Result
1:1
20/09/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 6
- Referee: Nobre A. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 9 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (256/337) | 86% (480/556) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (256/337) | 86% (480/556) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (30/60) | 39% (21/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (39/65) | 78% (149/192) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 28% (7/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.91 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 27', 0 - 1, Navarro F. ⚽,
- 32', 1 - 1, Mitrovic M. ⚽, Gustavo (A),
- 45+4', Martinez G. 🟨,
- 45+6', Oliveira N. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 48', Mendes J. II. 🟨,
- 50', Pinto L. 🟨,
- 54', Gustavo 🟨,
- 61', Arcanjo T. ↓, Blanco F. ↑,
- 61', Nogueira M. ↓, Samu ↑,
- 65', Gustavo ↓, Saviolo N. ↑,
- 68', Navarro F. ↓, El Ouazzani A. ↑,
- 72', Zalazar R. 🟨,
- 79', Horta R. ↓, Victor P. ↑,
- 79', Gorby ↓, Gabriel Moscardo ↑,
- 81', Mitrovic M. ↓, Sousa D. ↑,
- 81', Oliveira N. ↓, Ndoye A. ↑,
- 87', Lagerbielke G. 🟨,
- 88', Martinez G. ↓, Rodrigues D. ↑,
- 90+4', Pinto L. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Vitoria Guimarães
25.9% | Draw
28.7% | Braga
45.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Vitoria Guimarães - Braga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.67 ↑
(3.4) |
3.28 ↓
(3.46) |
2.11 ↓
(2.13) |
5.3%
(5.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vitoria Guimarães - Braga?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Braga (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Braga will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guimarães won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Braga will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Guimarães: Samu
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Braga: Lagerbielke G.
(Inactive)
Noro J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Vidigal S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Braga: Dorgeles M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guimarães won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 18:32. (average 0.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guimarães won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.8:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães won against Braga?
Vitoria Guimarães has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Braga won against Vitoria Guimarães?
Braga has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitoria Guimarães - Braga were as follows:
16.02.2025
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Braga
0:0
31.10.2024
Braga
-
Vitoria Guimarães
2:1
15.09.2024
Braga
-
Vitoria Guimarães
0:2
11.05.2024
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Braga
2:3
06.01.2024
Braga
-
Vitoria Guimarães
1:1
Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15:1 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 17 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 18:4 | 14 | 15 |
| 4 | Moreirense | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 15 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | Braga | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 9 |
| 8 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 | Santa Clara | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 8 |
| 10 | Arouca | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:14 | -5 | 8 |
| 11 | Estrela | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 7 |
| 13 | Estoril | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Tondela | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 | Nacional | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Alverca | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 | Rio Ave | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8:13 | -5 | 4 |
| 18 | AFS | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4:17 | -13 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
