Fiorentina vs Braga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
23/02/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS
  • Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)

Chances of winning


Fiorentina
61.8%
Draw
21.9%
Braga
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.8% 27.9% 22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9% 30.2% 20.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fiorentina's performance.
  • Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Braga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fiorentina that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Fiorentina - Braga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.89)
    4.34
    (3.38)
    5.78
    (4.23)
    5.3%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Braga?
  • Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 25 - 61%). Braga will win (votes: 11 - 26.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 12.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 46.1%75.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Fiorentina has currently - 13, has not chance of 1st, was already of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd, was already of knockout phase, has a very good chance of round of 16 (>99%), has a good chance of qtrs (70%), has a chance of semis (47%), has a chance of final (29%), has a chance of win league (17%).
    • Braga has currently - , has not chance of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd, was already of knockout phase, has a very small chance of round of 16 (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has quality 67, very big importance 100, big match rating 83. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Recent matches Fiorentina is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Braga is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Braga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Braga have a series of home games.
    • In this match Fiorentina is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Venuti L. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Braga: Tormena (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Braga: Gorby (Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Braga were as follows:
    16.02.2023 Braga - Fiorentina 0:4
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    19.02.2023 Fiorentina - Empoli 1:1
    16.02.2023 Braga - Fiorentina 0:4
    12.02.2023 Juventus - Fiorentina 1:0
    05.02.2023 Fiorentina - Bologna 1:2
    01.02.2023 Fiorentina - Torino 2:1
    Latest results of Braga
    19.02.2023 Braga - Arouca 2:0
    16.02.2023 Braga - Fiorentina 0:4
    12.02.2023 Marítimo - Braga 1:2
    09.02.2023 Braga - Benfica 2:1
    05.02.2023 Braga - Famalicão 4:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2