina - Empoli 1:1
    16.02.2023 Braga - Fiorentina 0:4
    12.02.2023 Juventus - Fiorentina 1:0
    05.02.2023 Fiorentina - Bologna 1:2
    01.02.2023 Fiorentina - Torino 2:1
    Latest results of Braga
    19.02.2023 Braga - Arouca 2:0
    16.02.2023 Braga - Fiorentina 0:4
    12.02.2023 Marítimo - Braga 1:2
    09.02.2023 Braga - Benfica 2:1
    05.02.2023 Braga - Famalicão 4:1
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zrinjski11005:053
    2AEK Larnaca11004:043
    3Sparta Prague11004:133
    4Lech Poznan11004:133
    5Lausanne11003:033
    6Celje11003:123
    7Crystal Palace11002:023
    8Rayo Vallecano11002:023
    9Fiorentina11002:023
    10Rakow11002:023
    11Shakhtar Donetsk11003:213
    12Strasbourg11002:113
    13Mainz11001:013
    14Samsunspor11001:013
    15Jagiellonia11001:013
    16Noah11001:013
    17Drita10101:101
    18KuPS10101:101
    19Hacken10100:001
    20Shelbourne10100:001
    21Aberdeen10012:3-10
    22Slovan Bratislava10011:2-10
    23Rijeka10010:1-10
    24Omonia10010:1-10
    25Legia10010:1-10
    26Hamrun10010:1-10
    27AEK Athens FC10011:3-20
    28Sigma Olomouc10010:2-20
    29Dyn. Kyiv10010:2-20
    30Shkendija10010:2-20
    31Univ. Craiova10010:2-20
    32SK Rapid10011:4-30
    33Shamrock Rovers10011:4-30
    34Breidablik10010:3-30
    35AZ Alkmaar10010:4-40
    36Lincoln Red Imps10010:5-50

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