Result
2:2
07/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 25
- Referee: Nogueira M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Albania | Tring Sport 3 |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 4 |
 Hungary | Sport 2 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 3 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1, Sport TV2 |
 Russia | TV Start, TV Start Triumph |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3, Arena Sport 2 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3 |
 Uruguay | Antel TV |
 Usa | Fubo Latino |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.93 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (596/659) | 84% (288/344) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 1.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (596/659) | 84% (288/344) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (22/38) | 49% (20/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (153/186) | 69% (52/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 50% (4/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.74 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.99 | 1.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.01 | -0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 22', 0 - 1, Inacio G. ⚽, Goncalves P. (A),
- 34', 1 - 1, Horta R. ⚽, Zalazar R. (A),
- 38', Morita H. 🟨,
- 41', Oliveira P. 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 2, Suarez L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Oliveira P. ↓, Gabriel Moscardo ↑,
- 58', Diomande O. 🟨,
- 61', Lagerbielke G. 🟨,
- 63', Gabriel Moscardo 🟨,
- 68', Rodrigues D. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
- 69', Moutinho J. ↓, Gorby ↑,
- 69', Araujo M. 🟨,
- 73', Goncalves P. ↓, Luis Guilherme ↑,
- 73', Morita H. ↓, Simoes J. ↑,
- 78', Victor P. ↓, Navarro F. ↑,
- 81', Catamo G. ↓, Quaresma E. ↑,
- 88', Gomez V. ↓, Dorgeles M. ↑,
- 90+6', 2 - 2, Zalazar R. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Braga
25.8% | Draw
27.3% | Sporting Lisbon
46.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Braga - Sporting Lisbon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.65 ↑
(3.37) |
3.47 ↓
(3.52) |
2.02 ↓
(2.09) |
5.6%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Braga - Sporting Lisbon?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Braga will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). Sporting will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 64.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sporting Lisbon will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Braga won 1.
- Braga is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Sporting is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Sporting may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Sporting will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Braga: El Ouazzani A.
(Foot Injury)
Niakate S.
(Muscle Injury)
Vitor Carvalho
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Sporting: Debast Z.
(Injury)
Quenda G.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Braga: Barisic A.
(Injury)
Gorby
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Sporting: Ioannidis F.
(Inactive)
Kochorashvili G.
(Inactive)
Mangas R.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Braga won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 18:42. (average 0.9:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Braga won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.3:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Braga won against Sporting Lisbon?
Braga has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Lisbon won against Braga?
Sporting Lisbon has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Braga - Sporting Lisbon were as follows:
05.10.2025
Sporting Lisbon
-
Braga
1:1
07.04.2025
Sporting Lisbon
-
Braga
1:1
10.11.2024
Braga
-
Sporting Lisbon
2:4
11.02.2024
Sporting Lisbon
-
Braga
5:0
23.01.2024
Braga
-
Sporting Lisbon
1:0
Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 54:11 | 43 | 72 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 68:15 | 53 | 65 |
| 3 | Benfica | 27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 58:17 | 41 | 65 |
| 4 | Braga | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 53:27 | 26 | 46 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 33:22 | 11 | 45 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 39:28 | 11 | 42 |
| 7 | Estoril | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 48:44 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 31:39 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 29:42 | -13 | 32 |
| 10 | Rio Ave | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28:46 | -18 | 30 |
| 11 | Alverca | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Arouca | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 34:55 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 24:31 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 | Estrela | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26:48 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 | Nacional | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 29:39 | -10 | 22 |
| 17 | Tondela | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 19:39 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 | AFS | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 18:58 | -40 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
