Result
07/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Braga
27.6% | Draw
27.2% | Sporting Lisbon
45.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)The chances for Sporting Lisbon have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Braga - Sporting Lisbon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.41 ↑
(3.37) |
3.47 ↓
(3.52) |
2.09
(2.09) |
6%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Braga - Sporting Lisbon?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Braga won 1.
- Braga is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Sporting is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Sporting may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Sporting could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Braga won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 18:42. (average 0.9:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Braga won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.3:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Braga won against Sporting Lisbon?
Braga has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Lisbon won against Braga?
Sporting Lisbon has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Braga - Sporting Lisbon were as follows:
05.10.2025
Sporting Lisbon
-
Braga
1:1
07.04.2025
Sporting Lisbon
-
Braga
1:1
10.11.2024
Braga
-
Sporting Lisbon
2:4
11.02.2024
Sporting Lisbon
-
Braga
5:0
23.01.2024
Braga
-
Sporting Lisbon
1:0
Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 47:8 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 62:12 | 50 | 61 |
| 3 | Benfica | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 51:14 | 37 | 58 |
| 4 | Braga | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 50:23 | 27 | 45 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:23 | 12 | 40 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29:21 | 8 | 36 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 34 |
| 8 | Estoril | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 33 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Alverca | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 24:39 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 | Arouca | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32:52 | -20 | 26 |
| 12 | Estrela | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 26:44 | -18 | 23 |
| 14 | Nacional | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23:44 | -21 | 21 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:31 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 | Tondela | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 19:38 | -19 | 19 |
| 18 | AFS | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 18:57 | -39 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
