Cittadella vs Carrarese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
05/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B - Round 32
  • Referee: Pairetto L. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyDAZN Italia

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.640.57
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
11
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
67% (196/294)75% (328/435)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.640.57
xG on target (xGOT)
0.040.19
Total shots
87
Shots on target
11
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1020
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1015
Passes
67% (196/294)75% (328/435)
Long passes
36% (19/53)38% (23/60)
Passes in final third
55% (67/121)67% (74/110)
Crosses
19% (4/21)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.771.07
Fouls
1510
Tackles
69% (9/13)50% (5/10)
Duels won
5160
Clearances Total
3032
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.190.04
Goals prevented
0.190.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Capradossi E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Rabbi S. , Diaw D. ,
  • 59', Okwonkwo O. , Pandolfi L. ,
  • 60', Cherubini L. , Melegoni F. ,
  • 60', Tronchin S. , Amatucci F. ,
  • 61', Milanese T. , Manzari G. ,
  • 74', Cicconi M. , Bouah D. ,
  • 74', Finotto M. , Shpendi S. ,
  • 79', Vita A. , Tessiore A. ,
  • 81', Giovane S. , Capezzi L. ,
  • 89', D'Alessio F. , Casolari F. ,
  • 90+1', Manzari G. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cittadella
34.7%
Draw
30.1%
Carrarese
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.3% 31.3% 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7% 30.8% 34.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cittadella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Cittadella - Carrarese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.71
    (2.73)
    3.1
    (2.99)
    2.67
    (2.73)
    6.7%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Cittadella - Carrarese?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Cittadella will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Carrarese will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 70%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.6%98.4%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Carrarese (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 11).
    • Cittadella is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Carrarese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Cittadella: Angeli M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Cecchetto A. (Inactive) Djibril A. (Injury) Negro S. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Carrarese: Bleve M. (Knock) Coppolaro M. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cittadella won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cittadella - Carrarese were as follows:
    26.10.2024 Carrarese - Cittadella 3:0
    Latest results of Cittadella
    29.03.2025 Cremonese - Cittadella 2:2
    15.03.2025 Cittadella - Sassuolo 1:2
    01.03.2025 Juve Stabia - Cittadella 0:1
    22.02.2025 Cittadella - Modena 0:2
    Latest results of Carrarese
    30.03.2025 Carrarese - Bari 2:1
    08.03.2025 Carrarese - Frosinone 0:1
    01.03.2025 Carrarese - Cremonese 2:2
    22.02.2025 Reggiana - Carrarese 2:2
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Venezia36239473:294478
    2Monza36229557:273075
    3Frosinone362112370:343675
    4Palermo361912558:292969
    5Catanzaro ✔ 361514758:451359
    6Modena ✔ 3614101247:341352
    7Juve Stabia361117843:43050
    8Avellino3612101442:54-1246
    9Cesena361291542:52-1045
    10Carrarese3610131346:50-443
    11Mantova361271742:50-843
    12Sampdoria3610111534:47-1341
    13Sudtirol368161237:46-940
    14Padova3610101634:46-1240
    15Entella369121534:48-1439
    16Empoli368131544:52-837
    17Pescara367131650:64-1434
    18Bari368101833:58-2534
    19Reggiana368101834:54-2034
    20Spezia36891940:56-1633

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)