Sporting Lisbon vs Braga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal Sporting Lisbon - Braga
Result
1:1
05/10/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 8
  • Referee: Pereira C. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
brazilBrazilESPN 4
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
denmarkDenmarkSport Live
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL 2, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 7
hungaryHungarySport 2
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
kuwaitKuwaitKTV Sport
lithuaniaLithuaniaSport 1
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayVG+
portugalPortugalSport TV2
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3, Arena Sport 4
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTriller TV+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.751.51
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
15
Passes
80% (345/429)87% (472/542)
Yellow Cards
45
Expected Goals (xG)
1.751.51
xG on target (xGOT)
1.371.85
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
106
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
15
Touches in opposition box
2622
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1219
Passes
80% (345/429)87% (472/542)
Long passes
47% (28/59)41% (17/41)
Passes in final third
67% (45/67)71% (89/125)
Crosses
50% (5/10)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.800.79
Throw-ins
1620
Fouls
1912
Tackles
65% (11/17)60% (9/15)
Duels won
5052
Clearances
1013
Interceptions
1211
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.851.37
Goals prevented
0.850.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Suarez L. ,
  • 39', Goncalves P. 🟨,
  • 45', Suarez L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Victor P. , Navarro F. ,
  • 54', Moutinho J. , Gorby ,
  • 64', Trincao , Alisson Santos ,
  • 64', Morita H. , Kochorashvili G. ,
  • 73', Suarez L. , Ioannidis F. ,
  • 73', Gomez V. , Martinez G. ,
  • 73', Niakate S. , Arrey-Mbi B. ,
  • 75', Vitor Carvalho 🟨,
  • 76', Navarro F. 🟨,
  • 77', Zalazar R. 🟨,
  • 80', Debast Z. 🟨,
  • 83', Lelo L. , Vidigal S. ,
  • 90', Vagiannidis G. , Fresneda I. ,
  • 90', Quenda G. , Catamo G. ,
  • 90+3', Martinez G. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Hjulmand M. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 1 - 1, Zalazar R. (Pen),
  • 90+11', Grillitsch F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Sporting Lisbon
67.4%
Draw
19.7%
Braga
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.5% 21.9% 16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9% 21.1% 16%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting Lisbon's performance.
  • Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Sporting Lisbon - Braga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.52)
    4.94
    (4.27)
    7.57
    (5.65)
    4%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Sporting Lisbon - Braga?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 19 - 95%). Braga will win (votes: 1 - 5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 85.4%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sporting Lisbon will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 2.
    • Sporting is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Braga has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Braga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Sporting is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Sporting: Braganca D. (Knee Injury) Santos N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Braga: Dorgeles M. (Inactive) Gabriel Moscardo (Inactive) Noro J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Oliveira P. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Sporting: Quaresma E. (Injury)
    • We predict that Sporting will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 41:18. (average 2.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sporting won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 27:5. (average 2.7:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Lisbon - Braga were as follows:
    07.04.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Braga 1:1
    10.11.2024 Braga - Sporting Lisbon 2:4
    11.02.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Braga 5:0
    23.01.2024 Braga - Sporting Lisbon 1:0
    03.09.2023 Braga - Sporting Lisbon 1:1
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    Latest results of Braga
    02.10.2025 Celtic - Braga 0:2
    28.09.2025 Braga - Nacional 0:1
    24.09.2025 Braga - Feyenoord 1:0
    20.09.2025 Vitoria Guimarães - Braga 1:1
    14.09.2025 Braga - Gil Vicente 0:1
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto871019:11822
    2Benfica963018:41421
    3Sporting CP861120:51519
    4Gil Vicente961214:41019
    5Moreirense850312:11115
    6Famalicao83418:4413
    7Rio Ave925213:14-111
    8Santa Clara93248:10-211
    9Vitoria Guimaraes83239:12-311
    10Braga824212:8410
    11Nacional83149:12-310
    12Alverca931511:16-510
    13Arouca923410:24-149
    14Casa Pia82248:13-58
    15Estrela91447:10-37
    16Estoril813410:13-36
    17Tondela81254:14-105
    18AFS90185:22-171

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2