Burnley vs Brentford – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:4
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 28
  • Referee: Barrott S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, Supersport Action
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
bangladeshBangladeshToffee Live
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 5 DRM, FuboTV
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 8, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 9
germanyGermanySky Go Germany
greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 3
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 4
indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport MIX
japanJapanU-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Premier League 3, Canal+ Action, Canal+, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
mexicoMexicoHBO Max
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 1
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
nepalNepalKantipur Max
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandSKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 7
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Action
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport Premier League 2
pakistanPakistanARY ZAP
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesSetanta Sports
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 5
portugalPortugalDAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
singaporeSingaporeHub Premier 4
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Action
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN 3, DAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Extra
thailandThailandAIS PLAY
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX
ukraineUkrainePershiy
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFubo Sports Network, NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamFPT Play

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.971.94
Ball possession
42%58%
Total shots
1216
Shots on target
37
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
48
Passes
79% (254/321)81% (367/451)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
0.971.94
xG on target (xGOT)
1.282.58
Total shots
1216
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
74
Blocked shots
25
Shots inside the box
913
Shots outside the box
33
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
11
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
48
Touches in opposition box
1344
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free kicks
99
Passes
79% (254/321)81% (367/451)
Long passes
36% (20/55)45% (27/60)
Passes in final third
70% (71/101)64% (70/110)
Crosses
29% (5/17)23% (5/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.810.75
Throw ins
2014
Fouls
99
Tackles
54% (7/13)79% (11/14)
Duels won
4963
Clearances
3928
Interceptions
37
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
21
xGOT faced
2.581.28
Goals prevented
-1.42-0.72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Damsgaard M. , Ouattara Da. (A),
  • 25', 0 - 2, Thiago I. , Damsgaard M. (A),
  • 34', 0 - 3, Schade K. ,
  • 45+3', 1 - 3, Kayode M. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Bruun Larsen J. , Foster L. ,
  • 46', Laurent J. , Ugochukwu L. ,
  • 47', 2 - 3, Anthony J. , Mejbri H. (A),
  • 60', 3 - 3, Flemming Z. , Mejbri H. (A),
  • 72', Ouattara Da. , Donovan R. ,
  • 72', Schade K. , Lewis-Potter K. ,
  • 73', Yarmolyuk Y. , Henderson J. ,
  • 75', Ward-Prowse J. , Florentino ,
  • 77', Thiago I. 🟨,
  • 84', Mejbri H. , Tchaouna L. ,
  • 86', Humphreys B. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Flemming Z. , Barnes A. ,
  • 90+3', 3 - 4, Damsgaard M. , Henry R. (A),
  • 90+10', Yarmolyuk Y. 🟨,
  • 90+11', Foster L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Burnley
21.9%
Draw
24.7%
Brentford
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23% 24.6% 52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7% 24.2% 53.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Brentford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Burnley - Brentford Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.37
    (4.18)
    3.87
    (3.91)
    1.8
    (1.83)
    4.5%
    (4.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Burnley - Brentford?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 - Burnley (1.39) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Brentford (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Brentford will win (51 of 63 users predict this - 80.95%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.25%90.65%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brentford will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 25 Selected Experts predict this event. Burnley (votes: 3 - 12%). Brentford (votes: 21 - 84%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 2.
    • Burnley has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Brentford is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Brentford is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury) Beyer J. (Thigh Injury) Broja A. (Injury) Cullen J. (Knee Injury) Roberts C. (Groin Injury) Tresor Ndayishimiye M. (Ankle Injury) Tuanzebe A. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Brentford: Carvalho F. (Knee Injury) Dasilva J. (Knee Injury) Milambo A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Brentford: Hickey A. (Injury) Kayode M. (Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Burnley won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Burnley - Brentford were as follows:
    29.11.2025 Brentford - Burnley 3:1
    16.03.2024 Burnley - Brentford 2:1
    21.10.2023 Brentford - Burnley 3:0
    Latest results of Burnley
    21.02.2026 Chelsea - Burnley 1:1
    14.02.2026 Burnley - Mansfield Town 1:2
    11.02.2026 Crystal Palace - Burnley 2:3
    07.02.2026 Burnley - West Ham United 0:2
    02.02.2026 Sunderland - Burnley 3:0
    Latest results of Brentford
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal32217462:243870
    2Manchester City31197563:283564
    3Manchester Utd311510656:431355
    4Aston Villa32167943:38555
    5Liverpool321571052:421052
    6Chelsea321391053:411248
    7Brentford321381148:44447
    8Everton321381139:37247
    9Brighton3212101043:37646
    10Sunderland3212101033:36-346
    11Bournemouth321015748:49-145
    12Fulham321351443:46-344
    13Crystal Palace311191135:36-142
    14Newcastle321261445:47-242
    15Leeds317121237:48-1133
    16Nottingham32891532:44-1233
    17West Ham32881640:57-1732
    18Tottenham32791640:51-1130
    19Burnley32482033:63-3020
    20Wolves32382124:58-3417

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship