Burnley vs Brentford – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Turf Moor (Burnley).

Premier League - Round 28
Referee: Barrott S. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, Supersport Action
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Bangladesh	Toffee Live
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 5 DRM, FuboTV
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 8, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	Viaplay
France	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 9
Germany	Sky Go Germany
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 3
Iceland	SÝN Sport 4
India	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport MIX
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 3, Canal+ Action, Canal+, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	HBO Max
Mongolia	Premier Sports 1
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 7
Nigeria	SuperSport Action
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 2
Pakistan	ARY ZAP
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	Setanta Sports
Poland	Canal+ Extra 5
Portugal	DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Singapore	Hub Premier 4
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-africa	SuperSport Action
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 3, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX
Ukraine	Pershiy
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fubo Sports Network, NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	FPT Play

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.97	1.94
Ball possession
42%	58%
Total shots
12	16
Shots on target
3	7
Big chances
1	3
Corner kicks
4	8
Passes
79% (254/321)	81% (367/451)
Yellow cards
2	2
Expected goals (xG)
0.97	1.94
xG on target (xGOT)
1.28	2.58
Total shots
12	16
Shots on target
3	7
Shots off target
7	4
Blocked shots
2	5
Shots inside the box
9	13
Shots outside the box
3	3
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
1	1
Big chances
1	3
Corner kicks
4	8
Touches in opposition box
13	44
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	0
Free kicks
9	9
Passes
79% (254/321)	81% (367/451)
Long passes
36% (20/55)	45% (27/60)
Passes in final third
70% (71/101)	64% (70/110)
Crosses
29% (5/17)	23% (5/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.81	0.75
Throw ins
20	14
Fouls
9	9
Tackles
54% (7/13)	79% (11/14)
Duels won
49	63
Clearances
39	28
Interceptions
3	7
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	1
xGOT faced
2.58	1.28
Goals prevented
-1.42	-0.72

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 3)
9', 0 - 1, Damsgaard M. ⚽, Ouattara Da. (A),
25', 0 - 2, Thiago I. ⚽, Damsgaard M. (A),
34', 0 - 3, Schade K. ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 3, Kayode M. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Bruun Larsen J. ↓, Foster L. ↑,
46', Laurent J. ↓, Ugochukwu L. ↑,
47', 2 - 3, Anthony J. ⚽, Mejbri H. (A),
60', 3 - 3, Flemming Z. ⚽, Mejbri H. (A),
72', Ouattara Da. ↓, Donovan R. ↑,
72', Schade K. ↓, Lewis-Potter K. ↑,
73', Yarmolyuk Y. ↓, Henderson J. ↑,
75', Ward-Prowse J. ↓, Florentino ↑,
77', Thiago I. 🟨,
84', Mejbri H. ↓, Tchaouna L. ↑,
86', Humphreys B. 🟨,
90+1', Flemming Z. ↓, Barnes A. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 4, Damsgaard M. ⚽, Henry R. (A),
90+10', Yarmolyuk Y. 🟨,
90+11', Foster L. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Burnley
21.9%

Draw
24.7%

Brentford
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23%

24.6%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7%

24.2%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Brentford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Burnley - Brentford Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.37 ↑ (4.18)	3.87 ↓ (3.91)	1.8 ↓ (1.83)	4.5% (4.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Burnley - Brentford?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Burnley (1.39) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Brentford (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Brentford will win (51 of 63 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.25% – 90.65%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Brentford will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 25 high ROI users predict this event. Burnley (votes: 3 - 12%). Brentford (votes: 21 - 84%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 2.
Burnley has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Brentford is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Brentford is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury) Beyer J. (Thigh Injury) Broja A. (Injury) Cullen J. (Knee Injury) Roberts C. (Groin Injury) Tresor Ndayishimiye M. (Ankle Injury) Tuanzebe A. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in Brentford: Carvalho F. (Knee Injury) Dasilva J. (Knee Injury) Milambo A. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Brentford: Hickey A. (Injury) Kayode M. (Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.4:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Burnley won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Burnley won against Brentford?

Burnley has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Brentford won against Burnley?

Brentford has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Burnley - Brentford were as follows:

29.11.2025 Brentford - Burnley 3:1

16.03.2024 Burnley - Brentford 2:1

21.10.2023 Brentford - Burnley 3:0

Latest results of Burnley

21.02.2026 Chelsea - Burnley 1:1 ✺

14.02.2026 Burnley - Mansfield Town 1:2 ✺

11.02.2026 Crystal Palace - Burnley 2:3 ✺

07.02.2026 Burnley - West Ham United 0:2 ✺

02.02.2026 Sunderland - Burnley 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Brentford

21.02.2026 Brentford - Brighton & Hove Albion 0:2 ✺

16.02.2026 Macclesfield Town - Brentford 0:1 ✺

12.02.2026 Brentford - Arsenal 1:1 ✺

07.02.2026 Newcastle United - Brentford 2:3 ✺

01.02.2026 Aston Villa - Brentford 0:1 ✺

English Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Arsenal	29	19	7	3	58:22	36	64
2	Manchester City	28	18	5	5	57:25	32	59
3	Manchester Utd	28	14	9	5	50:38	12	51
4	Aston Villa	28	15	6	7	38:30	8	51
5	Liverpool	29	14	6	9	48:39	9	48
6	Chelsea	28	12	9	7	49:33	16	45
7	Brentford	29	13	5	11	44:40	4	44
8	Everton	29	12	7	10	34:33	1	43
9	Bournemouth	29	9	13	7	44:46	-2	40
10	Fulham	28	12	4	12	40:42	-2	40
11	Sunderland	29	10	10	9	30:34	-4	40
12	Brighton	28	9	10	9	38:35	3	37
13	Newcastle	28	10	6	12	40:42	-2	36
14	Crystal Palace	28	9	8	11	30:34	-4	35
15	Leeds	29	7	10	12	37:48	-11	31
16	Tottenham	28	7	8	13	38:43	-5	29
17	Nottingham	28	7	6	15	26:41	-15	27
18	West Ham	28	6	7	15	34:54	-20	25
19	Burnley	29	4	7	18	32:58	-26	19
20	Wolves	30	3	7	20	22:52	-30	16

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Relegation ~ Championship