Sporting Lisbon vs Braga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal Sporting Lisbon - Braga
05/10/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Sporting Lisbon
65%
Draw
20.6%
Braga
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.5% 21.9% 16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9% 21.1% 16%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Sporting Lisbon - Braga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.52)
    4.61
    (4.27)
    6.44
    (5.65)
    6.2%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Sporting Lisbon - Braga?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sporting Lisbon will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 2.
    • Sporting is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Braga has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Sporting may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Sporting is the undisputed favorite.
    • We predict that Sporting will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 41:18. (average 2.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sporting won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 27:5. (average 2.7:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Lisbon - Braga were as follows:
    07.04.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Braga 1:1
    10.11.2024 Braga - Sporting Lisbon 2:4
    11.02.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Braga 5:0
    23.01.2024 Braga - Sporting Lisbon 1:0
    03.09.2023 Braga - Sporting Lisbon 1:1
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    Latest results of Braga
    02.10.2025 Celtic - Braga 0:2
    28.09.2025 Braga - Nacional 0:1
    24.09.2025 Braga - Feyenoord 1:0
    20.09.2025 Vitoria Guimarães - Braga 1:1
    14.09.2025 Braga - Gil Vicente 0:1
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto770019:11821
    2Sporting CP760119:41518
    3Benfica752013:4917
    4Gil Vicente851210:4616
    5Moreirense850312:11115
    6Famalicao73317:3412
    7Nacional83149:12-310
    8Braga723211:749
    9Santa Clara72235:8-38
    10Vitoria Guimaraes72237:11-48
    11Casa Pia82248:13-58
    12Arouca72239:18-98
    13Estrela81436:8-27
    14Alverca72148:11-37
    15Estoril813410:13-36
    16Rio Ave70528:13-55
    17Tondela71244:11-75
    18AFS70164:17-131

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2