Result
1:1
12/01/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie B - Round 21
- Referee: Massa D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 36 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (275/356) | 75% (274/365) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 71% (88/124) | 63% (51/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (7/36) | 12% (2/17) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 67% (12/18) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 26 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 33', 0 - 1, Coda M. ⚽,
- 34', Lezzerini L. 🟨,
- 35', Akinsanmiro E. 🟨,
- 40', Tutino G. 🟨,
- 41', Akinsanmiro E. ↓, Vieira R. ↑,
- 43', Juric A. 🟨,
- 45+1', Meulensteen M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', 1 - 1, Moncini G. ⚽, Bertagnoli M. (A),
- 57', Depaoli F. ↓, Beruatto P. ↑,
- 66', Juric A. ↓, Borrelli G. ↑,
- 67', Galazzi N. ↓, Besaggio M. ↑,
- 85', Tutino G. ↓, Sekulov N. ↑,
- 86', Meulensteen M. ↓, Vulikic S. ↑,
- 89', Bellemo A. 🟨,
- 89', Borrelli G. 🟨,
- 89', Nuamah P. ↓, Bianchi F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Brescia
31.2% | Draw
31.1% | Sampdoria
37.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brescia's form might have worsened.Sampdoria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sampdoria's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brescia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Brescia - Sampdoria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.02 ↑
(2.44) |
3 ↓
(3.18) |
2.49 ↓
(2.94) |
6.7%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Brescia - Sampdoria?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Brescia will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Sampdoria will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brescia: 19.5% – 68.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Brescia won 2.
- Recent matches Brescia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Sampdoria is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Brescia: Bisoli D.
(Yellow Cards)
Cistana A.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Sampdoria: Bereszynski B.
(Muscle Injury)
Ioannou N.
(Yellow Cards)
Romagnoli S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Sampdoria: Ferrari A.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Brescia won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:14 (average 0.9:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Brescia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Brescia won against Sampdoria?
Brescia has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sampdoria won against Brescia?
Sampdoria has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brescia - Sampdoria were as follows:
03.11.2024
Sampdoria
-
Brescia
0:1
17.02.2024
Sampdoria
-
Brescia
1:1
03.12.2023
Brescia
-
Sampdoria
3:1
Latest results of Brescia
Latest results of Sampdoria
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
