Result
1:1
07/04/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 28
- Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | RTP Africa, RTP Africa, RTP Africa, Sport TV Africa, ZAP |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 2 |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
 Hungary | Sport 1 |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 3 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
 Portugal | RTPi, RTP International, Sport TV1 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 2 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Disney+, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.64 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (345/418) | 84% (376/448) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (345/418) | 84% (376/448) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (13/37) | 41% (23/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (50/80) | 65% (68/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.43 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 44 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 13 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', Oliveira P. 🟨,
- 15', 1 - 0, Gyokeres V. ⚽,
- 30', Moutinho J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Oliveira P. ↓, Niakate S. ↑,
- 61', Robson Bambu 🟨,
- 64', Inacio G. 🟨,
- 65', Niakate S. 🟨,
- 72', Racic U. ↓, Gharbi I. ↑,
- 72', Robson Bambu ↓, Ferreira J. ↑,
- 73', Catamo G. ↓, Araujo M. ↑,
- 73', Debast Z. ↓, Felicissimo E. ↑,
- 81', Martinez G. ↓, Furtado R. ↑,
- 83', El Ouazzani A. ↓, Patrao A. ↑,
- 85', Hjulmand M. 🟨,
- 87', 1 - 1, Patrao A. ⚽, Zalazar R. (A),
- 90', Matheus Reis ↓, Harder C. ↑,
- 90+5', St. Juste J. 🟨,
- 90+5', Moutinho J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sporting Lisbon
67.3% | Draw
20.1% | Braga
12.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting Lisbon's performance.Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Sporting Lisbon - Braga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↓
(1.54) |
4.71 ↑
(4.32) |
7.41 ↑
(5.67) |
6.3%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Watch this match and Liga Portugal with fubo (for US customers) Network on : RTPi Radio Portuguesa Int'l
What is the prediction for Sporting Lisbon - Braga?
Users Predictions:
47 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 40 - 85.1%). Braga will win (votes: 6 - 12.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 2.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 74.9% – 95.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sporting (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Sporting won 3.
- Sporting in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Recent matches Braga is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Sporting could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Sporting is the unquestionable favorite.
- There will not play in Sporting: Braganca D.
(Knee Injury)
Goncalves P.
(Muscle Injury)
Matheus Reis
(Yellow Cards)
Morita H.
(Muscle Injury)
Santos N.
(Knee Injury)
Simoes J.
(Broken Leg)
- There will not play in Braga: Fernandes R.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Braga: Navarro F.
(Injury)
- Our prediction for today's Sporting to win the game is with odds 1.37.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Sporting won 12 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 40:18 (average 2:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Sporting won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 26:4 (average 2.9:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Lisbon won against Braga?
Sporting Lisbon has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Braga won against Sporting Lisbon?
Braga has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Lisbon - Braga were as follows:
10.11.2024
Braga
-
Sporting Lisbon
2:4
11.02.2024
Sporting Lisbon
-
Braga
5:0
23.01.2024
Braga
-
Sporting Lisbon
1:0
03.09.2023
Braga
-
Sporting Lisbon
1:1
01.02.2023
Sporting Lisbon
-
Braga
5:0
Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting CP | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 11 | 9 |
| 2 | Moreirense | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Braga | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 6 |
| 4 | FC Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Benfica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Arouca | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:10 | -4 | 4 |
| 8 | Gil Vicente | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Casa Pia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Nacional | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
| 15 | Santa Clara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Alverca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | AFS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Tondela | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
