Sporting Lisbon vs Braga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal Sporting Lisbon - Braga
Result
1:1
07/04/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 28
  • Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaRTP Africa, RTP Africa, RTP Africa, Sport TV Africa, ZAP
austriaAustriaDAZN
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 1
hungaryHungarySport 1
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalRTPi, RTP International, Sport TV1
romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
russiaRussiaTV Start
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid VIP
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldDisney+, Triller TV+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.260.64
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
40
Passes
83% (345/418)84% (376/448)
Yellow Cards
35
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.260.64
xG on target (xGOT)
1.401.30
Total shots
159
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
83
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
40
Touches in opposition box
177
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
2111
Passes
83% (345/418)84% (376/448)
Long passes
35% (13/37)41% (23/56)
Passes in final third
63% (50/80)65% (68/104)
Crosses
27% (3/11)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.410.43
Fouls
1121
Tackles
35% (6/17)67% (12/18)
Duels won
6544
Clearances Total
1323
Interceptions
812
Errors leading to shot
22
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
26
xGOT faced
1.301.40
Goals prevented
0.300.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', Oliveira P. 🟨,
  • 15', 1 - 0, Gyokeres V. ,
  • 30', Moutinho J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Oliveira P. , Niakate S. ,
  • 61', Robson Bambu 🟨,
  • 64', Inacio G. 🟨,
  • 65', Niakate S. 🟨,
  • 72', Racic U. , Gharbi I. ,
  • 72', Robson Bambu , Ferreira J. ,
  • 73', Catamo G. , Araujo M. ,
  • 73', Debast Z. , Felicissimo E. ,
  • 81', Martinez G. , Furtado R. ,
  • 83', El Ouazzani A. , Patrao A. ,
  • 85', Hjulmand M. 🟨,
  • 87', 1 - 1, Patrao A. , Zalazar R. (A),
  • 90', Matheus Reis , Harder C. ,
  • 90+5', St. Juste J. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Moutinho J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sporting Lisbon
67.3%
Draw
20.1%
Braga
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.5% 21.9% 16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2% 21.3% 16.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting Lisbon's performance.
  • Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Sporting Lisbon - Braga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.54)
    4.71
    (4.32)
    7.41
    (5.67)
    6.3%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

  • Watch this match and Liga Portugal with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : RTPi Radio Portuguesa Int'l
  • What is the prediction for Sporting Lisbon - Braga?
  • Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 40 - 85.1%). Braga will win (votes: 6 - 12.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 2.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 74.9%95.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sporting (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Sporting won 3.
    • Sporting in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches Braga is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Sporting could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Sporting is the unquestionable favorite.
    • There will not play in Sporting: Braganca D. (Knee Injury) Goncalves P. (Muscle Injury) Matheus Reis (Yellow Cards) Morita H. (Muscle Injury) Santos N. (Knee Injury) Simoes J. (Broken Leg)
    • There will not play in Braga: Fernandes R. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Braga: Navarro F. (Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Sporting to win the game is with odds 1.37.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Sporting won 12 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 40:18 (average 2:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sporting won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 26:4 (average 2.9:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Lisbon - Braga were as follows:
    10.11.2024 Braga - Sporting Lisbon 2:4
    11.02.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Braga 5:0
    23.01.2024 Braga - Sporting Lisbon 1:0
    03.09.2023 Braga - Sporting Lisbon 1:1
    01.02.2023 Sporting Lisbon - Braga 5:0
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    Latest results of Braga
    29.03.2025 Braga - Arouca 2:1
    15.03.2025 Farense - Braga 0:1
    08.03.2025 Braga - Porto 1:0
    02.03.2025 Rio Ave - Braga 2:1
    26.02.2025 Benfica - Braga 1:0
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estrela00000:000
    2Vitoria Guimaraes00000:000
    3Estoril00000:000
    4Gil Vicente00000:000
    5Rio Ave00000:000
    6Santa Clara00000:000
    7Moreirense00000:000
    8FC Porto00000:000
    9Sporting CP00000:000
    10Benfica00000:000
    11Braga00000:000
    12Nacional00000:000
    13Arouca00000:000
    14Casa Pia00000:000
    15Tondela00000:000
    16Alverca00000:000
    17Famalicao00000:000
    18AFS00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2