Result
1:1
05/10/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 8
- Referee: Pereira C. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Albania | Tring Sport 2 |
 Brazil | ESPN 4 |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Denmark | Sport Live |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 7 |
 Hungary | Sport 2 |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Kuwait | KTV Sport |
 Lithuania | Sport 1 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 4 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3, Arena Sport 4 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 1.51 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (345/429) | 87% (472/542) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 1.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (345/429) | 87% (472/542) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (28/59) | 41% (17/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (45/67) | 71% (89/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.79 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.85 | 1.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', 1 - 0, Suarez L. ⚽,
- 39', Goncalves P. 🟨,
- 45', Suarez L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Victor P. ↓, Navarro F. ↑,
- 54', Moutinho J. ↓, Gorby ↑,
- 64', Trincao ↓, Alisson Santos ↑,
- 64', Morita H. ↓, Kochorashvili G. ↑,
- 73', Suarez L. ↓, Ioannidis F. ↑,
- 73', Gomez V. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
- 73', Niakate S. ↓, Arrey-Mbi B. ↑,
- 75', Vitor Carvalho 🟨,
- 76', Navarro F. 🟨,
- 77', Zalazar R. 🟨,
- 80', Debast Z. 🟨,
- 83', Lelo L. ↓, Vidigal S. ↑,
- 90', Vagiannidis G. ↓, Fresneda I. ↑,
- 90', Quenda G. ↓, Catamo G. ↑,
- 90+3', Martinez G. 🟨,
- 90+6', Hjulmand M. 🟨,
- 90+7', 1 - 1, Zalazar R. (Pen),
- 90+11', Grillitsch F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sporting Lisbon
67.4% | Draw
19.7% | Braga
12.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting Lisbon's performance.Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Sporting Lisbon - Braga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↓
(1.52) |
4.94 ↑
(4.27) |
7.57 ↑
(5.65) |
4%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sporting Lisbon - Braga?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 19 - 95%). Braga will win (votes: 1 - 5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 85.4% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sporting Lisbon will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 2.
- Sporting is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Braga has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Braga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Sporting is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Sporting: Braganca D.
(Knee Injury)
Santos N.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Braga: Dorgeles M.
(Inactive)
Gabriel Moscardo
(Inactive)
Noro J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Oliveira P.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Sporting: Quaresma E.
(Injury)
- We predict that Sporting will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 41:18. (average 2.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sporting won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 27:5. (average 2.7:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Lisbon won against Braga?
Sporting Lisbon has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Braga won against Sporting Lisbon?
Braga has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Lisbon - Braga were as follows:
07.04.2025
Sporting Lisbon
-
Braga
1:1
10.11.2024
Braga
-
Sporting Lisbon
2:4
11.02.2024
Sporting Lisbon
-
Braga
5:0
23.01.2024
Braga
-
Sporting Lisbon
1:0
03.09.2023
Braga
-
Sporting Lisbon
1:1
Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 22 |
| 2 | Benfica | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 18:4 | 14 | 21 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20:5 | 15 | 19 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:4 | 10 | 19 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Rio Ave | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13:14 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 | Santa Clara | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 | Braga | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 10 |
| 11 | Nacional | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 | Arouca | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:24 | -14 | 9 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Estrela | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 | Estoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Tondela | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:14 | -10 | 5 |
| 18 | AFS | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5:22 | -17 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
