Result
0:1
01/05/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 36
- Referee: Pezzuto I. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.57 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (322/411) | 72% (238/331) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.09 | 0.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 24 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (322/411) | 72% (238/331) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (34/64) | 42% (35/84) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (88/131) | 61% (88/145) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (6/28) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 38% (5/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 80 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.65 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 27', Tronchin S. 🟨,
- 32', 0 - 1, Borrelli G. ⚽, Bisoli D. (A),
- 45+2', Carissoni L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Tronchin S. ↓, Amatucci F. ↑,
- 54', Besaggio M. ↓, Bjarnason B. ↑,
- 62', Palmieri R. ↓, Voltan D. ↑,
- 62', Salvi A. ↓, Masciangelo E. ↑,
- 63', Casolari F. 🟨,
- 67', Okwonkwo O. ↓, Diaw D. ↑,
- 68', Moncini G. 🟨,
- 70', Desogus J. ↓, Rabbi S. ↑,
- 76', Moncini G. ↓, Juric A. ↑,
- 76', Galazzi N. ↓, Corrado N. ↑,
- 80', Capradossi E. 🟨,
- 86', Bjarnason B. 🟨,
- 90+2', Rabbi S. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/543s7euf
Chances of winning
Cittadella
30.6% | Draw
31.6% | Brescia
37.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Brescia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Cittadella - Brescia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.07 ↑
(2.81) |
2.98 ↓
(3.13) |
2.51 ↓
(2.56) |
6.1%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Cittadella - Brescia?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Cittadella will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Brescia will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brescia: 9.6% – 70.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 2.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in Cittadella: Cecchetto A.
(Inactive)
Djibril A.
(Injury)
Negro S.
(Injury)
Vita A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Brescia: Fogliata R.
(Injury)
Jallow A.
(Inactive)
Verreth M.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Brescia: Bertagnoli M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cittadella won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:27 (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams, Cittadella won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11 (average 1.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cittadella won against Brescia?
Cittadella has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brescia won against Cittadella?
Brescia has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cittadella - Brescia were as follows:
24.08.2024
Brescia
-
Cittadella
0:1
03.02.2024
Brescia
-
Cittadella
2:0
04.11.2023
Cittadella
-
Brescia
3:2
01.03.2023
Cittadella
-
Brescia
0:0
08.10.2022
Brescia
-
Cittadella
1:1
Latest results of Cittadella
Latest results of Brescia
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 68:29 | 39 | 72 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 65:33 | 32 | 69 |
| 3 | Monza | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 53:27 | 26 | 69 |
| 4 | Palermo | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 55:28 | 27 | 65 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 51:40 | 11 | 54 |
| 6 | Modena | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 44:29 | 15 | 51 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 41:41 | 0 | 48 |
| 8 | Cesena | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 42:50 | -8 | 44 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 44:45 | -1 | 42 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 36:37 | -1 | 40 |
| 11 | Mantova | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 39:48 | -9 | 40 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 34:44 | -10 | 40 |
| 13 | Avellino | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 38:54 | -16 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 33:45 | -12 | 37 |
| 15 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 43:49 | -6 | 36 |
| 16 | Entella | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 35 |
| 17 | Bari | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 33:53 | -20 | 34 |
| 18 | Reggiana | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33:52 | -19 | 33 |
| 19 | Pescara | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 47:61 | -14 | 32 |
| 20 | Spezia | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 32:51 | -19 | 30 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
