Result
2:1
14/02/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 22
- Referee: Pereira C. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 10 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 5 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 6 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Uruguay | Antel TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.67 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (336/412) | 80% (330/414) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (336/412) | 80% (330/414) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (39/69) | 27% (13/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (74/102) | 67% (75/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (3/23) | 28% (5/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.47 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 53% (10/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.47 | -0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, Horta R. ⚽, Gomez V. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Carlos Eduardo ↓, Varela G. ↑,
- 58', Esteves L. 🟨,
- 61', Ze Carlos ↓, Hevertton S. ↑,
- 61', Fernandes J. ↓, Moreira A. ↑,
- 64', Grillitsch F. ↓, Rodrigues D. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 1, Varela G. ⚽, Garcia S. (A),
- 73', Victor P. ↓, Tiknaz D. E. ↑,
- 73', Barisic A. ↓, Oliveira P. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 1, Garcia S. ⚽, Murilo de Souza (A),
- 80', Arrey-Mbi B. ↓, Lelo L. ↑,
- 80', Moutinho J. ↓, Navarro F. ↑,
- 86', Esteves L. ↓, Espigares A. ↑,
- 89', Murilo de Souza ↓, Bermejo ↑,
- 90+2', Elimbi M. 🟨,
- 90+6', Rodrigues D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gil Vicente
26.3% | Draw
30.1% | Braga
43.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gil Vicente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Gil Vicente - Braga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.61 ↑
(3.49) |
3.12 ↓
(3.36) |
2.18 ↑
(2.08) |
5.7%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Gil Vicente - Braga?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Gil Vicente will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Braga will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Braga: 50.6% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Braga (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gil Vicente won 1.
- Gil Vicente is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Braga is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Braga could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Gil Vicente: Mutombo J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Braga: El Ouazzani A.
(Foot Injury)
Gorby
(Muscle Injury)
Niakate S.
(Muscle Injury)
Vitor Carvalho
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gil Vicente won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 15:29. (average 0.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gil Vicente won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 0.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Gil Vicente won against Braga?
Gil Vicente has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Braga won against Gil Vicente?
Braga has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gil Vicente - Braga were as follows:
14.09.2025
Braga
-
Gil Vicente
0:1
09.02.2025
Braga
-
Gil Vicente
2:0
01.09.2024
Gil Vicente
-
Braga
0:0
16.03.2024
Braga
-
Gil Vicente
2:1
28.10.2023
Gil Vicente
-
Braga
3:3
Latest results of Gil Vicente
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto ✔ | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 64:15 | 49 | 85 |
| 2 | Benfica | 32 | 22 | 10 | 0 | 69:22 | 47 | 76 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 77:22 | 55 | 73 |
| 4 | Braga | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 59:31 | 28 | 56 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 49 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 38:43 | -5 | 42 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 42 |
| 9 | Alverca | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | -16 | 38 |
| 10 | Estoril | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 51:52 | -1 | 37 |
| 11 | Arouca | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 41:62 | -21 | 36 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 33:52 | -19 | 34 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 30:40 | -10 | 33 |
| 14 | Nacional | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 35:43 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | Estrela | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 36:54 | -18 | 28 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 29:55 | -26 | 26 |
| 17 | Tondela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 23:52 | -29 | 22 |
| 18 | AFS ✔ | 32 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 24:66 | -42 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
FC Porto is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
AFS is Relegated to Liga Portugal 2
