Result
2:1
10/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Cup - Final
- Referee: Malheiro H. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | beIN Connect, Triller TV+ |
 Denmark | Bold+, Triller TV+ |
 Finland | Triller TV+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 New-zealand | Triller TV+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Usa | Triller TV+ |
 World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 2.50 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (277/354) | 84% (429/513) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 2.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 2.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (277/354) | 84% (429/513) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 23% (10/43) | 20% (8/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (38/62) | 77% (123/160) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 29% (6/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.97 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.09 | 2.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', Mendes J. II. 🟨,
- 17', 0 - 1, Dorgeles M. ⚽,
- 35', Grillitsch F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 54', Arcanjo T. ↓, Camara O. ↑,
- 54', Sousa D. ↓, Samu ↑,
- 59', 1 - 1, Samu (Penalty Awarded),
- 60', Grillitsch F. ↓, Gorby ↑,
- 74', Victor P. ↓, Navarro F. ↑,
- 74', Dorgeles M. ↓, Rodrigues D. ↑,
- 77', Saviolo N. ↓, Gustavo ↑,
- 77', Oliveira N. ↓, Ndoye A. ↑,
- 82', Beni ↓, Mitrovic M. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 1, Ndoye A. ⚽, Samu (A),
- 87', Vitor Carvalho ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
- 88', Mitrovic M. 🟨,
- 90+7', Mendes J. II. 🟨,
- 90+11', Zalazar R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+12', Oliveira N. 🟥,
- 90+14', Gomez V. 🟨,
- 90+15', Abascal R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vitoria Guimarães
17.5% | Draw
26.3% | Braga
56.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Vitoria Guimarães - Braga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.4 ↑
(4.15) |
3.59 ↑
(3.28) |
1.68 ↓
(1.93) |
6%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vitoria Guimarães - Braga?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Guimarães will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Braga will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Braga: 46.4% – 99%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Guimarães (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Braga (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Neutral location - Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guimarães won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Guimarães may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Braga has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Braga is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guimarães won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 19:32. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guimarães won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.9:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães won against Braga?
Vitoria Guimarães has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Braga won against Vitoria Guimarães?
Braga has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitoria Guimarães - Braga were as follows:
20.09.2025
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Braga
1:1
16.02.2025
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Braga
0:0
31.10.2024
Braga
-
Vitoria Guimarães
2:1
15.09.2024
Braga
-
Vitoria Guimarães
0:2
11.05.2024
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Braga
2:3
Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
Draw
2025/26Quarter-finals| 1 | Sporting CP | Alverca | 5 : 1 |
| 2 | FC Porto | Vitoria Guimaraes | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Benfica | Tondela | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Braga | Santa Clara | 5 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sporting CP | Vitoria Guimaraes | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Benfica | Braga | 1 : 3 |
Final| 1 | Vitoria Guimaraes | Braga | 2 : 1 |
