Result
3:2
23/02/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS
- Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
Chances of winning
Fiorentina
61.8% | Draw
21.9% | Braga
16.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fiorentina's performance.Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Braga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fiorentina that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Fiorentina - Braga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↓
(1.89) |
4.34 ↑
(3.38) |
5.78 ↑
(4.23) |
5.3%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Braga?
Users Predictions:
41 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 25 - 61%). Braga will win (votes: 11 - 26.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 12.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 46.1% – 75.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Fiorentina has currently - 13, has not chance of 1st, was already of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd, was already of knockout phase, has a very good chance of round of 16 (>99%), has a good chance of qtrs (70%), has a chance of semis (47%), has a chance of final (29%), has a chance of win league (17%).
- Braga has currently - , has not chance of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd, was already of knockout phase, has a very small chance of round of 16 (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has quality 67, very big importance 100, big match rating 83. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Recent matches Fiorentina is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Braga is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Braga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Braga have a series of home games.
- In this match Fiorentina is a favorite.
- There will not play in Fiorentina: Venuti L.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Braga: Tormena
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Braga: Gorby
(Injury)
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Braga?
Fiorentina has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Braga won against Fiorentina?
Braga has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Braga were as follows:
16.02.2023
Braga
-
Fiorentina
0:4
Latest results of Fiorentina
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | 2 : 1, 1 : 3 |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | 4 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | 2 : 1, 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | 1 : 0, 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | 2 : 0, 0 : 4 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | 1 : 1, 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | |
| 2 | Crystal Palace (10) | Fiorentina (15) | |
| 3 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | AEK Athens (3) | |
| 4 | Mainz (7) | Strasbourg (1) | |
Semi-finalsFinal
